Fantasy · Week 9 · Start or sit
Dalton Kincaid Or Sam LaPorta?
Our week 9 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (8.9 vs 10.8). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Sam LaPorta (55%).
Dalton Kincaid outscores Sam LaPorta 45% of the time; Sam LaPorta 55%.
TE, BUF at MIN
8.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–16 · TE10 this week · Start
Start. Scored 18.6 points last game against a typical 9 (trending up).
TE, DET at MIA
10.8 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–19 · TE8 this week · Start
Start. MIA's defense has allowed 30% more points to TEs than the league average.
Side by side
| Dalton Kincaid | Sam LaPorta | |
|---|---|---|
| 8.9 | Projected points | 10.8 |
| 3.2 | Floor (a bad day) | 3.9 |
| 15.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 19.1 |
| MIN -34% | Matchup | MIA +30% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~29 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Hot ▲ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.