Fantasy · Week 2 · 2026

Win your week. Start the right players.

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

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Early season: only 1 week of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

  1. 1BUFJosh Allen▲QB · BUFvsDETDETMUST STARTScored 35.7 last game, typical 20.340.8scored · proj 28.0

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 20.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    BUFBUFvsDETDETDETGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~30 pts
    Vegas line
    BUF favored by 5.5
    Game total
    54.5
    DET vs QBs
    14% more points

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 28.0 points, #1 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 35.7 points last game against a typical 20.3 (trending up).
    • BUF's offense is expected to score about 30 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 28.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  2. 2KCPatrick MahomesQB · KCvsINDINDMUST STARTKC expected to score ~26, a strong spot29.0scored · proj 20.5

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 17.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    KCKCvsINDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~26 pts
    Vegas line
    KC favored by 6
    Game total
    46.5
    IND vs QBs
    8% more points
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 20.5 points, #2 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
    • KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 20.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  3. 3SFBrock Purdy▲QB · SFvsMIAMIAMUST STARTSF expected to score ~29, a strong spot28.5scored · proj 19.7

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 16.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    SFSFvsMIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    SF favored by 12.5
    Game total
    44.5
    MIA vs QBs
    8% more points

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 19.7 points, #3 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
    • SF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Scored 21.1 points last game against a typical 16.1 (trending up).
    • Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 19.7 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  4. 4DALDak PrescottQB · DALvsWASWASMUST STARTWAS allow 23% more points to QBs29.8scored · proj 19.5

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 16.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsWASWASWASGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL favored by 3.5
    Game total
    51.5
    WAS vs QBs
    23% more points

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 19.5 points, #4 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
    • WAS's defense has allowed 23% more points to QBs than the league average.
    • DAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 19.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  5. 5PHIJalen Hurts▲QB · PHI@TENTENMUST STARTScored 24.7 last game, typical 16.716.2scored · proj 19.3

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 16.7 a game

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHI@TENTENTENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI favored by 7
    Game total
    39.5
    TEN vs QBs
    9% more points

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 19.3 points, #5 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 24.7 points last game against a typical 16.7 (trending up).
    • Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 19.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  6. 6LAMatthew Stafford▼QB · LAvsNYGNYGMUST STARTLA expected to score ~27, a strong spot27.0scored · proj 18.3

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 18.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    LALAvsNYGNYGNYGGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~27 pts
    Vegas line
    LA favored by 6.5
    Game total
    47.5
    NYG vs QBs
    8% more points

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 18.3 points, #6 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
    • LA's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Concern: Scored 4.1 points last game against a typical 18.4 (trending down).
    • Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 18.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  7. 7JAXTrevor Lawrence▲QB · JAX@DENDENSTARTScored 26.1 last game, typical 17.86.2scored · proj 17.9

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 17.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    JAXJAX@DENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    JAX underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    DEN vs QBs
    9% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph

    Why we say start

    • Projected 17.9 points, #7 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 26.1 points last game against a typical 17.8 (trending up).
    • Averaging 23 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 17.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  8. 8NEDrake Maye▼QB · NEvsPITPITSTARTProjected 17.2 · #8 among QBs8.0scored · proj 17.2

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 18.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    NENEvsPITPITPITGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    NE favored by 4.5
    Game total
    41.5
    PIT vs QBs
    6% more points

    Why we say start

    • Projected 17.2 points, #8 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: Scored 9.8 points last game against a typical 18.5 (trending down).
    • Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 17.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  9. 9GBJordan Love▲QB · GB@NYJNYJSTARTScored 19.5 last game, typical 13.813.8scored · proj 17.0

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 13.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    GBGB@NYJNYJNYJGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 3.5
    Game total
    44.5
    NYJ vs QBs
    16% more points

    Why we say start

    • Projected 17.0 points, #9 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 19.5 points last game against a typical 13.8 (trending up).
    • NYJ's defense has allowed 16% more points to QBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 42 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 17.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  10. 10BALLamar Jackson▲QB · BALvsNONOSTARTScored 25 last game, typical 14.314.8scored · proj 16.7

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    BALBALvsNONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~27 pts
    Vegas line
    BAL favored by 8.5
    Game total
    45.5
    NO vs QBs
    13% fewer points
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say start

