Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Brian Thomas Jr. or Tre Harris?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.1 vs 7.0). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Brian Thomas Jr. (50%).
Brian Thomas Jr. outscores Tre Harris 50% of the time; Tre Harris 50%.
WR, JAX vs PHI
7.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–12 · WR44 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 7.1 points, 1.0 behind #36, the last one we'd start.
WR, LAC vs DEN
7.0 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–12 · WR45 this week · Bench
Bench. DEN's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
Side by side
| Brian Thomas Jr. | Tre Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.1 | Projected points | 7.0 |
| 2.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.8 |
| 12.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 12.0 |
| PHI -4% | Matchup | DEN -12% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~19 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.