21.8

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is DeMario Douglas playing this week?

No injury designation

DeMario Douglas has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Buffalo Bills.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:33 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

Ask StatGrades about DeMario Douglas

Ask your own question

Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
BENCH#85 WR this weekHigh confidence

Bench. Projected 4.0 points, #85 among WRs this week.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 4.0 points, #85 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
  • Averaging 4.7 targets a game.
  • Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

4.0

Likely range 2–7: the middle half of outcomes

@ BUF · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 5.3 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
BUF vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
59%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

25

Height

5'8"

Weight

185 lb

College

Liberty

Experience

3 seasons

Draft

2023 · Pick #210 (NE)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 21.8?

Douglas's grade is low mainly because his targets produced below-average expected points per play, even after crediting him for facing tougher-than-average defenses. It's a small sample of 14 targets across 2 games, so a couple of plays can swing it a lot.

Holding it back

  • EPA per target of -0.056 ranked 46th of 62 WRs, which pulled the grade down.
  • Week 3 vs JAX: a 4th-and-7 deep left pass from DeVito fell incomplete (-2.8 expected points).
  • Week 1 vs SEA: a 3rd-and-14 deep middle pass intended for him was intercepted by Love (-1.9 expected points).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

-0.094

Success rate

43%

WPA (sum)

0.04

Opponent adj.

0.033

Plays graded

14

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
3.9
Cushion
7.4
YAC above exp
-0.2
YAC / rec
4.6
Expected YAC
4.8
Air yards share
22.6%
Intended air yds
12.5
Catch %
50.0%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
14.17.2-0.5
33.48.9+3.6
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games14767013.710756%0%21.8

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · JAX513804.83759%0%11.2
Wk 1 · SEA752007.04462%0%41.0