Fantasy · Week 4 · 2026
Week 4 TE fantasy rankings
Our week 4 tight end rankings for Half PPR scoring: Brock Bowers (LV) is the top-ranked TE at a projected 12.0 points, followed by George Kittle and Trey McBride.
Early season: only 3 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.
1Brock Bowers▲TE · LVvsKCMUST STARTScored 22.6 last game, typical 10.312.0
4–21 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 4.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- KC vs TEs
- 13% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.0 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 22.6 points last game against a typical 10.3 (trending up).
- Concern: KC's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 13 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
2George Kittle▲TE · SFvsDENMUST STARTScored 23.2 last game, typical 10.211.9
4–21 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- SF favored by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- DEN vs TEs
- 3% more points
- Last game snaps
- 85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.9 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 23.2 points last game against a typical 10.2 (trending up).
- SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Trey McBrideTE · ARI@NYGMUST STARTProjected 11.7 · #3 among TEs11.7
4–21 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 13.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NYG vs TEs
- 15% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 91%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.7 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Concern: NYG's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Tyler WarrenTE · IND@WASMUST STARTMore work with Keenan Allen out10.9
4–19 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~26 pts
- Vegas line
- IND favored by 4.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- WAS vs TEs
- 39% more points
- Last game snaps
- 94%
Why we say must start
- Projected 10.9 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).
- WAS's defense has allowed 39% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Travis Kelce▲TE · KC@LVMUST STARTScored 12.9 last game, typical 8.210.4
4–18 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~26 pts
- Vegas line
- KC favored by 4.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- LV vs TEs
- 1% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 10.4 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 12.9 points last game against a typical 8.2 (trending up).
- KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Juwan Johnson▲TE · NOvsATLSTARTScored 19.3 last game, typical 7.49.5
3–17 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- NO favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- ATL vs TEs
- 9% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 62%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.5 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 19.3 points last game against a typical 7.4 (trending up).
- NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Dalton Kincaid▼TE · BUFvsNESTARTBUF expected to score ~28, a strong spot8.8
3–16 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BUF favored by 7
- Game total
- 49.5
- NE vs TEs
- 14% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 67%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.8 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 2.8 points last game against a typical 7.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Harold Fannin Jr.▲TE · CLEvsPITSTARTScored 20.6 last game, typical 8.410.2
scored · proj 8.8STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~18 pts
- Vegas line
- CLE underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 38.5
- PIT vs TEs
- 11% more points
- Wind
- 11 mph
- Last game snaps
- 86%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.8 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 20.6 points last game against a typical 8.4 (trending up).
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 86% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Dalton SchultzTE · HOUvsDALSTARTHOU expected to score ~26, a strong spot8.6
3–15 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~26 pts
- Vegas line
- HOU favored by 3
- Game total
- 48.5
- DAL vs TEs
- 2% more points
- Wind
- 10 mph
- Last game snaps
- 54%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.6 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- HOU's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 54% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Sam LaPortaTE · DET@CARSTARTDET expected to score ~27, a strong spot8.5
3–15 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 50.5
- CAR vs TEs
- 6% more points
- Last game snaps
- 92%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.5 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 92% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Mike Gesicki▲TE · CINvsJAXSTARTScored 11.2 last game, typical 4.17.6
3–13 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W3Dashed line: the usual 4.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- CIN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 51.5
- JAX vs TEs
- 4% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 51%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.6 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 11.2 points last game against a typical 4.1 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Jake FergusonTE · DAL@HOUSTARTProjected 7.5 · #12 among TEs7.5
3–13 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 48.5
- HOU vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
- Last game snaps
- 69%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.5 points, #12 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Tucker Kraft▼TE · GB@TBFLEXTB allow 20% more points to TEs7.4
3–13 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 10.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- GB favored by 3
- Game total
- 38.5
- TB vs TEs
- 20% more points
- Last game snaps
- 76%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.4 points, #13 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- TB's defense has allowed 20% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 4.6 points last game against a typical 10.1 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Kyle Pitts▼TE · ATL@NOFLEXProjected 7.0 · #14 among TEs7.0
3–12 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- NO vs TEs
- 9% more points
- Last game snaps
- 59%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.0 points, #14 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Concern: Scored 1 points last game against a typical 8.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
15T.J. HockensonTE · MINvsMIAFLEXMore work with Justin Jefferson out6.4
2–11 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN favored by 10
- Game total
- 38.5
- MIA vs TEs
- 23% more points
- Last game snaps
- 85%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.4 points, #15 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
- MIA's defense has allowed 23% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Brenton StrangeTE · JAX@CINFLEXCIN allow 53% more points to TEs6.3
2–11 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- JAX underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 51.5
- CIN vs TEs
- 53% more points
- Last game snaps
- 77%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.3 points, #16 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- CIN's defense has allowed 53% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Isaiah LikelyTE · NYGvsARIBENCHProjected 6.3 · 0.0 behind #166.3
2–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYG underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 31% more points
- Last game snaps
- 84%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.3 points, #17 among TEs this week, 0.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 31% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
18AJ BarnerTE · SEAvsLACBENCHLAC allow 19% fewer points to TEs5.9
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- SEA favored by 7
- Game total
- 42.5
- LAC vs TEs
- 19% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 91%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.9 points, #18 among TEs this week, 0.4 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- LAC's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Zach Ertz▼TE · PHIvsLABENCHLA allow 14% fewer points to TEs5.7
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 6.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- PHI underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- LA vs TEs
- 14% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
- Last game snaps
- 38%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.7 points, #19 among TEs this week, 0.6 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- LA's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Scored 1.4 points last game against a typical 6.8 (trending down).
