Is Dalton Kincaid playing this week?
No injury designationDalton Kincaid has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the New England Patriots.
Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.
Checked Oct 3, 7:17 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.
Ask StatGrades about Dalton Kincaid
Ask your own questionOur numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.
Fantasy football · Week 4
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Start. BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
Why we say start
- Projected 10.6 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 3.8 points last game against a typical 9 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Recent form
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BUF favored by 7
- Game total
- 49.5
- NE vs TEs
- 12% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 67%
All week 4 tight end rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →
Age
26
Height
6'3"
Weight
246 lb
College
Utah; Univ of California-San Diego
Experience
3 seasons
Draft
2023 · Pick #25 (BUF)
Status
ACT
Grade Breakdown
What do these mean?Why 93.8?
Kincaid's grade is driven by how much each target added in expected points, which ranks 2nd of 24 tight ends. Big plays in weeks 1 and 2 did most of the work, though week 3 was a rough game. The sample is small at 17 targets over 3 games.
Lifting the grade
- EPA per target of +0.768 expected points, 2nd of 24 tight ends, lifted the grade a lot.
- Week 1 vs HOU: a 40-yard catch on 3rd and 4 from Allen, worth +3.7 expected points.
- Week 2 vs DET: a 16-yard touchdown on 2nd and 13, worth +3.3 expected points.
Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).
EPA / play
0.772
Success rate
65%
WPA (sum)
0.43
Opponent adj.
-0.002
Plays graded
17
Advanced stats
2026 season through Week 2 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats| Week | Separation | Cushion | YAC above exp |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2.0 | 6.8 | +4.3 |
| 2 | 4.1 | 6.1 | +1.0 |
What do these mean?
- Separation:
- Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
- Cushion:
- Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
- YAC above exp:
- Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
- YAC / rec:
- Average yards after the catch per reception.
- Expected YAC:
- Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
- Air yards share:
- Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
- Intended air yds:
- Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
- Catch %:
- Receptions divided by targets.
Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.