16.9

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Injury alert

Out — groin injury

Practice: Did not practice — rest day

Updated Sat 10:37 AM ET · Est. return Oct 11 · Source: ESPN injury report · Practice: NFL official injury report, week 4 (via nflverse)

Is Keenan Allen playing this week?

Out

Keenan Allen is listed as Out for the week 4 game at the Washington Commanders (groin injury). Out means not expected to play.

Estimated return: Oct 11.

Official practice report (week 4): Did not practice, rest day.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:21 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

From the beat

What reporters are saying about him, last 3 days.

  • Colts downgraded WR Keenan Allen to out for Sunday’s game in London against the Commanders due to his groin injury.

    Adam Schefter @AdamSchefter · 9h ago · View on X

  • Keenan Allen (groin) questionable for Week 4.

    Underdog NFL @UnderdogNFL · 1d ago · View on X

Injury ripple · Week 4

Keenan Allen out for Colts in Week 4; no games without him to compare

Keenan Allen is out for Indianapolis' Week 4 game against Washington, and there are no games without him in the last two seasons to compare. He has taken 6.7 targets (21% of the team's targets) per game over 3 games this season, so we can only show the work he leaves behind.

Read the full note →

Ask StatGrades about Keenan Allen

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
OUTOUTLow confidence

Ruled out — find a replacement.

Why we say out

  • Out — groin injury.
  • Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
  • Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

0.0

Likely range 0–0: the middle half of outcomes

@ WAS · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs WRs
22% more points
Last game snaps
73%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

34

Height

6'2"

Weight

211 lb

College

California

Experience

13 seasons

Draft

2013 · Pick #76 (SD)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 16.9?

The grade is low mainly because his targets lost expected points, even after crediting him for facing easier-than-average defenses. The sample is small, just 20 targets over 3 games, and it swung widely: a rough week 2 at KC, then a much better week 3 against HOU.

Holding it back

  • EPA per target was -0.143 expected points per play, 51st of 62 receivers, which pulled the grade down a lot.
  • Week 2 at KC: a short left pass intended for him was intercepted by Fulton (-4.7 expected points).
  • Week 2 at KC: a deep right pass on 3rd and 4 fell incomplete (-1.8 expected points).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

-0.116

Success rate

45%

WPA (sum)

-0.24

Opponent adj.

-0.026

Plays graded

20

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
2.3
Cushion
5.6
YAC above exp
+0.3
YAC / rec
2.4
Expected YAC
2.1
Air yards share
20.1%
Intended air yds
6.2
Catch %
65.0%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
12.75.4-0.2
20.93.7-0.7
32.87.1+1.0
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games2013100129.012164%0%16.9

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · HOU9663118.35273%0%64.9
Wk 2 · KC51501.53351%0%2.3
Wk 1 · BAL663209.23667%0%29.1