42.6

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Deshaun Watson playing this week?

No injury designation

Deshaun Watson has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 5 game at the New York Jets.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 11 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:16 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

BENCH#19 QB this weekHigh confidence

Bench. CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 13.1 points, #19 among QBs this week, 2.9 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
  • CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
  • Upside: Scored 20.3 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
  • Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.

Scored

12.9

Projected 13.1 · Likely range 7–21: the middle half of outcomes

vs PIT · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
38.5
PIT vs QBs
2% more points

All week 4 quarterback rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

31

Height

6'3"

Weight

221 lb

College

Clemson

Experience

9 seasons

Draft

2017 · Pick #12 (HOU)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 42.6?

Watson sits in the middle of the pack because no single measure moved his grade much in either direction. His efficiency numbers were decent, and the defenses he faced were tougher than average. His game grades swung widely, from 71.7 in week 2 to 4.7 in week 3.

Lifting the grade

  • Big plays: a 55-yard touchdown to Boston at Tampa Bay in week 2 (+5.2 expected points) and a 46-yard touchdown to Boston at Jacksonville in week 1 (+4.7).
  • Week 3 vs CAR: a 2-yard touchdown pass to Fannin on 4th and 2 was worth +4.3 expected points.

Holding it back

  • Week 1 at Jacksonville: an interception intended for Jeudy, returned 22 yards, cost 6.4 expected points.
  • Also in week 1, a fumble after a short completion to Concepcion cost 4.3 expected points.
  • A week 1 sack on 4th and 4 for a 6-yard loss cost 3.7 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.097

Success rate

50%

WPA (sum)

0.71

Opponent adj.

0.085

Plays graded

127

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 4 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Time to throw
2.79s
Aggressiveness
13.9%
CPOE
-2.6%
Expected comp %
72.1%
Completed air yds
4.2
Intended air yds
6.6
Air yds differential
-2.4
Air yds to sticks
-2.9
WeekTime to throwAggressivenessCPOE
13.04s13.6%+3.6%
22.55s13.3%+3.0%
33.17s10.0%-15.9%
42.51s18.2%+0.5%
What do these mean?
Time to throw:
Average seconds from snap to release.
Aggressiveness:
Share of throws into tight coverage, with a defender within one yard of the receiver.
CPOE:
Completion percentage over expected. Compares actual completions to what the difficulty of each throw predicts.
Expected comp %:
The completion percentage the throws would be expected to produce.
Completed air yds:
Average distance the ball travels in the air on completions.
Intended air yds:
Average distance the ball travels in the air on all attempts.
Air yds differential:
Completed air yards minus intended air yards. Negative means completions come shorter than the throws attempted.
Air yds to sticks:
How far the average throw travels past (or short of) the first-down marker.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

Cmp/AttYdsTDINTSkEPACPOEFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
4 games80/115855621116.541.266.9242100%0%42.6

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameCmp/AttYdsTDINTSkEPACPOEFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 4 · PIT24/332681129.183.812.964100%0%50.0
Wk 3 · CAR16/301442022.54-13.720.36999%0%4.7
Wk 2 · TB24/3023820210.376.419.758100%0%71.7
Wk 1 · JAX16/22205115-5.5610.314.051100%0%64.1