Fantasy · Week 5 · Start or sit
Brian Thomas Jr. or Denzel Boston?
Our week 5 call from the head-to-head model, for PPR scoring. It updates as news and lines move.
Our call
Too close to call
Too close to call on projections (7.1 vs 7.3). If you're ahead this week take the higher floor; if you're chasing points take the higher ceiling. If you have to pick one, the numbers lean Denzel Boston (51%).
Brian Thomas Jr. outscores Denzel Boston 49% of the time; Denzel Boston 51%.
WR, JAX vs PHI
7.1 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–12 · WR44 this week · Bench
Bench. Projected 7.1 points, 1.0 behind #36, the last one we'd start.
WR, CLE at NYJ
7.3 projected PPR points
Likely range 3–13 · WR42 this week · Bench
Bench. CLE's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
Side by side
| Brian Thomas Jr. | Denzel Boston | |
|---|---|---|
| 7.1 | Projected points | 7.3 |
| 2.8 | Floor (a bad day) | 2.9 |
| 12.2 | Ceiling (a big day) | 12.6 |
| PHI -4% | Matchup | NYJ -5% |
| ~25 pts | Team's expected score | ~19 pts |
| Healthy | Health | Healthy |
| Steady | Recent form | Hot ▲ |
| High | Our confidence | High |
Open this matchup in the start/sit tool to switch to half-PPR or standard, or to say whether you're protecting a lead or need a big game.
Related matchups this week
The chance is a model estimate that treats the two scores as independent. Fantasy scoring is noisy, so even a 70% call loses three times in ten. Projections are estimates, not guarantees. How it works.