62.9

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Nico Collins playing this week?

No injury designation

Official practice report (week 4): Full practice, hamstring injury.

Nico Collins has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Dallas Cowboys.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:18 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

From the beat

What reporters are saying about him, last 3 days.

  • #Texans Pro Bowl receiver Nico Collins removed from injury report, as said previously, all set for Sunday vs. #Cowboys Trent Brown (illness, knee, wrist) removed from injury report. Ruled out Azeez Al-Shaair and M.J. Stewart. Questionable and expected to play: Logan Hall (knee),

    Aaron Wilson @AaronWilson_NFL · 1d ago · View on X

  • Texans WR Nico Collins is OFF Houston’s injury report.

    DJ Bien-Aime | NASM CPT @Djbienaime · 1d ago · View on X

  • Nico Collins (hamstring) not listed on injury report for Week 4.

    Underdog NFL @UnderdogNFL · 1d ago · View on X

  • Nico Collins (hamstring) seen participating in practice again Friday, via @jonmalexander.

    Underdog NFL @UnderdogNFL · 1d ago · View on X

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
MUST START#8 WR this weekHigh confidence

Must start. Scored 21.2 points last game against a typical 13.3 (trending up).

Why we say must start

  • Projected 15.6 points, #8 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
  • Scored 21.2 points last game against a typical 13.3 (trending up).
  • DAL's defense has allowed 18% more points to WRs than the league average.
  • Averaging 10 targets a game.
  • Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

15.6

Likely range 6–27: the middle half of outcomes

vs DAL · Game page →

Recent form

W1

Dashed line: the usual 13.3 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs WRs
18% more points
Last game snaps
72%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

27

Height

6'4"

Weight

222 lb

College

Michigan

Experience

5 seasons

Draft

2021 · Pick #89 (HOU)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 62.9?

Collins' grade is built mostly on strong per-play value: he generated +0.437 expected points per target, above the league average, which lifted his grade. That's from only 10 targets in one game against Buffalo, so a couple of plays swing the number a lot.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per target of +0.437 ranked 35th of 89 receivers, driven by plays like his 25-yard grab against the Bills and his 12-yard touchdown catch.

Holding it back

  • A short catch on 3rd and 6 that gained just 2 yards cost expected points.
  • Two incomplete deep targets against Buffalo also pulled down his value on those plays.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.491

Success rate

60%

WPA (sum)

0.26

Opponent adj.

-0.054

Plays graded

10

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 1 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
1.1
Cushion
4.0
YAC above exp
+0.3
YAC / rec
1.3
Expected YAC
1.0
Air yards share
12.1%
Intended air yds
12.6
Catch %
70.0%
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
1 game10775121.25772%0%62.9

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 1 · BUF10775121.25772%0%60.4