Week 4 Fantasy Football QB Rankings — Start/Sit Calls

QB RB WR TE Flex K D/ST

Early season: only 3 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

1Josh AllenQB · BUFvsNEMUST STARTBUF expected to score ~28, a strong spot25.1
13–40 rangeMUST START
Recent form
36
41
18
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 20.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs QBs
15% fewer points
Why we say must start
- Projected 25.1 points, #1 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: NE's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 25.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Brock Purdy▲QB · SFvsDENMUST STARTScored 31.3 last game, typical 16.120.7
11–33 rangeMUST START
Recent form
21
29
31
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 3
Game total
47.5
DEN vs QBs
11% fewer points
Why we say must start
- Projected 20.7 points, #2 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 31.3 points last game against a typical 16.1 (trending up).
- SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 20.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Patrick MahomesQB · KC@LVMUST STARTKC expected to score ~26, a strong spot20.6
11–33 rangeMUST START
Recent form
22
29
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 17.9 a game
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs QBs
3% fewer points
Why we say must start
- Projected 20.6 points, #3 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.
Projection 20.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Jared GoffQB · DET@CARMUST STARTDET expected to score ~27, a strong spot19.6
10–31 rangeMUST START
Recent form
16
30
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.6 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs QBs
8% fewer points
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.6 points, #4 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 36 pass attempts a game.
Projection 19.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Matthew StaffordQB · LA@PHIMUST STARTProjected 19.1 · #5 among QBs19.1
10–30 rangeMUST START
Recent form
4
27
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 18.4 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs QBs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.1 points, #5 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Averaging 37 pass attempts a game.
Projection 19.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Bryce YoungQB · CARvsDETMUST STARTDET allow 29% more points to QBs19.1
10–30 rangeMUST START
Recent form
31
24
14
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs QBs
29% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.1 points, #6 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- DET's defense has allowed 29% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 40 pass attempts a game.
Projection 19.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Tyler Shough▲QB · NOvsATLSTARTScored 23.8 last game, typical 12.218.9
10–30 rangeSTART
Recent form
23
22
24
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs QBs
2% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 18.9 points, #7 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 23.8 points last game against a typical 12.2 (trending up).
- NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 44 pass attempts a game.
Projection 18.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Trevor LawrenceQB · JAX@CINSTARTProjected 18.4 · #8 among QBs18.4
10–29 rangeSTART
Recent form
26
6
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 17.8 a game
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs QBs
9% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 18.4 points, #8 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.
Projection 18.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Dak PrescottQB · DAL@HOUSTARTProjected 18.1 · #9 among QBs18.1
9–29 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
30
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.5 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs QBs
11% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say start
- Projected 18.1 points, #9 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 35 pass attempts a game.
Projection 18.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Lamar Jackson▲QB · BALvsTENSTARTScored 20.4 last game, typical 14.317.9
9–28 rangeSTART
Recent form
25
15
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs QBs
1% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 17.9 points, #10 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 20.4 points last game against a typical 14.3 (trending up).
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.
Projection 17.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
11C.J. StroudQB · HOUvsDALSTARTDAL allow 41% more points to QBs16.5
9–26 rangeSTART
Recent form
17
17
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs QBs
41% more points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say start
- Projected 16.5 points, #11 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- DAL's defense has allowed 41% more points to QBs than the league average.
- HOU's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 40 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Bo Nix▲QB · DEN@SFSTARTScored 24.1 last game, typical 1616.0
8–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
5
14
24
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.0 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
DEN underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs QBs
1% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 16.0 points, #12 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 24.1 points last game against a typical 16 (trending up).
- Averaging 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Jacoby Brissett▲QB · ARI@NYGBENCHProjected 16.0 · 0.0 behind #1216.0
8–25 rangeBENCH
Recent form
17
7
26
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.2 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs QBs
8% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 16.0 points, #13 among QBs this week, 0.0 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 25.6 points last game against a typical 14.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 39 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Joe Burrow▲QB · CINvsJAXBENCHJAX allow 12% fewer points to QBs15.8
8–25 rangeBENCH
Recent form
14
16
23
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs QBs
12% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 15.8 points, #14 among QBs this week, 0.2 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- JAX's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 22.6 points last game against a typical 13.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
Projection 15.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Jordan Love▲QB · GB@TBBENCHProjected 15.6 · 0.4 behind #1215.6
8–25 rangeBENCH
Recent form
20
14
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.8 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs QBs
10% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 15.6 points, #15 among QBs this week, 0.4 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 18.5 points last game against a typical 13.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 41 pass attempts a game.
Projection 15.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Jalen HurtsQB · PHIvsLABENCHPHI expected to score only ~20, a tough spot15.2
8–24 rangeBENCH
Recent form
25
16
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
LA vs QBs
7% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 15.2 points, #16 among QBs this week, 0.8 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- PHI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 15.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Daniel Jones▼QB · IND@WASBENCHScored 7.9 last game, typical 15.114.8
8–23 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
11
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs QBs
31% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.8 points, #17 among QBs this week, 1.2 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 7.9 points last game against a typical 15.1 (trending down).
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 31% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Geno Smith▲QB · NYJ@CHIBENCHProjected 13.9 · 2.1 behind #1213.9
7–22 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
16
26
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
@CHIGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYJ underdogs by 3.5
Game total
43.5
CHI vs QBs
8% more points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.9 points, #18 among QBs this week, 2.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 26 points last game against a typical 10.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Deshaun Watson▲QB · CLEvsPITBENCHCLE expected to score only ~18, a tough spot12.9
scored · proj 13.1BENCH
Recent form
14
20
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsPITGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
38.5
PIT vs QBs
2% more points
Wind
11 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.1 points, #19 among QBs this week, 2.9 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 20.3 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Drake Maye▼QB · NE@BUFBENCHScored 3.8 last game, typical 18.512.7
7–20 rangeBENCH
Recent form
10
8
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 18.5 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
