Fantasy · Week 7 · Start or sit
George Kittle Or Kyle Pitts?
Our week 7 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Start George Kittle
George Kittle has about a 59% chance to outscore Kyle Pitts (projected 12.8 vs 9.1).
George Kittle outscores Kyle Pitts 59% of the time; Kyle Pitts 41%.
TE, SF at ATL
12.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–23 · TE5 this week · Must start
Must start. Mike Evans out: more work to go around (about +1.9 points).
TE, ATL vs SF
9.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–16 · TE7 this week · Start
Start. Scored 23 points last game against a typical 11.1 (trending up).
Why
- George Kittle projects 3.7 points higher.
- George Kittle's team is expected to score more, which lifts everyone in the offense.
- George Kittle has the safer floor.
Side by side
| George Kittle | Kyle Pitts | |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8 | Projected points | 9.1 |
| 4.6 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.3 |
| 22.6 | Ceiling (a big day) | 16.1 |
| ATL -7% | Matchup | SF -8% |
| ~27 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
They play in the same game, so their scores tend to rise and fall together. The probability above treats them as independent.
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.