    • Projected 16.7 points, #10 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 25 points last game against a typical 14.3 (trending up).
    • BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Concern: NO's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 16.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  11. 11CARBryce Young▲QB · CAR@ATLATLSTARTScored 31.4 last game, typical 12.124.1scored · proj 16.6

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    CARCAR@ATLATLATLGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    CAR favored by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    ATL vs QBs
    3% fewer points

    Why we say start

    • Projected 16.6 points, #11 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 31.4 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
    • Averaging 37 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 16.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  12. 12LACJustin HerbertQB · LACvsLVLVSTARTLAC expected to score ~25, a strong spot7.9scored · proj 16.0

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 15.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    LACLACvsLVLVLVGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    LAC favored by 6.5
    Game total
    43.5
    LV vs QBs
    2% fewer points

    Why we say start

    • Projected 16.0 points, #12 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • LAC's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 16.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  13. 13DETJared GoffQB · DET@BUFBUFBENCHBUF allow 18% fewer points to QBs29.8scored · proj 14.9

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 15.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    DETDET@BUFBUFBUFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    DET underdogs by 5.5
    Game total
    54.5
    BUF vs QBs
    18% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 14.9 points, #13 among QBs this week, 1.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • BUF's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 39 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 14.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  14. 14HOUC.J. StroudQB · HOUvsCINCINBENCHProjected 14.8 · 1.2 behind #1217.0scored · proj 14.8

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 13.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    HOUHOUvsCINCINCINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    HOU favored by 3
    Game total
    45.5
    CIN vs QBs
    7% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 14.8 points, #14 among QBs this week, 1.2 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Averaging 38 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 14.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  15. 15NOTyler Shough▲QB · NO@BALBALBENCHNO expected to score only ~19, a tough spot22.4scored · proj 14.7

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 12.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    NONO@BALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    NO underdogs by 8.5
    Game total
    45.5
    BAL vs QBs
    2% more points
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 14.7 points, #15 among QBs this week, 1.3 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • NO's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Upside: Scored 23.2 points last game against a typical 12.2 (trending up).
    • Averaging 56 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 14.7 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  16. 16DENBo Nix▼QB · DENvsJAXJAXBENCHScored 5.4 last game, typical 1614.1scored · proj 14.4

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 16.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    DENDENvsJAXJAXJAXGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    DEN favored by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    JAX vs QBs
    5% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 14.4 points, #16 among QBs this week, 1.6 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Scored 5.4 points last game against a typical 16 (trending down).
    • Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 14.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  17. 17CINJoe BurrowQB · CIN@HOUHOUBENCHProjected 12.9 · 3.1 behind #1216.2scored · proj 12.9

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 13.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    CINCIN@HOUHOUHOUGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    CIN underdogs by 3
    Game total
    45.5
    HOU vs QBs
    7% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 12.9 points, #17 among QBs this week, 3.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Averaging 35 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 12.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  18. 18ARIJacoby BrissettQB · ARIvsSEASEABENCHSEA allow 18% fewer points to QBs6.5scored · proj 12.4

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 14.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    ARIARIvsSEASEASEAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    ARI underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    40.5
    SEA vs QBs
    18% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 12.4 points, #18 among QBs this week, 3.6 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • SEA's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
    • ARI's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 37 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 12.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  19. 19INDDaniel Jones▼QB · IND@KCKCBENCHScored 9 last game, typical 15.111.4scored · proj 12.3

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    INDIND@KCKCKCGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    IND underdogs by 6
    Game total
    46.5
    KC vs QBs
    15% fewer points
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 12.3 points, #19 among QBs this week, 3.7 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Scored 9 points last game against a typical 15.1 (trending down).
    • KC's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 31 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 12.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  20. 20SEASam Darnold▼QB · SEA@ARIARIBENCHScored 0.5 last game, typical 12.412.16–19 range

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    SEASEA@ARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    SEA favored by 3.5
    Game total
    40.5
    ARI vs QBs
    1% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 12.1 points, #20 among QBs this week, 3.9 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
    • Scored 0.5 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending down).
    • Averaging 2 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 12.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  21. 21WASMarcus MariotaQB · WAS@DALDALBENCHProjected 12.0 · #21 among QBs8.7scored · proj 12.0

