Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

1Josh AllenQB · BUF@LVMUST STARTProjected 24.0 · #1 among QBs24.0
13–38 rangeMUST START
Recent form
36
41
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 20.3 a game
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
LV vs QBs
3% fewer points
Why we say must start
- Projected 24.0 points, #1 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 24.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
2Brock Purdy▲QB · SFvsWASMUST STARTScored 31.3 last game, typical 16.123.4
12–37 rangeMUST START
Recent form
21
29
31
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsWASGame page →
WAS vs QBs
31% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 23.4 points, #2 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 31.3 points last game against a typical 16.1 (trending up).
- WAS's defense has allowed 31% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 23.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
3Matthew StaffordQB · LAvsARIMUST STARTProjected 20.1 · #3 among QBs20.1
11–32 rangeMUST START
Recent form
4
27
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 18.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
ARI vs QBs
11% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 20.1 points, #3 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Averaging 37 pass attempts a game.
Projection 20.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
4Tyler Shough▲QB · NO@NYGMUST STARTScored 23.8 last game, typical 12.218.6
10–29 rangeMUST START
Recent form
23
22
24
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.2 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
NYG vs QBs
8% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.6 points, #4 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 23.8 points last game against a typical 12.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 44 pass attempts a game.
Projection 18.6 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
5Dak PrescottQB · DAL@GBMUST STARTProjected 18.3 · #5 among QBs18.3
10–29 rangeMUST START
Recent form
14
30
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.5 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
GB vs QBs
7% fewer points
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.3 points, #5 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Averaging 35 pass attempts a game.
Projection 18.3 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
6Patrick MahomesQB · KCvsLACMUST STARTProjected 18.1 · #6 among QBs18.1
9–29 rangeMUST START
Recent form
22
29
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 17.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
LAC vs QBs
16% fewer points
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.1 points, #6 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Concern: LAC's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.
Projection 18.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
7Jordan Love▲QB · GBvsDALSTARTDAL allow 41% more points to QBs17.2
9–27 rangeSTART
Recent form
20
14
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
DAL vs QBs
41% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 17.2 points, #7 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- DAL's defense has allowed 41% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Scored 18.5 points last game against a typical 13.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 41 pass attempts a game.
Projection 17.2 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
8Bryce YoungQB · CAR@PHISTARTProjected 16.6 · #8 among QBs16.6
9–26 rangeSTART
Recent form
31
24
14
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
PHI vs QBs
2% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 16.6 points, #8 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 40 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.6 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
9Aaron Rodgers▲QB · PIT@TBSTARTScored 22 last game, typical 12.616.4
9–26 rangeSTART
Recent form
13
4
23
22
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 12.6 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
TB vs QBs
10% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 16.4 points, #9 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 22 points last game against a typical 12.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 38 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
10Trevor LawrenceQB · JAXvsHOUSTARTProjected 16.0 · #10 among QBs16.0
8–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
26
6
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 17.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsHOUGame page →
HOU vs QBs
11% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 16.0 points, #10 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
11Jalen HurtsQB · PHIvsCARSTARTProjected 15.9 · #11 among QBs15.9
8–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
25
16
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsCARGame page →
CAR vs QBs
8% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 15.9 points, #11 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 15.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
12Lamar Jackson▲QB · BAL@CLESTARTScored 20.4 last game, typical 14.315.7
8–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
25
15
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
CLE vs QBs
9% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 15.7 points, #12 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 20.4 points last game against a typical 14.3 (trending up).
- Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.
Projection 15.7 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
13Bo Nix▲QB · DENvsSEABENCHSEA allow 18% fewer points to QBs14.7
8–23 rangeBENCH
Recent form
5
14
24
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsSEAGame page →
SEA vs QBs
18% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.7 points, #13 among QBs this week, 1.0 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- SEA's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 24.1 points last game against a typical 16 (trending up).
- Averaging 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.7 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
14Jacoby Brissett▲QB · ARI@LABENCHProjected 14.6 · 1.1 behind #1214.6
8–23 rangeBENCH
Recent form
17
7
26
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.2 a game
This week's matchup
@LAGame page →
LA vs QBs
7% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.6 points, #14 among QBs this week, 1.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 25.6 points last game against a typical 14.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 39 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.6 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
15Drake Maye▼QB · NEvsNYJBENCHScored 3.8 last game, typical 18.514.5
8–23 rangeBENCH
Recent form
10
8
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 18.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
NYJ vs QBs
12% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.5 points, #15 among QBs this week, 1.2 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 3.8 points last game against a typical 18.5 (trending down).
