Week 4 Fantasy Football WR Rankings (Half PPR) — Start/Sit Calls

Early season: only 3 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

1Jaxon Smith-Njigba▲WR · SEAvsLACMUST STARTScored 30.4 last game, typical 15.821.6
9–37 rangeMUST START
Recent form
22
38
30
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 7
Game total
42.5
LAC vs WRs
8% fewer points
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say must start
- Projected 21.6 points, #1 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 30.4 points last game against a typical 15.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 21.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Chris OlaveWR · NOvsATLMUST STARTATL allow 13% more points to WRs15.8
6–27 rangeMUST START
Recent form
23
19
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs WRs
13% more points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say must start
- Projected 15.8 points, #2 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- ATL's defense has allowed 13% more points to WRs than the league average.
- NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Davante Adams▲WR · LA@PHIMUST STARTScored 17.2 last game, typical 12.115.5
6–27 rangeMUST START
Recent form
4
36
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs WRs
7% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 15.5 points, #3 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 17.2 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET@CARMUST STARTDET expected to score ~27, a strong spot15.0
6–26 rangeMUST START
Recent form
24
31
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.0 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs WRs
19% fewer points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say must start
- Projected 15.0 points, #4 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: CAR's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Ja'Marr Chase▲WR · CINvsJAXMUST STARTScored 20.3 last game, typical 1414.7
6–25 rangeMUST START
Recent form
2
23
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs WRs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
100%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.7 points, #5 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.3 points last game against a typical 14 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 100% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Puka Nacua▼WR · LA@PHIMUST STARTProjected 14.5 · #6 among WRs14.5
6–25 rangeMUST START
Recent form
10
W1
Dashed line: the usual 17.3 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs WRs
7% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.5 points, #6 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: Scored 9.9 points last game against a typical 17.3 (trending down).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
7CeeDee Lamb▲WR · DAL@HOUMUST STARTScored 16.7 last game, typical 10.913.6
5–23 rangeMUST START
Recent form
13
31
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say must start
- Projected 13.6 points, #7 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 16.7 points last game against a typical 10.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Nico Collins▲WR · HOUvsDALMUST STARTScored 17.7 last game, typical 11.213.3
5–23 rangeMUST START
Recent form
18
W1
Dashed line: the usual 11.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs WRs
20% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say must start
- Projected 13.3 points, #8 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 17.7 points last game against a typical 11.2 (trending up).
- DAL's defense has allowed 20% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Christian Watson▲WR · GB@TBSTARTScored 19.1 last game, typical 9.612.6
5–22 rangeSTART
Recent form
30
12
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.6 points, #9 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 19.1 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Stefon DiggsWR · WASvsINDSTARTMore work with Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out12.3
5–21 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
19
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs WRs
15% more points
Last game snaps
59%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.3 points, #10 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +2.2 points).
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Garrett Wilson▲WR · NYJ@CHISTARTScored 21.7 last game, typical 9.112.1
5–21 rangeSTART
Recent form
11
14
22
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.1 a game
This week's matchup
@CHIGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYJ underdogs by 3.5
Game total
43.5
CHI vs WRs
11% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.1 points, #11 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21.7 points last game against a typical 9.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Tee Higgins▲WR · CINvsJAXSTARTScored 18 last game, typical 10.711.6
5–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
7
12
18
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs WRs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.6 points, #12 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 18 points last game against a typical 10.7 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Rashee RiceWR · KC@LVSTARTKC expected to score ~26, a strong spot11.1
4–19 rangeSTART
Recent form
9
10
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.1 points, #13 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Drake London▲WR · ATL@NOSTARTScored 23.9 last game, typical 1210.6
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
5
7
24
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.0 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 2.5
Game total
47.5
NO vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.6 points, #14 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 23.9 points last game against a typical 12 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Michael Wilson▲WR · ARI@NYGSTARTScored 20.4 last game, typical 9.69.9
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
3
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs WRs
11% more points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.9 points, #15 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 20.4 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 10.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
16George PickensWR · DAL@HOUSTARTProjected 9.7 · #16 among WRs9.7
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
4
7
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.9 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.7 points, #16 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Josh Downs▲WR · IND@WASSTARTScored 10.2 last game, typical 6.19.6
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
5
11
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs WRs
23% more points
Last game snaps
68%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.6 points, #17 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 10.2 points last game against a typical 6.1 (trending up).
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Parker WashingtonWR · JAX@CINSTARTProjected 9.5 · #18 among WRs9.5
4–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
17
13
