Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Harold Fannin Jr. or Sam LaPorta?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (10.6 vs 13.2). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Sam LaPorta (56%).
Harold Fannin Jr. outscores Sam LaPorta 44% of the time; Sam LaPorta 56%.
TE, CLE at NYJ
10.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 4–19 · TE6 this week · Start
Start. Projected 10.6 points, #6 among TEs this week.
TE, DET at ARI
13.2 projected PPR points
Likely range 5–23 · TE4 this week · Must start
Must start. Scored 22.4 points last game against a typical 9.7 (trending up).
Side by side
| Harold Fannin Jr. | Sam LaPorta | |
|---|---|---|
| 10.6 | Projected points | 13.2 |
| 3.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 4.8 |
| 18.7 | Ceiling (a big day) | 23.3 |
| NYJ 0% | Matchup | ARI +31% |
| ~19 pts | Team's expected score | ~30 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.