BUF vs QBs
10% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.7 points, #20 among QBs this week, 3.3 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 3.8 points last game against a typical 18.5 (trending down).
- Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Sam Darnold▲QB · SEAvsLACBENCHLAC allow 15% fewer points to QBs12.4
6–20 rangeBENCH
Recent form
1
28
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 7
Game total
42.5
LAC vs QBs
15% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.4 points, #21 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- LAC's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 27.7 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 24 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Kirk Cousins▲QB · LVvsKCBENCHKC allow 19% fewer points to QBs12.2
6–19 rangeBENCH
Recent form
14
20
22
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs QBs
19% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.2 points, #22 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- KC's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 22.2 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Marcus Mariota▲QB · WASvsINDBENCHProjected 12.1 · #23 among QBs12.1
6–19 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
20
W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs QBs
10% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.1 points, #23 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 QB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 24 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
24Aaron Rodgers▲QB · PIT@CLEBENCHCLE allow 13% fewer points to QBs22.0
scored · proj 11.6BENCH
Recent form
13
4
23
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.6 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs QBs
13% fewer points
Wind
11 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 11.6 points, #24 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- CLE's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 22.7 points last game against a typical 12.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 38 pass attempts a game.
Projection 11.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Justin HerbertQB · LAC@SEABENCHSEA allow 18% fewer points to QBs11.5
6–18 rangeBENCH
Recent form
13
8
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.9 a game
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
42.5
SEA vs QBs
18% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 11.5 points, #25 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- SEA's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- LAC's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 11.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL@NOBENCHProjected 10.9 · #26 among QBs10.9
6–17 rangeBENCH
Recent form
14
W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 2.5
Game total
47.5
NO vs QBs
9% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.9 points, #26 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
27Kyler MurrayQB · MINvsMIABENCHProjected 10.7 · #27 among QBs10.7
6–17 rangeBENCH
Recent form
-0
10
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs QBs
12% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.7 points, #27 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Averaging 17 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.7 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
28Cam WardQB · TEN@BALBENCHTEN expected to score only ~16, a tough spot10.7
6–17 rangeBENCH
Recent form
12
20
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game
This week's matchup
@BALGame page →
Expected team score
~16 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 11.5
Game total
42.5
BAL vs QBs
5% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.7 points, #28 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- TEN's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Case Keenum▲QB · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 10.3 · #29 among QBs10.3
5–16 rangeBENCH
Recent form
25
W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs QBs
12% more points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.3 points, #29 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: Scored 24.5 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 10.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
30Justin FieldsQB · KC@LVBENCHProjected 9.8 · #30 among QBs9.8
5–15 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 13.0 a game.
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs QBs
3% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 9.8 points, #30 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaged last season 23 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 9.8 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
31Malik WillisQB · MIA@MINBENCHMIN allow 29% fewer points to QBs8.7
5–14 rangeBENCH
Recent form
17
13
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
@MINGame page →
Expected team score
~14 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 10
Game total
38.5
MIN vs QBs
29% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.7 points, #31 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- MIN's defense has allowed 29% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 14 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 8.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
32Carson WentzQB · MINvsMIABENCHProjected 8.4 · #32 among QBs8.4
4–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
19
6
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs QBs
12% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.4 points, #32 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Averaging 20 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
–Jaxson DartIR▼QB · NYGvsARIOUTOn injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
27
1
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
ARI vs QBs
11% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury.
- Averaging 17 pass attempts a game.
- No. 3 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Baker MayfieldOUTQB · TBvsGBOUTOut — thumb injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
12
12
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsGBGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 3
Game total
38.5
GB vs QBs
7% fewer points
Why we say out
- Out — thumb injury.
- Averaging 32 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Dillon GabrielIRQB · CLEvsPITOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 5.8 a game.
This week's matchup
vsPITGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
38.5
PIT vs QBs
2% more points
Wind
11 mph
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 19 pass attempts a game.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Caleb WilliamsOUT▼QB · CHIvsNYJOUTOut — hamstring injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
37
8
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 16.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs QBs
12% more points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say out
- Out — hamstring injury.
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Skylar ThompsonIRQB · BALvsTENOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs QBs
1% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Carter BradleyIRQB · JAX@CINOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs QBs
9% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Matthew CaldwellIRQB · LA@PHIOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs QBs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Chris OladokunIRQB · KC@LVOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.2 a game.
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs QBs
3% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 18 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Jayden DanielsOUTQB · WASvsINDOUTOut — elbow injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
18
15
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs QBs
10% more points
Why we say out
- Out — elbow injury.
- Averaging 26 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Graham MertzIRQB · HOUvsDALOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs QBs
41% more points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 3 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

About these quarterback rankings

What do Must start, Start, Flex and Bench mean?: Among quarterbacks, the top 6 are must-starts, through #12 are starts, and everyone else is a bench call, in a typical 12-team league.
How are these rankings made?: Each player starts from last season's scoring per game, then this season's games count for more as they pile up. We adjust for the opponent's record against the position, the points Vegas expects the team to score, and the injury report. Every projection and every sentence of explanation comes from our own model.
How often do the rankings update?: Automatically. The rankings are rebuilt about once a minute, and the injury report is re-checked every few minutes, so late injury news reaches the calls quickly. Games further ahead have less to go on until their betting lines are published.
Does the scoring format change these rankings?: No. Scoring for quarterbacks is effectively the same in every common format, so one ranking covers them all.

Want the full method, including where the model is wrong? Read how our fantasy numbers are built, or check the scorecard to see how past calls held up.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report and the NFL's official weekly report via nflverse.