Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

Early season: only 2 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

1Josh Allen▲QB · BUFvsLACMUST STARTScored 40.8 last game, typical 20.316.5
scored · proj 26.9MUST START
Recent form
36
41
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 20.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
50.5
LAC vs QBs
16% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Why we say must start
- Projected 26.9 points, #1 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 40.8 points last game against a typical 20.3 (trending up).
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: LAC's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 30 pass attempts a game.
Projection 26.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Patrick Mahomes▲QB · KC@MIAMUST STARTScored 29 last game, typical 17.815.9
scored · proj 23.8MUST START
Recent form
22
29
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 17.8 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 10
Game total
45.5
MIA vs QBs
14% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 23.8 points, #2 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 29 points last game against a typical 17.8 (trending up).
- KC's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 37 pass attempts a game.
Projection 23.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Jared Goff▲QB · DETvsNYJMUST STARTScored 29.8 last game, typical 15.619.4
scored · proj 21.5MUST START
Recent form
16
30
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 15.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NYJ vs QBs
13% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 21.5 points, #3 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 29.8 points last game against a typical 15.6 (trending up).
- DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 39 pass attempts a game.
Projection 21.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Brock Purdy▲QB · SFvsARIMUST STARTScored 28.5 last game, typical 16.131.3
scored · proj 21.0MUST START
Recent form
21
29
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 16.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 7.5
Game total
48.5
ARI vs QBs
4% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 21.0 points, #4 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 28.5 points last game against a typical 16.1 (trending up).
- SF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 21.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
5Lamar JacksonQB · BAL@DALMUST STARTDAL allow 44% more points to QBs20.4
scored · proj 20.3MUST START
Recent form
25
15
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 3
Game total
53.5
DAL vs QBs
44% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 20.3 points, #5 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- DAL's defense has allowed 44% more points to QBs than the league average.
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 20.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Dak Prescott▲QB · DALvsBALMUST STARTScored 29.8 last game, typical 16.518.9
scored · proj 19.6MUST START
Recent form
14
30
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 16.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
53.5
BAL vs QBs
5% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.6 points, #6 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 29.8 points last game against a typical 16.5 (trending up).
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.
Projection 19.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Jalen HurtsQB · PHI@CHISTARTCHI allow 13% more points to QBs12.6
scored · proj 19.4START
Recent form
25
16
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 16.7 a game
This week's matchup
@CHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PHI favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
CHI vs QBs
13% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 19.4 points, #7 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- CHI's defense has allowed 13% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 19.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Bryce Young▲QB · CAR@CLESTARTScored 24.1 last game, typical 12.113.6
scored · proj 16.8START
Recent form
31
24
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CAR favored by 2.5
Game total
41.5
CLE vs QBs
12% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Why we say start
- Projected 16.8 points, #8 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 24.1 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
- Concern: CLE's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 37 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Tyler Shough▲QB · NOvsLVSTARTScored 22.4 last game, typical 12.223.8
scored · proj 16.4START
Recent form
23
22
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
LV vs QBs
7% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 16.4 points, #9 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 22.4 points last game against a typical 12.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 45 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
10Trevor Lawrence▼QB · JAXvsNESTARTProjected 16.4 · #10 among QBs19.8
scored · proj 16.4START
Recent form
26
6
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 17.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
46.5
NE vs QBs
18% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 16.4 points, #10 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Concern: NE's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 26 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Matthew Stafford▲QB · LA@DENSTARTScored 27 last game, typical 18.420.9
scored · proj 15.9START
Recent form
4
27
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 18.4 a game
This week's matchup
@DENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LA underdogs by 1.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs QBs
14% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say start
- Projected 15.9 points, #11 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 27 points last game against a typical 18.4 (trending up).
- Concern: DEN's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 15.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
12C.J. StroudQB · HOU@INDSTARTIND allow 15% more points to QBs11.7
scored · proj 15.5START
Recent form
17
17
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 13.0 a game
This week's matchup
@INDGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 1.5
Game total
41.5
IND vs QBs
15% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 15.5 points, #12 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 47 pass attempts a game.