- Upside: NYJ's defense has allowed 12% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
16Deshaun WatsonQB · CLEvsBALBENCHProjected 13.9 · 1.8 behind #1213.9
7–22 rangeBENCH
Recent form
14
20
20
13
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
BAL vs QBs
5% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.9 points, #16 among QBs this week, 1.8 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
17C.J. StroudQB · HOU@JAXBENCHJAX allow 12% fewer points to QBs13.1
7–21 rangeBENCH
Recent form
17
17
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.0 a game
This week's matchup
@JAXGame page →
JAX vs QBs
12% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.1 points, #17 among QBs this week, 2.6 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- JAX's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 40 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
18Kirk Cousins▲QB · LVvsBUFBENCHProjected 13.1 · 2.6 behind #1213.1
7–21 rangeBENCH
Recent form
14
20
22
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsBUFGame page →
BUF vs QBs
10% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.1 points, #18 among QBs this week, 2.6 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 22.2 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
19Geno Smith▲QB · NYJ@NEBENCHNE allow 15% fewer points to QBs13.0
7–21 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
16
26
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
@NEGame page →
NE vs QBs
15% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.0 points, #19 among QBs this week, 2.7 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- NE's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 26 points last game against a typical 10.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
20Justin HerbertQB · LAC@KCBENCHKC allow 19% fewer points to QBs12.6
7–20 rangeBENCH
Recent form
13
8
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.9 a game
This week's matchup
@KCGame page →
KC vs QBs
19% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.6 points, #20 among QBs this week, 3.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- KC's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.6 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
21Daniel Jones▼QB · INDvsTENBENCHScored 7.9 last game, typical 15.112.6
7–20 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
11
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
TEN vs QBs
1% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.6 points, #21 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Scored 7.9 points last game against a typical 15.1 (trending down).
- Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.6 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
22Sam Darnold▲QB · SEA@DENBENCHProjected 12.2 · #22 among QBs12.2
6–19 rangeBENCH
Recent form
1
28
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
@DENGame page →
DEN vs QBs
11% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.2 points, #22 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: Scored 27.7 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 24 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.2 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
23Cam WardQB · TEN@INDBENCHProjected 12.2 · #23 among QBs12.2
6–19 rangeBENCH
Recent form
12
20
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game
This week's matchup
@INDGame page →
IND vs QBs
10% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.2 points, #23 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.2 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
24Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATLvsCHIBENCHProjected 11.9 · #24 among QBs11.9
6–19 rangeBENCH
Recent form
14
W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsCHIGame page →
CHI vs QBs
8% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 11.9 points, #24 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.
Projection 11.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
25Marcus Mariota▲QB · WAS@SFBENCHProjected 11.8 · #25 among QBs11.8
6–19 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
20
W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
SF vs QBs
1% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 11.8 points, #25 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 QB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 24 pass attempts a game.
Projection 11.8 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
26Case Keenum▲QB · CHI@ATLBENCHProjected 9.6 · #26 among QBs9.6
5–15 rangeBENCH
Recent form
25
W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
@ATLGame page →
ATL vs QBs
2% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 9.6 points, #26 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: Scored 24.5 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 9.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →
27Justin FieldsQB · KCvsLACBENCHLAC allow 16% fewer points to QBs8.6
5–14 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 13.0 a game.
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
LAC vs QBs
16% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.6 points, #27 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- LAC's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaged last season 23 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.6 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
28Jalon Daniels▼QB · TBvsPITBENCHScored -1.1 last game, typical 10.58.2
4–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
-1
W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsPITGame page →
PIT vs QBs
League average
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.2 points, #28 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Scored -1.1 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending down).
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 QB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 3 pass attempts a game.
Projection 8.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
29Mac Jones▼QB · SFvsWASBENCHScored -0.2 last game, typical 108.1
4–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
-0
W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsWASGame page →
WAS vs QBs
31% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.1 points, #29 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Scored -0.2 points last game against a typical 10 (trending down).
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 31% more points to QBs than the league average.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
–Jaxson DartIR▼QB · NYGvsNOOUTOn injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
27
1
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsNOGame page →
NO vs QBs
9% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury.
- Averaging 17 pass attempts a game.
- No. 3 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Baker MayfieldOUTQB · TBvsPITOUTOut — thumb injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
12
12
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsPITGame page →
PIT vs QBs
League average
Why we say out
- Out — thumb injury.
- Averaging 32 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Dillon GabrielIRQB · CLEvsBALOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 5.8 a game.
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
BAL vs QBs
5% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 19 pass attempts a game.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Caleb WilliamsOUT▼QB · CHI@ATLOUTOut — hamstring injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
37
8
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 16.7 a game
This week's matchup
@ATLGame page →
ATL vs QBs
2% more points
Why we say out
- Out — hamstring injury.
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Skylar ThompsonIRQB · BAL@CLEOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
CLE vs QBs
9% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Carter BradleyIRQB · JAXvsHOUOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
vsHOUGame page →
HOU vs QBs
11% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Matthew CaldwellIRQB · LAvsARIOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
ARI vs QBs
11% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Chris OladokunIRQB · KCvsLACOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.2 a game.
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
LAC vs QBs
16% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 18 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Jayden DanielsOUTQB · WAS@SFOUTOut — elbow injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
18
15
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
SF vs QBs
1% fewer points
Why we say out
- Out — elbow injury.
- Averaging 26 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Graham MertzIRQB · HOU@JAXOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
@JAXGame page →
JAX vs QBs
12% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 3 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.