Fantasy · Week 6 · Start or sit
Caleb Williams or Jordan Love?
Our week 6 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (19.2 vs 20.3). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Jordan Love (52%).
Caleb Williams outscores Jordan Love 48% of the time; Jordan Love 52%.
QB, CHI at ATL
19.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 10–30 · QB6 this week · Must start
Must start. CHI's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
QB, GB vs DAL
20.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 11–32 · QB5 this week · Must start
Must start. Scored 25.3 points last game against a typical 13.8 (trending up).
Side by side
| Caleb Williams | Jordan Love | |
|---|---|---|
| 19.2 | Projected points | 20.3 |
| 10.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 10.6 |
| 30.3 | Ceiling (a big day) | 32.0 |
| ATL +5% | Matchup | DAL +37% |
| ~27 pts | Team's expected score | ~28 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.