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
Projection 5.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Mark AndrewsTE · BALvsTENBENCHProjected 5.4 · 0.9 behind #165.4
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 11.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- TEN vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 52%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.4 points, #20 among TEs this week, 0.9 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Colston LovelandTE · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 5.4 · 0.9 behind #165.4
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYJ vs TEs
- 2% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
- Last game snaps
- 79%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.4 points, #21 among TEs this week, 0.9 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Chig OkonkwoTE · WASvsINDBENCHProjected 5.4 · 0.9 behind #165.4
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS underdogs by 4.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- IND vs TEs
- 19% more points
- Last game snaps
- 56%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.4 points, #22 among TEs this week, 0.9 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: IND's defense has allowed 19% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 56% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Darren WallerTE · CARvsDETBENCHProjected 5.1 · 1.2 behind #165.1
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- CAR underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 50.5
- DET vs TEs
- 47% more points
- Last game snaps
- 51%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.1 points, #23 among TEs this week, 1.2 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 47% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 5.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Hunter Henry▼TE · NE@BUFBENCHScored 1 last game, typical 7.85.0
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NE underdogs by 7
- Game total
- 49.5
- BUF vs TEs
- 37% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 70%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.0 points, #24 among TEs this week, 1.3 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 1 points last game against a typical 7.8 (trending down).
- BUF's defense has allowed 37% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Oronde Gadsden II▼TE · LAC@SEABENCHScored 0 last game, typical 6.34.9
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~18 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 7
- Game total
- 42.5
- SEA vs TEs
- 1% more points
- Last game snaps
- 57%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.9 points, #25 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 6.3 (trending down).
- LAC's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 2.3 targets a game.
Projection 4.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Cade OttonTE · TBvsGBBENCHGB allow 13% fewer points to TEs4.6
2–8 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~18 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 38.5
- GB vs TEs
- 13% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 94%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.6 points, #26 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- GB's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Kenny Fletcher Jr.TE · IND@WASBENCHProjected 4.1 · #27 among TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~26 pts
- Vegas line
- IND favored by 4.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- WAS vs TEs
- 39% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #27 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 39% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
28Miles KitselmanTE · DET@CARBENCHProjected 3.8 · #28 among TEs3.8
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 50.5
- CAR vs TEs
- 6% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #28 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
29Thomas GordonTE · DET@CARBENCHProjected 3.8 · #29 among TEs3.8
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 50.5
- CAR vs TEs
- 6% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #29 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
30Greg DulcichTE · MIA@MINBENCHMIN allow 23% fewer points to TEs3.8
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~14 pts
- Vegas line
- MIA underdogs by 10
- Game total
- 38.5
- MIN vs TEs
- 23% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 70%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #30 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- MIN's defense has allowed 23% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 14 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Kenyon SadiqQ▲TE · NYJ@CHIBENCHQuestionable — back injury3.8
0–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- CHI vs TEs
- 15% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
- Last game snaps
- 58%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #31 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Questionable — back injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, back injury. If active, about 5.9 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- CHI's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 20 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
Projection 3.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
32Joshua SimonTE · WASvsINDBENCHProjected 3.7 · #32 among TEs3.7
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS underdogs by 4.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- IND vs TEs
- 19% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.7 points, #32 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: IND's defense has allowed 19% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
33Khalil DinkinsTE · SFvsDENBENCHProjected 3.7 · #33 among TEs3.7
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- SF favored by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- DEN vs TEs
- 3% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.7 points, #33 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
34Jack VellingTE · ATL@NOBENCHProjected 3.6 · #34 among TEs3.6
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- NO vs TEs
- 9% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.6 points, #34 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →
35Thomas OdukoyaTE · KC@LVBENCHProjected 3.6 · #35 among TEs3.6
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~26 pts
- Vegas line
- KC favored by 4.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- LV vs TEs
- 1% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.6 points, #35 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →
36Evan Engram▼TE · DEN@SFBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 4.33.6
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- DEN underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SF vs TEs
- League average
- Last game snaps
- 60%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.6 points, #36 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 4.3 (trending down).
