59.3

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Case Keenum playing this week?

No injury designation

Case Keenum has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the New York Jets.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:20 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

From the beat

What reporters are saying about him, last 3 days.

  • Caleb Williams (hamstring) has been ruled OUT for a 2nd straight game. Ben Johnson won't name a QB starter today between Tyson Bagent or Case Keenum.

    Courtney Cronin @CourtneyRCronin · 1d ago · View on X

  • Bears coach Ben Johnson has ruled out Caleb Williams for Week 4 vs. the Jets. But he won’t say who is starting — Tyson Bagent or Case Keenum — on Sunday. “I know both of them are well prepared to play and win a game for us,” Johnson said.

    Adam Jahns @adamjahns · 1d ago · View on X

Ask StatGrades about Case Keenum

Ask your own question

Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

BENCH#29 QB this weekLow confidence

Bench. Projected 10.3 points, #29 among QBs this week.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 10.3 points, #29 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
  • Upside: Scored 24.5 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
  • Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
  • No. 2 QB on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.

Projected points

10.3

Likely range 5–16: the middle half of outcomes

vs NYJ · Game page →

Recent form

W3

Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs QBs
12% more points

All week 4 quarterback rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

38

Height

6'1"

Weight

220 lb

College

Houston

Experience

14 seasons

Draft

2012 · Undrafted

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 59.3?

Keenum's grade sits right around average, built on just one game, so it's an early, shaky read. Every major number - his per-play production, completion accuracy, success rate and win-probability impact - graded out as roughly average, nothing pulling the number up or down much.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.213

Success rate

53%

WPA (sum)

0.20

Opponent adj.

-0.008

Plays graded

34

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Time to throw
2.41s
Aggressiveness
14.7%
CPOE
+1.1%
Expected comp %
69.5%
Completed air yds
5.1
Intended air yds
6.4
Air yds differential
-1.3
Air yds to sticks
-1.1
What do these mean?
Time to throw:
Average seconds from snap to release.
Aggressiveness:
Share of throws into tight coverage, with a defender within one yard of the receiver.
CPOE:
Completion percentage over expected. Compares actual completions to what the difficulty of each throw predicts.
Expected comp %:
The completion percentage the throws would be expected to produce.
Completed air yds:
Average distance the ball travels in the air on completions.
Intended air yds:
Average distance the ball travels in the air on all attempts.
Air yds differential:
Completed air yards minus intended air yards. Negative means completions come shorter than the throws attempted.
Air yds to sticks:
How far the average throw travels past (or short of) the first-down marker.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

Cmp/AttYdsTDINTSkEPACPOEFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
1 game24/342472007.252.824.572100%0%59.3

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameCmp/AttYdsTDINTSkEPACPOEFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · PHI24/342472007.252.824.572100%0%67.2