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs WRs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.5 points, #18 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Concern: CIN's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Tetairoa McMillan▼WR · CARvsDETSTARTDET allow 20% more points to WRs8.7
4–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
13
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs WRs
20% more points
Last game snaps
95%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.7 points, #19 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DET's defense has allowed 20% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 2.7 points last game against a typical 9.4 (trending down).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 95% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Zay FlowersQWR · BALvsTENSTARTIf active · Questionable — hamstring injury8.5
0–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
24
13
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
33%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.5 points, #20 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Questionable — hamstring injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, hamstring injury. If active, about 13.1 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- TEN's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
Projection 8.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
21Matthew Golden▲WR · GB@TBSTARTScored 18.5 last game, typical 3.58.4
3–14 rangeSTART
Recent form
13
8
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.5 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.4 points, #21 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 18.5 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN@SFSTARTProjected 8.2 · #22 among WRs8.2
3–14 rangeSTART
Recent form
1
18
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
DEN underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs WRs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.2 points, #22 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Kalif Raymond▲WR · CHIvsNYJSTARTScored 18 last game, typical 3.28.2
3–14 rangeSTART
Recent form
12
7
18
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
75%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.2 points, #23 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 18 points last game against a typical 3.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 7 targets a game.
- Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Jordan Addison▲WR · MINvsMIASTARTMore work with Justin Jefferson out8.1
3–14 rangeSTART
Recent form
0
3
18
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs WRs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
98%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.1 points, #24 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.5 points).
- Scored 17.5 points last game against a typical 7.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Deebo Samuel Sr.▲WR · SFvsDENFLEXScored 15.4 last game, typical 8.58.0
3–14 rangeFLEX
Recent form
15
5
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 3
Game total
47.5
DEN vs WRs
15% fewer points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.0 points, #25 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 15.4 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending up).
- SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: DEN's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Wan'Dale Robinson▲WR · TEN@BALFLEXBAL allow 15% more points to WRs7.8
3–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
6
1
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
@BALGame page →
Expected team score
~16 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 11.5
Game total
42.5
BAL vs WRs
15% more points
Last game snaps
63%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.8 points, #26 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- BAL's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 15.2 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending up).
- Concern: TEN's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Devaughn VeleWR · NOvsATLFLEXATL allow 13% more points to WRs7.6
3–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
16
9
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs WRs
13% more points
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.6 points, #27 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- ATL's defense has allowed 13% more points to WRs than the league average.
- NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
28Emeka EgbukaWR · TBvsGBFLEXProjected 7.5 · #28 among WRs7.5
3–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
9
9
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsGBGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 3
Game total
38.5
GB vs WRs
5% more points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.5 points, #28 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
29DJ MooreWR · BUFvsNEFLEXBUF expected to score ~28, a strong spot7.4
3–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
19
-0
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
64%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.4 points, #29 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 64% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
30Luther Burden III▲WR · CHIvsNYJFLEXScored 16.3 last game, typical 6.17.4
3–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
7
5
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
61%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.4 points, #30 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 16.3 points last game against a typical 6.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 61% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Tre TuckerWR · LVvsKCFLEXProjected 7.2 · #31 among WRs7.2
3–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
4
20
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs WRs
19% fewer points
Last game snaps
57%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.2 points, #31 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: KC's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
32Jakobi Meyers▲WR · JAX@CINFLEXScored 15.9 last game, typical 7.77.2
3–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
11
3
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs WRs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.2 points, #32 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 15.9 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending up).
- Concern: CIN's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
33DK MetcalfWR · PIT@CLEFLEXProjected 7.2 · #33 among WRs14.0
scored · proj 7.2FLEX
Recent form
6
5
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.3 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
95%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.2 points, #33 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 95% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
34Dontayvion WicksWR · PHIvsLAFLEXMore work with DeVonta Smith out7.1
3–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
14
10
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
LA vs WRs
2% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.1 points, #34 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- DeVonta Smith out: more work to go around (about +1.6 points).
- Concern: PHI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
35Jauan Jennings▼WR · MINvsMIAFLEXProjected 7.1 · #35 among WRs7.1
