99.9

Season grade

How is this calculated?

Is Mike Gesicki playing this week?

No injury designation

Mike Gesicki has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.

Checked Oct 3, 7:42 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.

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Our numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.

Fantasy football · Week 4

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

Scoring:
PPRHalf PPRStandard
START#12 TE this weekHigh confidence

Start. Scored 12.7 points last game against a typical 5.1 (trending up).

Why we say start

  • Projected 9.0 points, #12 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
  • Scored 12.7 points last game against a typical 5.1 (trending up).
  • CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
  • Averaging 5 targets a game.
  • Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.

Projected points

9.0

Likely range 3–16: the middle half of outcomes

vs JAX · Game page →

Recent form

W1W3

Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game

This week's matchup

Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs TEs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
51%

All week 4 tight end rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →

Age

31

Height

6'6"

Weight

245 lb

College

Penn State

Experience

8 seasons

Draft

2018 · Pick #42 (MIA)

Status

ACT

Grade Breakdown

What do these mean?

Why 99.9?

Gesicki tops all tight ends this season because nearly every target has turned into a big gain, with a 80% success rate and huge expected-points value per target. Through just 10 targets over two games, his 4th-down touchdown catch against Pittsburgh stands out as the biggest play driving that number.

Lifting the grade

  • EPA per target ranks 1st of 35 tight ends, at +1.271 expected points per play
  • Success rate on targets ranks 1st of 35 at 80%
  • Week 3 vs PIT: 25-yard touchdown catch on 4th and 2 (+4.9 expected points)

Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 3. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).

EPA / play

1.194

Success rate

80%

WPA (sum)

0.30

Opponent adj.

0.051

Plays graded

10

Advanced stats

2026 season through Week 1 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats
Separation
3.5
Cushion
4.7
YAC above exp
-0.0
YAC / rec
3.6
Expected YAC
3.6
Air yards share
15.0%
Intended air yds
10.1
Catch %
80.0%
What do these mean?
Separation:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the moment of the catch.
Cushion:
Average distance from the nearest defender at the snap.
YAC above exp:
Yards after catch above what the situation would be expected to produce.
YAC / rec:
Average yards after the catch per reception.
Expected YAC:
Expected yards after the catch, based on tracking data.
Air yards share:
Share of the team's intended air yards that were thrown toward this player.
Intended air yds:
Average depth of the targets thrown his way.
Catch %:
Receptions divided by targets.

Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.

2026 Season Totals

Swipe sideways for all stats →

TgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
3 games108115231.57140%0%99.9

Game log

Swipe sideways for all stats →

GameTgtRecYdsTDFantasySnapsSnap%ST%Grade
Wk 3 · PIT3337112.72951%0%99.9
Wk 1 · TB7578118.82133%0%85.4