83.3

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Injury alert

Out — hamstring injury

Practice: Did not practice — hamstring injury

Updated Fri 1:00 PM ET · Est. return Oct 11 · Source: ESPN injury report · Practice: NFL official injury report, week 4 (via nflverse)

Is Caleb Williams playing this week?

Out

Caleb Williams is listed as Out for the week 4 game against the New York Jets (hamstring injury). Out means not expected to play.

Estimated return: Oct 11.

Official practice report (week 4): Did not practice, hamstring injury.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:18 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

From the beat

What reporters are saying about him, last 3 days.

  • Bears final injury report vs. Jets NO injury designation for D'Andre Swift, who popped up with a knee injury Thursday and was DNP. He was a full participant today. OUT: Caleb Williams, Braxton Jones, Kyler Gordon (PUP* full practice for a 2nd straight day), Noah Sewell (PUP*),

    Courtney Cronin @CourtneyRCronin · 1d ago · View on X

  • Caleb Williams (hamstring) has been ruled OUT for a 2nd straight game. Ben Johnson won't name a QB starter today between Tyson Bagent or Case Keenum.

    Courtney Cronin @CourtneyRCronin · 1d ago · View on X

  • Bears coach Ben Johnson has ruled out Caleb Williams for Week 4 vs. the Jets. But he won’t say who is starting — Tyson Bagent or Case Keenum — on Sunday. “I know both of them are well prepared to play and win a game for us,” Johnson said.

    Adam Jahns @adamjahns · 1d ago · View on X

  • Good news for Swift. In other news, Caleb Williams ruled out.

    Ian Rapoport @RapSheet · 1d ago · View on X

Injury ripple · Week 4

Caleb Williams out for Bears; Bagent, Keenum, Moss in mix at QB

Bears quarterback Caleb Williams is out with a hamstring injury, and per the Sun-Times he has a Grade 2 hamstring strain, with other outlets reporting a 3-4 week timeline. There are no games without Williams to compare, so this note leans on his own workload and what the backup options have shown as passers.

Read the full note →

Ask StatGrades about Caleb Williams

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

OUTOUTLow confidence

Ruled out — find a replacement.

Why we say out

  • Out — hamstring injury.
  • Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.

Projected points

0.0

Likely range 0–0: the middle half of outcomes

vs NYJ · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2

Dashed line: the usual 16.8 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs QBs
12% more points

All week 4 quarterback rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

24

Height

6'1"

Weight

226 lb

College

USC; Oklahoma

Experience

2 seasons

Draft

2024 · Pick #1 (CHI)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 83.3?

Efficient passing drove this grade: he added a lot of expected points per dropback against tougher-than-average defenses and completed more passes than expected. It's a small sample of 60 dropbacks over 2 games, so a few plays can swing it, and his games ranged from 96.6 to 24.7.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per dropback of +0.356 expected points per play ranked 3rd of 27 QBs, with extra credit of 0.141 for tough defenses.
  • Completion percentage over expected of +6.2 points ranked 7th of 27.
  • Week 1 vs CAR: a 47-yard deep right pass to Odunze (+3.8 expected points), plus a 22-yard touchdown to Kmet.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.215

Success rate

45%

WPA (sum)

0.44

Opponent adj.

0.142

Plays graded

60

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 2 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Time to throw
3.42s
Aggressiveness
14.5%
CPOE
+3.3%
Expected comp %
62.2%
Completed air yds
5.5
Intended air yds
7.4
Air yds differential
-1.9
Air yds to sticks
-2.7
WeekTime to throwAggressivenessCPOE
13.16s13.8%+11.4%
23.71s15.4%-5.7%
What do these mean?
Time to throw:
Average seconds from snap to release.
Aggressiveness:
Share of throws into tight coverage, with a defender within one yard of the receiver.
CPOE:
Completion percentage over expected. Compares actual completions to what the difficulty of each throw predicts.
Expected comp %:
The completion percentage the throws would be expected to produce.
Completed air yds:
Average distance the ball travels in the air on completions.
Intended air yds:
Average distance the ball travels in the air on all attempts.
Air yds differential:
Completed air yards minus intended air yards. Negative means completions come shorter than the throws attempted.
Air yds to sticks:
How far the average throw travels past (or short of) the first-down marker.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

Cmp/AttYdsTDINTSkEPACPOEFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
2 games36/5540721517.526.145.013993%0%83.3

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameCmp/AttYdsTDINTSkEPACPOEFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 2 · MIN15/26138013-1.05-5.67.76486%0%28.3
Wk 1 · CAR21/2926920218.5716.637.375100%0%95.3