- Averaging 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 60% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
37Nick VannettTE · BALvsTENBENCHProjected 3.5 · #37 among TEs3.5
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 11.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- TEN vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #37 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
38Qadir IsmailTE · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 3.5 · #38 among TEs3.5
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYJ vs TEs
- 2% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #38 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
39Stephen CarlsonTE · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 3.5 · #39 among TEs3.5
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYJ vs TEs
- 2% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #39 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
40Michael TriggTE · DAL@HOUBENCHProjected 3.4 · #40 among TEs3.4
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 48.5
- HOU vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.4 points, #40 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →
41Tyler Higbee▲TE · LA@PHIBENCHPHI allow 45% fewer points to TEs3.4
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W3Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- PHI vs TEs
- 45% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
- Last game snaps
- 71%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.4 points, #41 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- PHI's defense has allowed 45% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 16.2 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
42Mitch Van VoorenTE · DAL@HOUBENCHProjected 3.4 · #42 among TEs3.4
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 48.5
- HOU vs TEs
- 8% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.4 points, #42 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →
43Darnell Washington▲TE · PIT@CLEBENCHProjected 3.4 · #43 among TEs10.2
scored · proj 3.4BENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 38.5
- CLE vs TEs
- 5% fewer points
- Wind
- 11 mph
- Last game snaps
- 76%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.4 points, #43 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: Scored 8.2 points last game against a typical 3.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Shawn BowmanTE · ARI@NYGBENCHNYG allow 15% fewer points to TEs3.3
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NYG vs TEs
- 15% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #44 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- NYG's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
45Evan SvobodaTE · LAC@SEABENCHLAC expected to score only ~18, a tough spot3.3
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~18 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 7
- Game total
- 42.5
- SEA vs TEs
- 1% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #45 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- LAC's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
Projection 3.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
46Lake McReeTE · PIT@CLEBENCHProjected 3.3 · #46 among TEs3.3
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 38.5
- CLE vs TEs
- 5% fewer points
- Wind
- 11 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #46 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
47Tommy TrembleTE · CARvsDETBENCHProjected 3.3 · #47 among TEs3.3
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- CAR underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 50.5
- DET vs TEs
- 47% more points
- Last game snaps
- 48%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #47 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 47% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Patrick HerbertTE · LAC@SEABENCHLAC expected to score only ~18, a tough spot3.3
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~18 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 7
- Game total
- 42.5
- SEA vs TEs
- 1% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #48 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- LAC's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
Projection 3.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
49Chris MyarickTE · LVvsKCBENCHKC allow 13% fewer points to TEs3.2
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 4.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- KC vs TEs
- 13% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.2 points, #49 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- KC's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
50Patrick GurdTE · LVvsKCBENCHKC allow 13% fewer points to TEs3.2
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 4.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- KC vs TEs
- 13% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.2 points, #50 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- KC's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
About these tight end rankings
- What do Must start, Start, Flex and Bench mean?
- Among tight ends, the top 5 are must-starts, through #12 are starts, through #16 are flex plays, and everyone else is a bench call, in a typical 12-team league.
- How are these rankings made?
- Each player starts from last season's scoring per game, then this season's games count for more as they pile up. We adjust for the opponent's record against the position, the points Vegas expects the team to score, and the injury report. Every projection and every sentence of explanation comes from our own model.
- How often do the rankings update?
- Automatically. The rankings are rebuilt about once a minute, and the injury report is re-checked every few minutes, so late injury news reaches the calls quickly. Games further ahead have less to go on until their betting lines are published.
- Do PPR, Half PPR and Standard rankings differ?
- Yes. Receptions are worth points in PPR, so pass-catching backs and receivers rank higher there. Switch formats above; each has its own page.
Want the full method, including where the model is wrong? Read how our fantasy numbers are built, or check the scorecard to see how past calls held up.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report and the NFL's official weekly report via nflverse.