18.5

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Carnell Tate playing this week?

No injury designation

Carnell Tate has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Baltimore Ravens.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:32 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
BENCH#61 WR this weekHigh confidence

Bench. TEN's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.

Why we say bench

  • Projected 5.8 points, #61 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
  • TEN's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
  • Upside: Scored 11.8 points last game against a typical 5.1 (trending up).
  • Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
  • Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

5.8

Likely range 2–10: the middle half of outcomes

@ BAL · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~16 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 11.5
Game total
42.5
BAL vs WRs
16% more points
Last game snaps
88%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

21

Height

6'2"

Weight

192 lb

College

Ohio State

Experience

Rookie

Draft

2026 · Pick #4 (TEN)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 18.5?

Tate's grade is low mainly because his targets produced few expected points, even after crediting him for facing easier-than-average defenses. Only 3 games are in the books, with 20 targets graded. Nothing else moved the grade much either way.

Lifting the grade

  • Week 3 vs NYG: a 20-yard catch from Ward on 1st and 10 in the third quarter was worth +1.4 expected points.
  • Week 1 vs NYJ: a 14-yard catch on 2nd and 2 in the fourth quarter added +0.9 expected points.

Holding it back

  • EPA per target of -0.185 ranked 53rd of 62 WRs, and it pulled the grade down a lot.
  • Week 2 vs PHI: an incomplete pass on 3rd and 9 in the fourth quarter cost 1.4 expected points.
  • Week 3 vs NYG: an incomplete pass on 3rd and 5 in the third quarter cost 1.4 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

-0.079

Success rate

50%

WPA (sum)

-0.14

Opponent adj.

-0.106

Plays graded

20

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
2.8
Cushion
5.4
YAC above exp
-0.9
YAC / rec
2.4
Expected YAC
3.3
Air yards share
40.4%
Intended air yds
10.2
Catch %
65.0%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
13.64.8-0.6
21.37.5-0.4
33.24.7-1.4
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games2013123025.313784%0%18.5

Game log

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GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · NYG9658011.85388%0%44.0
Wk 2 · PHI532705.74075%0%9.8
Wk 1 · NYJ643807.84488%0%38.1