Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
George Kittle Or Sam LaPorta?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (12.8 vs 13.5). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Sam LaPorta (51%).
George Kittle outscores Sam LaPorta 49% of the time; Sam LaPorta 51%.
TE, SF at ATL
12.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–23 · TE5 this week · Must start
Must start. Mike Evans out: more work to go around (about +1.9 points).
TE, DET vs GB
13.5 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–24 · TE4 this week · Must start
Must start. Scored 19.8 points last game against a typical 9.7 (trending up).
Side by side
| George Kittle | Sam LaPorta | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8 | Projected points | 13.5 |
| 4.6 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.9 |
| 22.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 23.9 |
| ATL -7% | Matchup | GB -18% |
| ~27 pts | Team's expected score | ~28 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.