Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Sam LaPorta Or Travis Kelce?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.8 vs 10.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Sam LaPorta (52%).
Sam LaPorta outscores Travis Kelce 52% of the time; Travis Kelce 48%.
TE, DET at MIA
10.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–19 · TE7 this week · Start
Start. MIA's defense has allowed 30% more points to TEs than the league average.
TE, KC vs NYJ
10.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · TE8 this week · Start
Start. KC's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
Side by side
| Sam LaPorta | Travis Kelce | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.8 | Projected points | 10.0 |
| 3.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.6 |
| 19.1 | Ceiling (a big day) | 17.7 |
| MIA +30% | Matchup | NYJ +6% |
| ~29 pts | Team's expected score | ~29 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.