Fantasy · Week 2 · 2026
Win your week. Start the right players.
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Our top pick at every position
Josh Allen
BUF vs DET
40.8scored
MUST STARTScored 35.7 last game, typical 20.3
Running back · #1Jahmyr Gibbs
DET @ BUF
23.3scored
MUST STARTScored 33.6 last game, typical 19.3
Wide receiver · #1Puka Nacua
LA vs NYG
19.9proj
MUST STARTLA expected to score ~27, a strong spot
Tight end · #1Trey McBride
ARI vs SEA
18.1scored
MUST STARTScored 24.5 last game, typical 16.6
Kicker · #1Ka'imi Fairbairn
HOU vs CIN
6.0scored
MUST STARTProjected 11.7 · #1 among kickers
Defense · #1Seahawks D/ST
SEA @ ARI
8.0scored
MUST STARTARI expected to score only ~19, a good spot
Your toolkit
Full rankings
Each position has its own page: QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · Flex rankings · K rankings · D/ST rankings
Early season: only 1 week of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.
1Josh Allen▲QB · BUFvsDETMUST STARTScored 35.7 last game, typical 20.340.8
scored · proj 28.0MUST STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 20.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~30 pts
- Vegas line
- BUF favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 54.5
- DET vs QBs
- 14% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 28.0 points, #1 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 35.7 points last game against a typical 20.3 (trending up).
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 30 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 28.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Patrick MahomesQB · KCvsINDMUST STARTKC expected to score ~26, a strong spot29.0
scored · proj 20.5MUST STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 17.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~26 pts
- Vegas line
- KC favored by 6
- Game total
- 46.5
- IND vs QBs
- 8% more points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say must start
- Projected 20.5 points, #2 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.
Projection 20.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Brock Purdy▲QB · SFvsMIAMUST STARTSF expected to score ~29, a strong spot28.5
scored · proj 19.7MUST STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 16.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- SF favored by 12.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- MIA vs QBs
- 8% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.7 points, #3 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- SF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Scored 21.1 points last game against a typical 16.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
Projection 19.7 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
4Dak PrescottQB · DALvsWASMUST STARTWAS allow 22% more points to QBs29.8
scored · proj 19.5MUST STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 16.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 51.5
- WAS vs QBs
- 22% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.5 points, #4 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- WAS's defense has allowed 22% more points to QBs than the league average.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
Projection 19.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Jalen Hurts▲QB · PHI@TENMUST STARTScored 24.7 last game, typical 16.716.2
scored · proj 19.3MUST STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 16.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PHI favored by 7
- Game total
- 39.5
- TEN vs QBs
- 9% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.3 points, #5 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- Scored 24.7 points last game against a typical 16.7 (trending up).
- Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.
Projection 19.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Matthew Stafford▼QB · LAvsNYGMUST STARTLA expected to score ~27, a strong spot27.0
scored · proj 18.3MUST STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 18.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 6.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- NYG vs QBs
- 8% more points
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.3 points, #6 among QBs this week, inside the top 6 we call must-starts.
- LA's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 4.1 points last game against a typical 18.4 (trending down).
- Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.
Projection 18.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Trevor Lawrence▲QB · JAX@DENSTARTScored 26.1 last game, typical 17.86.2
scored · proj 17.9STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 17.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- JAX underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- DEN vs QBs
- 9% fewer points
- Wind
- 12 mph
Why we say start
- Projected 17.9 points, #7 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 26.1 points last game against a typical 17.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 23 pass attempts a game.
Projection 17.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Drake Maye▼QB · NEvsPITSTARTProjected 17.2 · #8 among QBs8.0
scored · proj 17.2STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 18.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- NE favored by 4.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- PIT vs QBs
- 5% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 17.2 points, #8 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Concern: Scored 9.8 points last game against a typical 18.5 (trending down).
- Averaging 33 pass attempts a game.
Projection 17.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Jordan Love▲QB · GB@NYJSTARTScored 19.5 last game, typical 13.813.8
scored · proj 17.0STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 13.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- GB favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NYJ vs QBs
- 16% more points
Why we say start
- Projected 17.0 points, #9 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 19.5 points last game against a typical 13.8 (trending up).
- NYJ's defense has allowed 16% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 42 pass attempts a game.
Projection 17.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Lamar Jackson▲QB · BALvsNOSTARTScored 25 last game, typical 14.314.8
scored · proj 16.7STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 8.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- NO vs QBs
- 13% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say start
- Projected 16.7 points, #10 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 25 points last game against a typical 14.3 (trending up).