Projection 15.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Jordan LoveQB · GBvsATLBENCHProjected 15.4 · 0.1 behind #1218.5
scored · proj 15.4BENCH
Recent form
20
14
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 13.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 4.5
Game total
43.5
ATL vs QBs
1% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 15.4 points, #13 among QBs this week, 0.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 36 pass attempts a game.
Projection 15.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Drake Maye▼QB · NE@JAXBENCHScored 8 last game, typical 18.53.8
scored · proj 14.8BENCH
Recent form
10
8
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 18.5 a game
This week's matchup
@JAXGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 3
Game total
46.5
JAX vs QBs
6% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.8 points, #14 among QBs this week, 0.7 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 8 points last game against a typical 18.5 (trending down).
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Sam Darnold▼QB · SEA@WASBENCHScored 0.5 last game, typical 12.427.7
scored · proj 14.1BENCH
Recent form
1
W1
Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 8.5
Game total
40.5
WAS vs QBs
28% more points
Wind
13 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.1 points, #15 among QBs this week, 1.4 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 0.5 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending down).
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 28% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 2 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Joe BurrowQB · CIN@PITBENCHProjected 14.1 · 1.4 behind #1222.6
scored · proj 14.1BENCH
Recent form
14
16
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 13.4 a game
This week's matchup
@PITGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PIT vs QBs
League average
Wind
12 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.1 points, #16 among QBs this week, 1.4 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
17Justin Herbert▼QB · LAC@BUFBENCHScored 7.9 last game, typical 15.912.7
scored · proj 13.6BENCH
Recent form
13
8
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 15.9 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
50.5
BUF vs QBs
8% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.6 points, #17 among QBs this week, 1.9 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 7.9 points last game against a typical 15.9 (trending down).
- Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Bo NixQB · DENvsLABENCHProjected 13.4 · 2.1 behind #1224.1
scored · proj 13.4BENCH
Recent form
5
14
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 16.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 1.5
Game total
43.5
LA vs QBs
11% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 13.4 points, #18 among QBs this week, 2.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 30 pass attempts a game.
Projection 13.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Jacoby Brissett▼QB · ARI@SFBENCHScored 6.5 last game, typical 14.225.6
scored · proj 12.5BENCH
Recent form
17
7
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 14.2 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 7.5
Game total
48.5
SF vs QBs
6% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.5 points, #19 among QBs this week, 3.0 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 6.5 points last game against a typical 14.2 (trending down).
- Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Daniel JonesQB · INDvsHOUBENCHProjected 12.4 · 3.1 behind #127.9
scored · proj 12.4BENCH
Recent form
9
11
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsHOUGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
IND underdogs by 1.5
Game total
41.5
HOU vs QBs
6% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.4 points, #20 among QBs this week, 3.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Geno Smith▲QB · NYJ@DETBENCHProjected 12.1 · #21 among QBs26.0
scored · proj 12.1BENCH
Recent form
9
16
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
@DETGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYJ underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
DET vs QBs
27% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.1 points, #21 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 27% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Kyler Murray▼QB · MIN@TBBENCHScored -0.4 last game, typical 11.110.4
scored · proj 11.4BENCH
Recent form
-0
W1
Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 1.5
Game total
42.5
TB vs QBs
15% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 11.4 points, #22 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Scored -0.4 points last game against a typical 11.1 (trending down).
- Upside: TB's defense has allowed 15% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 5 pass attempts a game.
Projection 11.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
23Deshaun Watson▲QB · CLEvsCARBENCHCLE expected to score only ~20, a tough spot20.3
scored · proj 11.3BENCH
Recent form
14
20
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsCARGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
41.5
CAR vs QBs
10% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 11.3 points, #23 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 19.7 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 26 pass attempts a game.
Projection 11.3 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
24Cam Ward▲QB · TEN@NYGBENCHTEN expected to score only ~18, a tough spot9.4
scored · proj 11.3BENCH
Recent form
12
20
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 2.5
Game total
37.5
NYG vs QBs
14% more points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 11.3 points, #24 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- TEN's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 20 points last game against a typical 9.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 26 pass attempts a game.
Projection 11.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Justin FieldsQB · KC@MIABENCHProjected 10.9 · #25 among QBs10.9
6–17 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 13.0 a game.
