Injury alert
Out — thumb injury
Practice: Did not practice — thumb injury
Updated Mon 12:41 PM ET · Est. return Oct 25 · Source: ESPN injury report · Practice: NFL official injury report, week 4 (via nflverse)
Is Baker Mayfield playing this week?
OutBaker Mayfield is listed as Out for the week 4 game against the Green Bay Packers (thumb injury). Out means not expected to play.
Estimated return: Oct 25.
Official practice report (week 4): Did not practice, thumb injury.
Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.
Checked Oct 3, 7:15 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.
From the beat
What reporters are saying about him, last 3 days.
Bowles says four players are ruled out for Sunday: QB Baker Mayfield, OLB Rueben Bain, CB Benjamin Morrison and TE Ko Kieft. Diaby, Trotter, Irving and others are all good to go.
Greg Auman @gregauman · 1d ago · View on X
Injury ripple · Week 4
Mayfield out for Bucs; Daniels set to start behind him
Baker Mayfield is out with a thumb injury, and the Buccaneers have no games without him over the last two seasons to show how the offense shifts. Jalon Daniels is expected to start, per @rapsheet.bsky.social, though he's thrown just 3 pass attempts in his lone game this season.
Read the full note →Ask StatGrades about Baker Mayfield
Ask your own questionOur numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.
Fantasy football · Week 4
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Ruled out — find a replacement.
Why we say out
- Out — thumb injury.
- Averaging 32 pass attempts a game.
Recent form
Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~18 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 38.5
- GB vs QBs
- 7% fewer points
All week 4 quarterback rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →
Age
31
Height
6'1"
Weight
215 lb
College
Oklahoma; Texas Tech
Experience
8 seasons
Draft
2018 · Pick #1 (CLE)
Status
ACT
Grade Breakdown
What do these mean?Why 20.4?
Mayfield's grade is low mainly because his offense lost expected points on a typical dropback, ranking last among 27 QBs even after crediting him for tough defenses. His completion rate relative to expectation was also below average. The sample is small, just 109 dropbacks over 3 games.
Holding it back
- EPA per dropback was -0.283, 27th of 27, even after a small credit for tougher-than-average defenses.
- Completion percentage over expected was only +0.3 points, 20th of 27.
- Costly plays: a week 1 sack-fumble at CIN (-6.6 expected points) and a week 2 interception against CLE on a deep left throw intended for Hurst (-6.2).
Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).
EPA / play
-0.297
Success rate
35%
WPA (sum)
-1.33
Opponent adj.
0.014
Plays graded
109
Advanced stats
2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats| Week | Time to throw | Aggressiveness | CPOE |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.88s | 10.7% | +15.4% |
| 2 | 2.99s | 17.6% | +3.8% |
| 3 | 3.08s | 8.8% | -16.1% |
What do these mean?
- Time to throw:
- Average seconds from snap to release.
- Aggressiveness:
- Share of throws into tight coverage, with a defender within one yard of the receiver.
- CPOE:
- Completion percentage over expected. Compares actual completions to what the difficulty of each throw predicts.
- Expected comp %:
- The completion percentage the throws would be expected to produce.
- Completed air yds:
- Average distance the ball travels in the air on completions.
- Intended air yds:
- Average distance the ball travels in the air on all attempts.
- Air yds differential:
- Completed air yards minus intended air yards. Negative means completions come shorter than the throws attempted.
- Air yds to sticks:
- How far the average throw travels past (or short of) the first-down marker.
Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.