Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Aaron Rodgers or Caleb Williams?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Start Caleb Williams
Caleb Williams has about a 58% chance to outscore Aaron Rodgers (projected 19.2 vs 15.1).
Aaron Rodgers outscores Caleb Williams 42% of the time; Caleb Williams 58%.
QB, PIT at TB
15.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 8–24 · QB15 this week · Bench
Bench. Wind of 15 mph can hurt the passing game.
QB, CHI at ATL
19.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 10–30 · QB6 this week · Must start
Must start. CHI's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Why
- Caleb Williams projects 4.1 points higher.
- Caleb Williams's team is expected to score more, which lifts everyone in the offense.
- Caleb Williams has the safer floor.
Side by side
| Aaron Rodgers | Caleb Williams | |
|---|---|---|
| 15.1 | Projected points | 19.2 |
| 7.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 10.0 |
| 23.8 | Ceiling (a big day) | 30.3 |
| TB +5% | Matchup | ATL +5% |
| ~20 pts | Team's expected score | ~27 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Cold ▼ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.