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    WASWAS@DALDALDALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    WAS underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    51.5
    DAL vs QBs
    44% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 12.0 points, #21 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • Upside: Moves up to No. 1 QB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
    • Averaged last season 23 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 12.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  22. 22MINKyler Murray▼QB · MIN@CHICHIBENCHScored -0.4 last game, typical 11.111.56–18 range

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@CHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN underdogs by 4.5
    Game total
    46.5
    CHI vs QBs
    21% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 11.5 points, #22 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • Scored -0.4 points last game against a typical 11.1 (trending down).
    • Upside: CHI's defense has allowed 21% more points to QBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 5 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 11.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  23. 23PITAaron RodgersQB · PIT@NENEBENCHPIT expected to score only ~19, a tough spot4.0scored · proj 11.0

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 12.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    PITPIT@NENENEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    PIT underdogs by 4.5
    Game total
    41.5
    NE vs QBs
    11% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 11.0 points, #23 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • PIT's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 40 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 11.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  24. 24CLEDeshaun WatsonQB · CLE@TBTBBENCHCLE expected to score only ~17, a tough spot19.7scored · proj 10.8

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    CLECLE@TBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~17 pts
    Vegas line
    CLE underdogs by 8.5
    Game total
    41.5
    TB vs QBs
    15% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 10.8 points, #24 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • CLE's offense is expected to score only about 17 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Upside: TB's defense has allowed 15% more points to QBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 22 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 10.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  25. 25ATLMichael Penix Jr.QB · ATLvsCARCARBENCHProjected 10.5 · #25 among QBs10.56–17 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.9 a game.

    This week's matchup

    ATLATLvsCARCARCARGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    ATL underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    CAR vs QBs
    League average

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 10.5 points, #25 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • Averaged last season 31 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 10.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  26. 26KCJustin FieldsQB · KCvsINDINDBENCHProjected 10.4 · #26 among QBs10.45–16 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 13.0 a game.

    This week's matchup

    KCKCvsINDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~26 pts
    Vegas line
    KC favored by 6
    Game total
    46.5
    IND vs QBs
    8% more points
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 10.4 points, #26 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • Upside: KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaged last season 23 pass attempts a game.
    • No. 2 QB on the depth chart.

    Projection 10.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  27. 27MIAMalik Willis▲QB · MIA@SFSFBENCHMIA expected to score only ~16, a tough spot12.5scored · proj 10.3

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    MIAMIA@SFSFSFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~16 pts
    Vegas line
    MIA underdogs by 12.5
    Game total
    44.5
    SF vs QBs
    4% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 10.3 points, #27 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • MIA's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Upside: Scored 16.7 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending up).
    • Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 10.3 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  28. 28NYGJ.J. McCarthyQB · NYG@LALABENCHProjected 9.9 · #28 among QBs9.95–16 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.4 a game.

    This week's matchup

    NYGNYG@LALALAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYG underdogs by 6.5
    Game total
    47.5
    LA vs QBs
    4% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 9.9 points, #28 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • Averaged last season 24 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 9.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  29. 29NYJGeno SmithQB · NYJvsGBGBBENCHProjected 9.4 · #29 among QBs15.6scored · proj 9.4

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYJNYJvsGBGBGBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYJ underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    44.5
    GB vs QBs
    6% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 9.4 points, #29 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • Averaging 24 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  30. 30MINCarson Wentz▲QB · MIN@CHICHIBENCHProjected 8.7 · #30 among QBs6.3scored · proj 8.7

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@CHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN underdogs by 4.5
    Game total
    46.5
    CHI vs QBs
    21% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.7 points, #30 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • Upside: Scored 19.2 points last game against a typical 10 (trending up).
    • Averaging 19 pass attempts a game.
    • No. 2 QB on the depth chart.

    Projection 8.7 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  31. 31TENCam WardQB · TENvsPHIPHIBENCHTEN expected to score only ~16, a tough spot20.0scored · proj 8.7

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    TENTENvsPHIPHIPHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~16 pts
    Vegas line
    TEN underdogs by 7
    Game total
    39.5
    PHI vs QBs
    9% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.7 points, #31 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • TEN's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 32 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 8.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  32. 32SFMac JonesQB · SFvsMIAMIABENCHProjected 8.3 · #32 among QBs-0.2scored · proj 8.3

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.0 a game.

