Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Dalton Kincaid or Hunter Henry?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.6 vs 7.9). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Hunter Henry (51%).
Dalton Kincaid outscores Hunter Henry 49% of the time; Hunter Henry 51%.
TE, BUF at LA
7.6 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · TE16 this week · Flex
Flex option. BUF's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
TE, NE vs LV
7.9 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–14 · TE14 this week · Flex
Flex option. Projected 7.9 points, #14 among TEs this week.
Side by side
| Dalton Kincaid | Hunter Henry | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.6 | Projected points | 7.9 |
| 2.7 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.8 |
| 13.4 | Ceiling (a big day) | 14.0 |
| LA -18% | Matchup | LV -6% |
| ~26 pts | Team's expected score | ~25 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Cold ▼ | Recent form | Steady |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.