Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Dalton Kincaid Or Travis Kelce?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Start Travis Kelce
Travis Kelce has about a 64% chance to outscore Dalton Kincaid (projected 10.0 vs 5.5).
Dalton Kincaid outscores Travis Kelce 36% of the time; Travis Kelce 64%.
TE, BUF at MIN · Questionable — chest injury
5.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 0–10 · TE24 this week · Bench
Bench. Questionable — chest injury.
TE, KC vs NYJ
10.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · TE8 this week · Start
Start. KC's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
Why
- Travis Kelce is the healthier option.
- Travis Kelce projects 4.5 points higher.
- Travis Kelce faces the more generous defense for his position.
Side by side
| Dalton Kincaid | Travis Kelce | |
|---|---|---|
| 5.5 | Projected points | 10.0 |
| 0.0 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.6 |
| 9.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 17.7 |
| MIN -34% | Matchup | NYJ +6% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~29 pts |
| Questionable — chest injury | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| Low | Our confidence | High |
Dalton Kincaid: Questionable — chest injury. Confirm his status before kickoff.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.