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 10
Game total
45.5
MIA vs QBs
14% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.9 points, #25 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: KC's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaged last season 23 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 10.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
26Aaron Rodgers▼QB · PITvsCINBENCHScored 4 last game, typical 12.622.7
scored · proj 10.6BENCH
Recent form
13
4
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsCINGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PIT underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
CIN vs QBs
6% more points
Wind
12 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.6 points, #26 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Scored 4 points last game against a typical 12.6 (trending down).
- PIT's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 40 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Kirk Cousins▲QB · LV@NOBENCHNO allow 13% fewer points to QBs22.2
scored · proj 10.4BENCH
Recent form
14
20
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NO vs QBs
13% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.4 points, #27 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- NO's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 20.2 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 30 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
28J.J. McCarthyQB · NYGvsTENBENCHProjected 10.4 · #28 among QBs10.4
5–16 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.4 a game.
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYG favored by 2.5
Game total
37.5
TEN vs QBs
8% more points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.4 points, #28 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Averaged last season 24 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
29Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATL@GBBENCHATL expected to score only ~20, a tough spot14.0
scored · proj 10.0BENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.9 a game.
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 4.5
Game total
43.5
GB vs QBs
6% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.0 points, #29 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- ATL's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaged last season 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
30Malik WillisQB · MIAvsKCBENCHMIA expected to score only ~18, a tough spot10.0
scored · proj 10.0BENCH
Recent form
17
13
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 10
Game total
45.5
KC vs QBs
16% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.0 points, #30 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- KC's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
31Marcus MariotaQB · WASvsSEABENCHSEA allow 22% fewer points to QBs20.4
scored · proj 8.2BENCH
Recent form
9
W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsSEAGame page →
Expected team score
~16 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 8.5
Game total
40.5
SEA vs QBs
22% fewer points
Wind
13 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.2 points, #31 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- SEA's defense has allowed 22% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- WAS's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 QB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 16 pass attempts a game.
Projection 8.2 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
32Carson WentzQB · MIN@TBBENCHProjected 8.2 · #32 among QBs8.2
4–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
19
6
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 1.5
Game total
42.5
TB vs QBs
15% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.2 points, #32 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: TB's defense has allowed 15% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 20 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.2 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
33Mac Jones▼QB · SFvsARIBENCHScored -0.2 last game, typical 108.0
4–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
-0
W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 7.5
Game total
48.5
ARI vs QBs
4% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.0 points, #33 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Scored -0.2 points last game against a typical 10 (trending down).
- Upside: SF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
–Jaxson DartIR▼QB · NYGvsTENOUTOn injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
27
1
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYG favored by 2.5
Game total
37.5
TEN vs QBs
8% more points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say out
- On injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury.
- Averaging 17 pass attempts a game.
- No. 3 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Baker MayfieldOUTQB · TBvsMINOUTOut — thumb injury11.3
scored · proj 0.0OUT
Recent form
12
12
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 1.5
Game total
42.5
MIN vs QBs
28% fewer points
Why we say out
- Out — thumb injury.
- Averaging 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Dillon GabrielIRQB · CLEvsCAROUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 5.8 a game.
This week's matchup
vsCARGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
41.5
CAR vs QBs
10% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 19 pass attempts a game.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Caleb WilliamsOUT▼QB · CHIvsPHIOUTOut — hamstring injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
37
8
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 16.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs QBs
6% fewer points
Why we say out
- Out — hamstring injury.
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Skylar ThompsonIRQB · BAL@DALOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 3
Game total
53.5
DAL vs QBs
44% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Carter BradleyIRQB · JAXvsNEOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
46.5
NE vs QBs
18% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Matthew CaldwellIRQB · LA@DENOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
@DENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LA underdogs by 1.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs QBs
14% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Chris OladokunIRQB · KC@MIAOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.2 a game.
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 10
Game total
45.5
MIA vs QBs
14% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 18 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Jayden DanielsOUTQB · WASvsSEAOUTOut — elbow injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
18
15
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsSEAGame page →
Expected team score
~16 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 8.5
Game total
40.5
SEA vs QBs
22% fewer points
Wind
13 mph
Why we say out
- Out — elbow injury.
- Averaging 26 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Graham MertzIRQB · HOU@INDOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
@INDGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 1.5
Game total
41.5
IND vs QBs
15% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 3 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.