3–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
0
1
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs WRs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.1 points, #35 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: Scored 0.6 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
36Jameson WilliamsWR · DET@CARFLEXDET expected to score ~27, a strong spot7.1
3–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
7
4
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs WRs
19% fewer points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.1 points, #36 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: CAR's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
37Rome OdunzeWR · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 7.1 · 0.0 behind #367.1
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
6
6
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.1 points, #37 among WRs this week, 0.0 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
38Courtland SuttonWR · DEN@SFBENCHProjected 6.9 · 0.2 behind #366.9
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
2
4
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
DEN underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs WRs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.9 points, #38 among WRs this week, 0.2 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
39Denzel BostonWR · CLEvsPITBENCHCLE expected to score only ~18, a tough spot10.9
scored · proj 6.7BENCH
Recent form
13
18
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsPITGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
38.5
PIT vs WRs
7% more points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
89%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.7 points, #39 among WRs this week, 0.4 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
40Michael Pittman▼WR · PIT@CLEBENCHScored 2.6 last game, typical 8.52.5
scored · proj 6.6BENCH
Recent form
7
3
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.6 points, #40 among WRs this week, 0.5 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 2.6 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending down).
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
41Romeo DoubsWR · NE@BUFBENCHProjected 6.4 · 0.7 behind #366.4
3–11 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
11
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
BUF vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.4 points, #41 among WRs this week, 0.7 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
42Rashod BatemanWR · BALvsTENBENCHProjected 6.4 · 0.7 behind #366.4
3–11 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
18
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.4 points, #42 among WRs this week, 0.7 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
43Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI@NYGBENCHProjected 6.2 · 0.9 behind #366.2
3–11 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
0
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs WRs
11% more points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.2 points, #43 among WRs this week, 0.9 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Malik NabersWR · NYGvsARIBENCHProjected 6.1 · 1.0 behind #366.1
2–11 rangeBENCH
Recent form
10
1
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
ARI vs WRs
6% more points
Last game snaps
78%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.1 points, #44 among WRs this week, 1.0 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 78% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
45Jalen CokerQWR · CARvsDETBENCHQuestionable — quadriceps injury5.9
0–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
30
11
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs WRs
20% more points
Last game snaps
36%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.9 points, #45 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Questionable — quadriceps injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, quadricep injury. If active, about 9.0 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 20% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
Projection 5.9 · Low confidence · Full player page →
46Darius SlaytonWR · IND@WASBENCHProjected 5.9 · #46 among WRs5.9
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 5.0 a game.
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs WRs
23% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.9 points, #46 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 23% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaged last season 4.5 targets a game.
Projection 5.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
47Khalil Shakir▼WR · BUFvsNEBENCHScored 1.1 last game, typical 7.25.8
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
7
5
1
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.8 points, #47 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Scored 1.1 points last game against a typical 7.2 (trending down).
- Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Kayshon BoutteWR · HOUvsDALBENCHProjected 5.8 · #48 among WRs5.8
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
3
5
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs WRs
20% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.8 points, #48 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: DAL's defense has allowed 20% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
49Keon ColemanWR · BUFvsNEBENCHProjected 5.6 · #49 among WRs5.6
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
1
9
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
48%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.6 points, #49 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
50Antonio WilliamsWR · WASvsINDBENCHProjected 5.6 · #50 among WRs5.6
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
14
4
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs WRs
15% more points
Last game snaps
41%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.6 points, #50 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 41% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

About these wide receiver rankings

What do Must start, Start, Flex and Bench mean?: Among wide receivers, the top 8 are must-starts, through #24 are starts, through #36 are flex plays, and everyone else is a bench call, in a typical 12-team league.
How are these rankings made?: Each player starts from last season's scoring per game, then this season's games count for more as they pile up. We adjust for the opponent's record against the position, the points Vegas expects the team to score, and the injury report. Every projection and every sentence of explanation comes from our own model.
How often do the rankings update?: Automatically. The rankings are rebuilt about once a minute, and the injury report is re-checked every few minutes, so late injury news reaches the calls quickly. Games further ahead have less to go on until their betting lines are published.
Do PPR, Half PPR and Standard rankings differ?: Yes. Receptions are worth points in PPR, so pass-catching backs and receivers rank higher there. Switch formats above; each has its own page.

Want the full method, including where the model is wrong? Read how our fantasy numbers are built, or check the scorecard to see how past calls held up.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report and the NFL's official weekly report via nflverse.