24.1

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Daniel Jones playing this week?

No injury designation

Daniel Jones has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Washington Commanders.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:21 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

BENCH#17 QB this weekHigh confidence

Bench. Scored 7.9 points last game against a typical 15.1 (trending down).

Why we say bench

  • Projected 14.8 points, #17 among QBs this week, 1.2 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
  • Scored 7.9 points last game against a typical 15.1 (trending down).
  • Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 31% more points to QBs than the league average.
  • Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.

Projected points

14.8

Likely range 8–23: the middle half of outcomes

@ WAS · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs QBs
31% more points

All week 4 quarterback rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

29

Height

6'5"

Weight

230 lb

College

Duke

Experience

7 seasons

Draft

2019 · Pick #6 (NYG)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 24.1?

Jones grades in the bottom third of qualifying QBs because his plays lost expected points and his completions fell short of what was expected. Turnovers and sacks, including two lost fumbles against Houston, did the most damage. The sample is small: 104 dropbacks over 3 games.

Holding it back

  • EPA per dropback was -0.172, 23rd of 27 QBs, even against defenses easier than average.
  • Completion percentage over expected was -0.6 points, 21st of 27.
  • Costly plays: a Week 3 sack-fumble vs HOU (-6.3 expected points) and a Week 1 interception vs BAL intended for Treadwell (-4.8).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

-0.156

Success rate

43%

WPA (sum)

-0.08

Opponent adj.

-0.016

Plays graded

104

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Time to throw
2.80s
Aggressiveness
17.3%
CPOE
+2.1%
Expected comp %
64.2%
Completed air yds
4.8
Intended air yds
6.5
Air yds differential
-1.7
Air yds to sticks
-2.2
WeekTime to throwAggressivenessCPOE
12.84s12.9%-2.4%
22.80s25.8%+9.5%
32.76s13.9%-0.2%
What do these mean?
Time to throw:
Average seconds from snap to release.
Aggressiveness:
Share of throws into tight coverage, with a defender within one yard of the receiver.
CPOE:
Completion percentage over expected. Compares actual completions to what the difficulty of each throw predicts.
Expected comp %:
The completion percentage the throws would be expected to produce.
Completed air yds:
Average distance the ball travels in the air on completions.
Intended air yds:
Average distance the ball travels in the air on all attempts.
Air yds differential:
Completed air yards minus intended air yards. Negative means completions come shorter than the throws attempted.
Air yds to sticks:
How far the average throw travels past (or short of) the first-down marker.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

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Cmp/AttYdsTDINTSkEPACPOEFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games65/98611336-10.60-0.628.3190100%0%24.1

Game log

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GameCmp/AttYdsTDINTSkEPACPOEFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · HOU24/36235114-6.87-0.87.971100%0%42.2
Wk 2 · KC22/312101105.893.911.465100%0%58.3
Wk 1 · BAL19/31166112-9.61-5.19.054100%0%10.9