85.4

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is George Kittle playing this week?

No injury designation

George Kittle has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Denver Broncos.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:31 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

Ask StatGrades about George Kittle

Ask your own question

Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
MUST START#3 TE this weekHigh confidence

Must start. Scored 26.2 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending up).

Why we say must start

  • Projected 14.1 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
  • Scored 26.2 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending up).
  • SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
  • Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
  • Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

14.1

Likely range 5–25: the middle half of outcomes

vs DEN · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 3
Game total
47.5
DEN vs TEs
5% more points
Last game snaps
85%

All week 4 tight end rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

32

Height

6'4"

Weight

250 lb

College

Iowa

Experience

9 seasons

Draft

2017 · Pick #146 (SF)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 85.4?

Kittle's grade is driven by how much expected points he created per target, which ranks 4th of 24 tight ends. After a rough week 1, he was excellent in weeks 2 and 3. This is a small sample of 16 targets over 3 games.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per target of +0.650, 4th of 24 tight ends, lifted the grade a lot.
  • Week 3 vs ARI: a 20-yard touchdown from Purdy on 2nd and 10 in Q4 (+4.6 expected points).
  • Week 2 vs MIA: a 40-yard catch on 1st and 10 in Q3 (+2.6 expected points).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.650

Success rate

69%

WPA (sum)

0.03

Opponent adj.

0.000

Plays graded

16

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
3.4
Cushion
5.1
YAC above exp
+0.5
YAC / rec
7.0
Expected YAC
6.5
Air yards share
23.1%
Intended air yds
8.7
Catch %
75.0%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
12.13.4+2.0
33.15.6+1.3
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games1612174347.410160%0%85.4

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · ARI7682226.24685%0%98.1
Wk 2 · MIA4480118.02548%0%87.5
Wk 1 · LA521203.23046%0%6.3