Fantasy · Week 5 · 2026
Win your week. Start the right players.
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Our top pick at every position
Josh Allen
BUF @ LA
24.8proj
MUST STARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot
Running back · #1Jahmyr Gibbs
DET @ ARI
29.8proj
MUST STARTScored 41.4 last game, typical 19.3
Wide receiver · #1Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs SF
26.3proj
MUST STARTScored 35.4 last game, typical 18.9
Tight end · #1Trey McBride
ARI vs DET
18.0proj
MUST STARTDET allow 42% more points to TEs
Kicker · #1Brandon Aubrey
DAL vs TB
11.4proj
MUST STARTDAL expected to score ~29, plenty of drives
Defense · #1Texans D/ST
HOU @ TEN
10.3proj
MUST STARTTEN offense gives defenses 36% more points
Your toolkit
Full rankings
Each position has its own page: QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · Flex rankings · K rankings · D/ST rankings
On bye: CAR, KC
1Josh AllenQB · BUF@LAMUST STARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot24.8
13–39 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 20.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- BUF underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- LA vs QBs
- 7% fewer points
Why we say must start
- Projected 24.8 points, #1 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 24.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Jared GoffQB · DET@ARIMUST STARTDET expected to score ~29, a strong spot22.2
12–35 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 15.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs QBs
- 11% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 22.2 points, #2 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 36 pass attempts a game.
Projection 22.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Dak PrescottQB · DALvsTBMUST STARTDAL expected to score ~29, a strong spot22.1
12–35 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 16.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs QBs
- 10% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 22.1 points, #3 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 35 pass attempts a game.
Projection 22.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Matthew StaffordQB · LAvsBUFMUST STARTLA expected to score ~28, a strong spot19.8
10–31 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 18.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- BUF vs QBs
- 10% fewer points
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.8 points, #4 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 37 pass attempts a game.
Projection 19.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Brock Purdy▲QB · SF@SEAMUST STARTScored 31.3 last game, typical 16.118.9
10–30 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 16.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- SF underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SEA vs QBs
- 18% fewer points
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.9 points, #5 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 31.3 points last game against a typical 16.1 (trending up).
- Concern: SEA's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 18.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Lamar Jackson▲QB · BAL@ATLMUST STARTScored 20.4 last game, typical 14.318.2
10–29 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- ATL vs QBs
- 2% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.2 points, #6 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.4 points last game against a typical 14.3 (trending up).
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.
Projection 18.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Joe Burrow▲QB · CIN@MIASTARTScored 22.6 last game, typical 13.418.0
9–28 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 13.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- CIN favored by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- MIA vs QBs
- 12% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 18.0 points, #7 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 22.6 points last game against a typical 13.4 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
Projection 18.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Jacoby Brissett▲QB · ARIvsDETSTARTDET allow 29% more points to QBs17.2
9–27 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 14.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- DET vs QBs
- 29% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 17.2 points, #8 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- DET's defense has allowed 29% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Scored 25.6 points last game against a typical 14.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 39 pass attempts a game.
Projection 17.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Trevor LawrenceQB · JAXvsPHISTARTProjected 17.2 · #9 among QBs17.2
9–27 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 17.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- JAX favored by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- PHI vs QBs
- 2% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 17.2 points, #9 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.
Projection 17.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Aaron Rodgers▲QB · PITvsINDSTARTScored 22 last game, typical 12.616.6
9–26 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 12.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs QBs
- 10% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 16.6 points, #10 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 22 points last game against a typical 12.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 38 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Jordan Love▲QB · GBvsCHISTARTScored 18.5 last game, typical 13.816.4
9–26 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 13.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- GB favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- CHI vs QBs
- 7% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 16.4 points, #11 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 18.5 points last game against a typical 13.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 41 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Tyler Shough▲QB · NOvsMINSTARTScored 23.8 last game, typical 12.215.3
8–24 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 12.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NO underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- MIN vs QBs
- 29% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 15.3 points, #12 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 23.8 points last game against a typical 12.2 (trending up).
- Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 29% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 44 pass attempts a game.
Projection 15.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Bo Nix▲QB · DEN@LACBENCHLAC allow 15% fewer points to QBs15.1
8–24 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 16.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- DEN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- LAC vs QBs
- 15% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 15.1 points, #13 among QBs this week, 0.2 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- LAC's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 24.1 points last game against a typical 16 (trending up).
- Averaging 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 15.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Jalen HurtsQB · PHI@JAXBENCHJAX allow 12% fewer points to QBs15.1
8–24 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 16.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- PHI underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- JAX vs QBs
- 12% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 15.1 points, #14 among QBs this week, 0.2 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- JAX's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 15.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
15C.J. StroudQB · HOU@TENBENCHProjected 14.1 · 1.2 behind #1214.1
7–22 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 13.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- HOU favored by 6.5
- Game total
- 39.5
- TEN vs QBs
- 1% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.1 points, #15 among QBs this week, 1.2 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 40 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Drake Maye▼QB · NEvsLVBENCHScored 3.8 last game, typical 18.513.8
7–22 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 18.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- NE favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- LV vs QBs
- 3% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.8 points, #16 among QBs this week, 1.5 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 3.8 points last game against a typical 18.5 (trending down).
- Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Deshaun WatsonQB · CLE@NYJBENCHCLE expected to score only ~20, a tough spot13.6
7–21 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- CLE underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- NYJ vs QBs
- 12% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.6 points, #17 among QBs this week, 1.7 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: NYJ's defense has allowed 12% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Sam Darnold▲QB · SEAvsSFBENCHProjected 13.5 · 1.8 behind #1213.5
7–21 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W3Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- SEA favored by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SF vs QBs
- 1% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.5 points, #18 among QBs this week, 1.8 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: SEA's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 24 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Geno Smith▲QB · NYJvsCLEBENCHProjected 13.0 · 2.3 behind #1213.0
7–21 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- CLE vs QBs
- 9% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.0 points, #19 among QBs this week, 2.3 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 26 points last game against a typical 10.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Justin HerbertQB · LACvsDENBENCHProjected 12.7 · 2.6 behind #1212.7
7–20 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 15.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- DEN vs QBs
- 11% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.7 points, #20 among QBs this week, 2.6 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Marcus Mariota▲QB · WASvsNYGBENCHProjected 12.4 · #21 among QBs12.4
6–20 rangeBENCHRecent form
W2W3Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYG vs QBs
- 8% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.4 points, #21 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 QB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 24 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
22Daniel Jones▼QB · IND@PITBENCHScored 7.9 last game, typical 15.112.4
6–20 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- IND underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- PIT vs QBs
- League average
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.4 points, #22 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Scored 7.9 points last game against a typical 15.1 (trending down).
- Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Kirk Cousins▲QB · LV@NEBENCHNE allow 15% fewer points to QBs12.3
6–19 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NE vs QBs
- 15% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.3 points, #23 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- NE's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 22.2 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATLvsBALBENCHProjected 11.6 · #24 among QBs11.6
6–18 rangeBENCHRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- BAL vs QBs
- 5% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 11.6 points, #24 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.
Projection 11.6 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
25Malik WillisQB · MIAvsCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot10.8
6–17 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- MIA underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- CIN vs QBs
- 9% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.8 points, #25 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Cam WardQB · TENvsHOUBENCHTEN expected to score only ~17, a tough spot9.9
5–16 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~17 pts
- Vegas line
- TEN underdogs by 6.5
- Game total
- 39.5
- HOU vs QBs
- 11% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 9.9 points, #26 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- TEN's offense is expected to score only about 17 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 9.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Kyler MurrayQB · MIN@NOBENCHProjected 9.6 · #27 among QBs9.6
5–15 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W3Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NO vs QBs
- 9% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 9.6 points, #27 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Averaging 17 pass attempts a game.
Projection 9.6 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
28Case Keenum▲QB · CHI@GBBENCHProjected 9.0 · #28 among QBs9.0
5–14 rangeBENCHRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs QBs
- 8% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 9.0 points, #28 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: Scored 24.5 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 9.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
29Jalon Daniels▼QB · TB@DALBENCHScored -1.1 last game, typical 10.58.6
5–14 rangeBENCHRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- DAL vs QBs
- 41% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.6 points, #29 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Scored -1.1 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending down).
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 QB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 3 pass attempts a game.
Projection 8.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →
30Joe FlaccoQB · CIN@MIABENCHProjected 8.1 · #30 among QBs8.1
4–13 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 9.8 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- CIN favored by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- MIA vs QBs
- 12% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.1 points, #30 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaged last season 32 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
31J.J. McCarthyQB · NYG@WASBENCHProjected 8.1 · #31 among QBs8.1
4–13 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYG underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- WAS vs QBs
- 31% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.1 points, #31 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 31% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaged last season 24 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
–Jaxson DartIR▼QB · NYG@WASOUTOn injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYG underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- WAS vs QBs
- 31% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury.
- Averaging 17 pass attempts a game.
- No. 3 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Baker MayfieldOUTQB · TB@DALOUTOut — thumb injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- DAL vs QBs
- 41% more points
Why we say out
- Out — thumb injury.
- Averaging 32 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Dillon GabrielIRQB · CLE@NYJOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 5.8 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- CLE underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- NYJ vs QBs
- 12% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 19 pass attempts a game.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Caleb WilliamsOUT▼QB · CHI@GBOUTOut — hamstring injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 16.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs QBs
- 8% fewer points
Why we say out
- Out — hamstring injury.
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Skylar ThompsonIRQB · BAL@ATLOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- ATL vs QBs
- 2% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Carter BradleyIRQB · JAXvsPHIOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- JAX favored by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- PHI vs QBs
- 2% fewer points
–Matthew CaldwellIRQB · LAvsBUFOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- BUF vs QBs
- 10% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Jayden DanielsOUTQB · WASvsNYGOUTOut — elbow injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
W1W2Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYG vs QBs
- 8% more points
Why we say out
- Out — elbow injury.
- Averaging 26 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Graham MertzIRQB · HOU@TENOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- HOU favored by 6.5
- Game total
- 39.5
- TEN vs QBs
- 1% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 3 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
How we rank
Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.
We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.
The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.