96.0

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is CeeDee Lamb playing this week?

No injury designation

CeeDee Lamb has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Houston Texans.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:16 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
MUST START#7 WR this weekHigh confidence

Must start. Scored 20.2 points last game against a typical 13.4 (trending up).

Why we say must start

  • Projected 16.1 points, #7 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
  • Scored 20.2 points last game against a typical 13.4 (trending up).
  • Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
  • Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

16.1

Likely range 6–28: the middle half of outcomes

@ HOU · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 13.4 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
82%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

27

Height

6'2"

Weight

200 lb

College

Oklahoma

Experience

6 seasons

Draft

2020 · Pick #17 (DAL)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 96.0?

Lamb's targets have produced far more expected points than the average receiver's, and they have succeeded at a high rate. His grade climbed each week, from 69.4 to 97.2. The sample is small, just 26 targets over 3 games.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per target of +1.069 expected points ranks 3rd of 62 WRs, which lifted the grade a lot.
  • Success rate on targets (plays that gain enough to help the offense) is 73%, 5th of 62.
  • Week 3 vs BAL, Q4 2nd and 9: a 49-yard catch on a deep left pass, worth +3.7 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

1.078

Success rate

73%

WPA (sum)

0.75

Opponent adj.

-0.008

Plays graded

26

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
3.1
Cushion
5.5
YAC above exp
+0.8
YAC / rec
4.6
Expected YAC
3.8
Air yards share
39.8%
Intended air yds
12.8
Catch %
80.0%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
13.05.4+1.4
22.95.0+0.8
33.36.1+0.4
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games2520309370.914979%0%96.0

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · BAL87112020.26182%0%96.3
Wk 2 · WAS98153235.34175%0%93.2
Wk 1 · NYG8544115.44781%0%72.4