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: NO's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 25 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Bryce Young▲QB · CAR@ATLSTARTScored 31.4 last game, typical 12.124.1
scored · proj 16.6STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- CAR favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- ATL vs QBs
- 3% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 16.6 points, #11 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 31.4 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 37 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Justin HerbertQB · LACvsLVSTARTLAC expected to score ~25, a strong spot7.9
scored · proj 16.0STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 15.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC favored by 6.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- LV vs QBs
- 2% fewer points
Why we say start
- Projected 16.0 points, #12 among QBs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- LAC's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.
Projection 16.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Jared GoffQB · DET@BUFBENCHBUF allow 18% fewer points to QBs29.8
scored · proj 14.9BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 15.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- DET underdogs by 5.5
- Game total
- 54.5
- BUF vs QBs
- 18% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.9 points, #13 among QBs this week, 1.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- BUF's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 39 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
14C.J. StroudQB · HOUvsCINBENCHProjected 14.8 · 1.2 behind #1217.0
scored · proj 14.8BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 13.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- HOU favored by 3
- Game total
- 45.5
- CIN vs QBs
- 7% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.8 points, #14 among QBs this week, 1.2 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 38 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Tyler Shough▲QB · NO@BALBENCHNO expected to score only ~19, a tough spot22.4
scored · proj 14.7BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 12.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- NO underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- BAL vs QBs
- 2% more points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.7 points, #15 among QBs this week, 1.3 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- NO's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 23.2 points last game against a typical 12.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 56 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.7 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
16Bo Nix▼QB · DENvsJAXBENCHScored 5.4 last game, typical 1614.1
scored · proj 14.3BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 16.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- DEN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- JAX vs QBs
- 5% fewer points
- Wind
- 12 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 14.3 points, #16 among QBs this week, 1.7 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 5.4 points last game against a typical 16 (trending down).
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 14.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Joe BurrowQB · CIN@HOUBENCHProjected 12.9 · 3.1 behind #1216.2
scored · proj 12.9BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 13.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- CIN underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 45.5
- HOU vs QBs
- 7% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.9 points, #17 among QBs this week, 3.1 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 35 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
18Jacoby BrissettQB · ARIvsSEABENCHSEA allow 18% fewer points to QBs6.5
scored · proj 12.4BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 14.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- SEA vs QBs
- 18% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.4 points, #18 among QBs this week, 3.6 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- SEA's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- ARI's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 37 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Daniel Jones▼QB · IND@KCBENCHScored 9 last game, typical 15.111.4
scored · proj 12.3BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- IND underdogs by 6
- Game total
- 46.5
- KC vs QBs
- 15% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.3 points, #19 among QBs this week, 3.7 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 9 points last game against a typical 15.1 (trending down).
- KC's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Sam Darnold▼QB · SEA@ARIBENCHScored 0.5 last game, typical 12.412.1
6–19 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- SEA favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- ARI vs QBs
- 1% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.1 points, #20 among QBs this week, 3.9 points behind #12, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 0.5 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending down).
- Averaging 2 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Marcus MariotaQB · WAS@DALBENCHProjected 12.0 · #21 among QBs8.7
scored · proj 12.0BENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 51.5
- DAL vs QBs
- 44% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 12.0 points, #21 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 QB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaged last season 23 pass attempts a game.
Projection 12.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
22Kyler Murray▼QB · MIN@CHIBENCHScored -0.4 last game, typical 11.111.5
6–18 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN underdogs by 4.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- CHI vs QBs
- 21% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 11.5 points, #22 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Scored -0.4 points last game against a typical 11.1 (trending down).
- Upside: CHI's defense has allowed 21% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 5 pass attempts a game.
Projection 11.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
23Aaron RodgersQB · PIT@NEBENCHPIT expected to score only ~19, a tough spot4.0
scored · proj 11.0BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 12.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT underdogs by 4.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- NE vs QBs
- 11% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 11.0 points, #23 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- PIT's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 40 pass attempts a game.
Projection 11.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Deshaun WatsonQB · CLE@TBBENCHCLE expected to score only ~17, a tough spot19.7
scored · proj 10.8BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~17 pts
- Vegas line
- CLE underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- TB vs QBs
- 15% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.8 points, #24 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- CLE's offense is expected to score only about 17 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: TB's defense has allowed 15% more points to QBs than the league average.
