Is Josh Allen playing this week?
No injury designationJosh Allen has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the New England Patriots.
Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.
Checked Oct 3, 7:19 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.
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Ask your own questionOur numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.
Fantasy football · Week 4
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Must start. BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
Why we say must start
- Projected 25.1 points, #1 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: NE's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Recent form
Dashed line: the usual 20.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BUF favored by 7
- Game total
- 49.5
- NE vs QBs
- 15% fewer points
All week 4 quarterback rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →
Age
30
Height
6'5"
Weight
237 lb
College
Wyoming; Reedley
Experience
8 seasons
Draft
2018 · Pick #7 (BUF)
Status
ACT
Grade Breakdown
What do these mean?Why 75.9?
Allen's grade is driven by efficient passing: he adds expected points on dropbacks and completes more passes than expected. Defenses faced were slightly easier than average, which trims the grade a little. Nothing pulled it down, though week 3 against the Chargers was his weakest game.
Lifting the grade
- EPA per dropback is +0.244 expected points per play, 7th of 27 QBs.
- Completion percentage over expected is +4.5 points, 10th of 27.
- Two long touchdown throws to Palmer: 43 yards in week 2 vs DET (+5.5 expected points) and 34 yards in week 1 vs HOU (+4.6).
Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).
EPA / play
0.255
Success rate
44%
WPA (sum)
0.73
Opponent adj.
-0.011
Plays graded
95
Advanced stats
2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats| Week | Time to throw | Aggressiveness | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3.11s | 6.9% | +9.7% |
| 2 | 2.84s | 6.5% | -2.6% |
| 3 | 3.01s | 19.2% | -2.2% |
What do these mean?
- Time to throw:
- Average seconds from snap to release.
- Aggressiveness:
- Share of throws into tight coverage, with a defender within one yard of the receiver.
- CPOE:
- Completion percentage over expected. Compares actual completions to what the difficulty of each throw predicts.
- Expected comp %:
- The completion percentage the throws would be expected to produce.
- Completed air yds:
- Average distance the ball travels in the air on completions.
- Intended air yds:
- Average distance the ball travels in the air on all attempts.
- Air yds differential:
- Completed air yards minus intended air yards. Negative means completions come shorter than the throws attempted.
- Air yds to sticks:
- How far the average throw travels past (or short of) the first-down marker.
Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.