Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Dalton Kincaid or Kyle Pitts?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.6 vs 7.6). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Dalton Kincaid (50%).
Dalton Kincaid outscores Kyle Pitts 50% of the time; Kyle Pitts 50%.
TE, BUF at LA
7.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · TE16 this week · Flex
Flex option. BUF's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
TE, ATL vs BAL
7.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · TE17 this week · Bench
Bench. BAL's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Side by side
| Dalton Kincaid | Kyle Pitts | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.6 | Projected points | 7.6 |
| 2.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.7 |
| 13.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 13.4 |
| LA -18% | Matchup | BAL -20% |
| ~26 pts | Team's expected score | ~23 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.