89.5

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Chris Olave playing this week?

No injury designation

Chris Olave has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Atlanta Falcons.

Kickoff: Mon, Oct 5 · 8:15 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:18 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
MUST START#2 WR this weekHigh confidence

Must start. Scored 19.7 points last game against a typical 14.9 (trending up).

Why we say must start

  • Projected 19.4 points, #2 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
  • Scored 19.7 points last game against a typical 14.9 (trending up).
  • ATL's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
  • Averaging 12 targets a game.
  • Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

19.4

Likely range 8–33: the middle half of outcomes

vs ATL · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 14.9 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
84%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

26

Height

6'0"

Weight

185 lb

College

Ohio State

Experience

4 seasons

Draft

2022 · Pick #11 (NO)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 89.5?

Olave's grade is driven by how much value he created on each target. His +0.772 expected points per target ranks 10th of 62 receivers. The sample is small, just 36 targets over 3 games, so the grade could move quickly.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per target of +0.772 expected points, 10th of 62, lifted the grade a lot.
  • Week 1 vs DET, Q3 1st and 10: a 47-yard catch from Shough (+3.2 expected points).
  • Week 1 vs DET, OT 4th and 3: a 20-yard catch from Shough (+3.3 expected points).

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.774

Success rate

67%

WPA (sum)

1.13

Opponent adj.

-0.001

Plays graded

36

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
3.0
Cushion
5.8
YAC above exp
-0.4
YAC / rec
2.9
Expected YAC
3.3
Air yards share
47.9%
Intended air yds
12.4
Catch %
75.0%
WeekSeparationCushionYAC above exp
13.36.0-1.9
22.25.7+0.8
33.35.7+0.1
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games3627375170.519685%0%89.5

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · LV139107019.76284%0%78.4
Wk 2 · BAL10886122.65784%0%79.5
Wk 1 · DET1310182028.27786%0%88.8