    This week's matchup

    SFSFvsMIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    SF favored by 12.5
    Game total
    44.5
    MIA vs QBs
    8% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.3 points, #32 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • Upside: SF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaged last season 26 pass attempts a game.
    • No. 2 QB on the depth chart.

    Projection 8.3 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  33. 33LVKirk Cousins▲QB · LV@LACLACBENCHLAC allow 21% fewer points to QBs20.2scored · proj 8.1

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    LVLV@LACLACLACGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    LV underdogs by 6.5
    Game total
    43.5
    LAC vs QBs
    21% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.1 points, #33 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • LAC's defense has allowed 21% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
    • LV's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Upside: Scored 13.8 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending up).
    • Averaging 30 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 8.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  34. 34NYGJameis WinstonQB · NYG@LALABENCHProjected 8.1 · #34 among QBs2.5scored · proj 8.1

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 8.6 a game.

    This week's matchup

    NYGNYG@LALALAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYG underdogs by 6.5
    Game total
    47.5
    LA vs QBs
    4% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 8.1 points, #34 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
    • Upside: Moves up to No. 1 QB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
    • Averaged last season 22 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 8.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  35. –NYGJaxson DartIR▲QB · NYG@LALAOUTOn injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury0.8scored · proj 0.0

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYGNYG@LALALAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYG underdogs by 6.5
    Game total
    47.5
    LA vs QBs
    4% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury.
    • Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  36. –TBBaker MayfieldOUTQB · TBvsCLECLEOUTOut — thumb injury12.2scored · proj 0.0

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    TBTBvsCLECLECLEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    TB favored by 8.5
    Game total
    41.5
    CLE vs QBs
    11% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • Out — thumb injury.
    • Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  37. –CLEDillon GabrielIRQB · CLE@TBTBOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 5.8 a game.

    This week's matchup

    CLECLE@TBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~17 pts
    Vegas line
    CLE underdogs by 8.5
    Game total
    41.5
    TB vs QBs
    15% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 19 pass attempts a game.
    • No. 4 QB on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  38. –CHICaleb WilliamsOUT▲QB · CHIvsMINMINOUTOut — hamstring injury7.7scored · proj 0.0

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 16.7 a game

    This week's matchup

    CHICHIvsMINMINMINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~26 pts
    Vegas line
    CHI favored by 4.5
    Game total
    46.5
    MIN vs QBs
    27% fewer points

    Why we say out

    • Out — hamstring injury.
    • Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  39. –BALSkylar ThompsonIRQB · BALvsNONOOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.

    This week's matchup

    BALBALvsNONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~27 pts
    Vegas line
    BAL favored by 8.5
    Game total
    45.5
    NO vs QBs
    13% fewer points
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 QB on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  40. –JAXCarter BradleyIRQB · JAX@DENDENOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.

    This week's matchup

    JAXJAX@DENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    JAX underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    DEN vs QBs
    9% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  41. –LAMatthew CaldwellIRQB · LAvsNYGNYGOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.

    This week's matchup

    LALAvsNYGNYGNYGGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~27 pts
    Vegas line
    LA favored by 6.5
    Game total
    47.5
    NYG vs QBs
    8% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 4 QB on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  42. –KCChris OladokunIRQB · KCvsINDINDOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.2 a game.

    This week's matchup

    KCKCvsINDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~26 pts
    Vegas line
    KC favored by 6
    Game total
    46.5
    IND vs QBs
    8% more points
    Wind
    10 mph

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • Averaged last season 18 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  43. –WASJayden DanielsOUT▲QB · WAS@DALDALOUTOut — elbow injury14.7scored · proj 0.0

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game

    This week's matchup

    WASWAS@DALDALDALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    WAS underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    51.5
    DAL vs QBs
    44% more points

    Why we say out

    • Out — elbow injury.
    • Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  44. –HOUGraham MertzIRQB · HOUvsCINCINOUTOn injured reserve0.00–0 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.

    This week's matchup

    HOUHOUvsCINCINCINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    HOU favored by 3
    Game total
    45.5
    CIN vs QBs
    7% more points

    Why we say out

    • On injured reserve.
    • No. 3 QB on the depth chart.

    Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.