Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Brock Purdy Or Caleb Williams?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (18.7 vs 16.4). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Brock Purdy (55%).
Brock Purdy outscores Caleb Williams 55% of the time; Caleb Williams 45%.
QB, SF at ATL
18.7 projected PPR points
Likely range 10–30 · QB8 this week · Start
Start. SF's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
QB, CHI vs NE
16.4 projected PPR points
Likely range 9–26 · QB10 this week · Start
Start. CHI's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Side by side
| Brock Purdy | Caleb Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| 18.7 | Projected points | 16.4 |
| 9.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 8.5 |
| 29.5 | Ceiling (a big day) | 25.8 |
| ATL +5% | Matchup | NE -13% |
| ~27 pts | Team's expected score | ~27 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.