52.4

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Brian Thomas Jr. playing this week?

No injury designation

Brian Thomas Jr. has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game at the Cincinnati Bengals.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:55 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
BENCH#58 WR this weekHigh confidence

Bench. Scored 1.8 points last game against a typical 8.7 (trending down).

Why we say bench

  • Projected 6.5 points, #58 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
  • Scored 1.8 points last game against a typical 8.7 (trending down).
  • CIN's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
  • Averaging 4 targets a game.
  • Played 37% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

6.5

Likely range 3–11: the middle half of outcomes

@ CIN · Game page →

Recent form

W1W2W3

Dashed line: the usual 8.7 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs WRs
14% fewer points
Last game snaps
37%

All week 4 wide receiver rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

23

Height

6'2"

Weight

209 lb

College

LSU

Experience

2 seasons

Draft

2024 · Pick #23 (JAX)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 52.4?

His grade sits right around average because no part of his game stood out in either direction. Success rate, target share, expected points and win probability were all close to the average receiver's. This is a small sample of 12 targets over 2 games, so a few plays can swing it.

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

0.190

Success rate

58%

WPA (sum)

0.11

Opponent adj.

0.068

Plays graded

12

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 2 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
2.7
Cushion
6.6
YAC above exp
-1.1
YAC / rec
1.4
Expected YAC
2.6
Air yards share
24.1%
Intended air yds
13.5
Catch %
53.8%
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games12788015.87542%0%52.4

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 2 · DEN834007.03254%0%31.1
Wk 1 · CLE334007.02035%0%91.0