RB#33

Javonte Williams

Dallas CowboysDALDallas Cowboys

63.0

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Javonte Williams playing this week?

No injury designation

Javonte Williams has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Houston Texans.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:56 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
START#12 RB this weekHigh confidence

Start. Scored 18.3 points last game against a typical 13.5 (trending up).

Why we say start

  • Projected 12.9 points, #12 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
  • Scored 18.3 points last game against a typical 13.5 (trending up).
  • Concern: HOU's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
  • Averaging 14.3 carries and 4 targets a game.
  • Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

12.9

Likely range 6–21: the middle half of outcomes

@ HOU · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 13.5 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs RBs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
76%

All week 4 running back rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

26

Height

5'10"

Weight

220 lb

College

North Carolina

Experience

5 seasons

Draft

2021 · Pick #35 (DEN)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 63.0?

Williams grades a bit above the middle of the pack because his plays have added slightly more expected points than the typical back's. His success rate and win probability numbers were neither strong nor weak enough to move the grade. This is a small sample of 55 touches over 3 games.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per touch of -0.013 ranks 17th of 50 backs and is what lifted his grade.
  • Week 1 vs NYG: a 17-yard touchdown catch from Prescott, worth +2.5 expected points.
  • Week 3 vs BAL: a 22-yard run off left tackle in the third quarter, worth +2.1 expected points.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

-0.076

Success rate

44%

WPA (sum)

-0.15

Opponent adj.

0.003

Plays graded

55

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Rush yds over expected
+12.8
Yds over exp / att
+0.30
Carries over expected
0.5%
Expected rush yds
154.2
Efficiency
3.72
Vs 8+ in the box
11.6%
Time to line
2.84s
WeekRush yds over expectedYds over exp / attVs 8+ in the box
1+3.7+0.3125.0%
2-5.2-0.480.0%
3+14.4+0.7610.5%
What do these mean?
Rush yds over expected:
Rushing yards above what the blocking and defenders in each carry would be expected to produce.
Yds over exp / att:
Rush yards over expected per carry.
Carries over expected:
Share of carries that gained more than expected.
Expected rush yds:
Yards the carries would be expected to gain on average, based on tracking data.
Efficiency:
Distance traveled per yard gained. Lower means a more direct, north-south runner.
Vs 8+ in the box:
Share of carries against eight or more defenders near the line.
Time to line:
Average seconds from the handoff to reaching the line of scrimmage.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

CarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games43169210561050.514176%0%63.0

Game log

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GameCarRush YdsRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDFum LostFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · BAL19981250018.35676%0%61.3
Wk 2 · WAS12300320008.04480%0%48.1
Wk 1 · NYG124115311024.24171%0%83.3