Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
Sam LaPorta Or Tucker Kraft?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Start Sam LaPorta
Sam LaPorta has about a 58% chance to outscore Tucker Kraft (projected 13.5 vs 9.9).
Sam LaPorta outscores Tucker Kraft 58% of the time; Tucker Kraft 42%.
TE, DET vs GB
13.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–24 · TE4 this week · Must start
Must start. Scored 19.8 points last game against a typical 9.7 (trending up).
TE, GB at DET
9.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–18 · TE6 this week · Start
Start. DET's defense has allowed 53% more points to TEs than the league average.
Why
- Sam LaPorta projects 3.6 points higher.
- Sam LaPorta's team is expected to score more, which lifts everyone in the offense.
- Sam LaPorta has been scoring better relative to his usual.
Side by side
| Sam LaPorta | Tucker Kraft | |
|---|---|---|
| 13.5 | Projected points | 9.9 |
| 4.9 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.6 |
| 23.9 | Ceiling (a big day) | 17.5 |
| GB -18% | Matchup | DET +53% |
| ~28 pts | Team's expected score | ~25 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
They play in the same game, so their scores tend to rise and fall together. The probability above treats them as independent.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.