- Averaging 22 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
25Michael Penix Jr.QB · ATLvsCARBENCHProjected 10.5 · #25 among QBs10.5
6–17 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.9 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- CAR vs QBs
- League average
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.5 points, #25 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Averaged last season 31 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
26Justin FieldsQB · KCvsINDBENCHProjected 10.4 · #26 among QBs10.4
5–16 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 13.0 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~26 pts
- Vegas line
- KC favored by 6
- Game total
- 46.5
- IND vs QBs
- 8% more points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.4 points, #26 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaged last season 23 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 10.4 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
27Malik Willis▲QB · MIA@SFBENCHMIA expected to score only ~16, a tough spot12.5
scored · proj 10.3BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~16 pts
- Vegas line
- MIA underdogs by 12.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- SF vs QBs
- 4% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 10.3 points, #27 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 16.7 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 27 pass attempts a game.
Projection 10.3 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
28J.J. McCarthyQB · NYG@LABENCHProjected 9.9 · #28 among QBs9.9
5–16 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.4 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYG underdogs by 6.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- LA vs QBs
- 4% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 9.9 points, #28 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Averaged last season 24 pass attempts a game.
Projection 9.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
29Geno SmithQB · NYJvsGBBENCHProjected 9.4 · #29 among QBs15.6
scored · proj 9.4BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- GB vs QBs
- 6% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 9.4 points, #29 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Averaging 24 pass attempts a game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
30Carson Wentz▲QB · MIN@CHIBENCHProjected 8.7 · #30 among QBs6.3
scored · proj 8.7BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN underdogs by 4.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- CHI vs QBs
- 21% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.7 points, #30 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: Scored 19.2 points last game against a typical 10 (trending up).
- Averaging 19 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.7 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
31Cam WardQB · TENvsPHIBENCHTEN expected to score only ~16, a tough spot20.0
scored · proj 8.7BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~16 pts
- Vegas line
- TEN underdogs by 7
- Game total
- 39.5
- PHI vs QBs
- 9% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.7 points, #31 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- TEN's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 32 pass attempts a game.
Projection 8.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
32Mac JonesQB · SFvsMIABENCHProjected 8.3 · #32 among QBs-0.2
scored · proj 8.3BENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.0 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- SF favored by 12.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- MIA vs QBs
- 8% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.3 points, #32 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: SF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaged last season 26 pass attempts a game.
- No. 2 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 8.3 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
33Jameis WinstonQB · NYG@LABENCHProjected 8.2 · #33 among QBs2.5
scored · proj 8.2BENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 8.7 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYG underdogs by 6.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- LA vs QBs
- 4% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.2 points, #33 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 QB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaged last season 22 pass attempts a game.
Projection 8.2 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
34Kirk Cousins▲QB · LV@LACBENCHLAC allow 21% fewer points to QBs20.2
scored · proj 8.1BENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 6.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- LAC vs QBs
- 21% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.1 points, #34 among QBs this week, outside the top 12.
- LAC's defense has allowed 21% fewer points to QBs than the league average.
- LV's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 13.8 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 30 pass attempts a game.
Projection 8.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
–Jaxson DartIR▲QB · NYG@LAOUTOn injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury0.8
scored · proj 0.0OUTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 15.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYG underdogs by 6.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- LA vs QBs
- 4% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve — knee (Meniscus) injury.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Baker MayfieldOUTQB · TBvsCLEOUTOut — thumb injury12.2
scored · proj 0.0OUTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- TB favored by 8.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- CLE vs QBs
- 11% fewer points
Why we say out
- Out — thumb injury.
- Averaging 28 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Dillon GabrielIRQB · CLE@TBOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 5.8 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~17 pts
- Vegas line
- CLE underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- TB vs QBs
- 15% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 19 pass attempts a game.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Caleb WilliamsOUT▲QB · CHIvsMINOUTOut — hamstring injury7.7
scored · proj 0.0OUTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 16.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~26 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI favored by 4.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- MIN vs QBs
- 27% fewer points
Why we say out
- Out — hamstring injury.
- Averaging 29 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Skylar ThompsonIRQB · BALvsNOOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 8.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- NO vs QBs
- 13% fewer points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Carter BradleyIRQB · JAX@DENOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- JAX underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- DEN vs QBs
- 9% fewer points
- Wind
- 12 mph
–Matthew CaldwellIRQB · LAvsNYGOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 6.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- NYG vs QBs
- 8% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Chris OladokunIRQB · KCvsINDOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.2 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~26 pts
- Vegas line
- KC favored by 6
- Game total
- 46.5
- IND vs QBs
- 8% more points
- Wind
- 10 mph
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 18 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Jayden DanielsOUT▲QB · WAS@DALOUTOut — elbow injury14.7
scored · proj 0.0OUTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 51.5
- DAL vs QBs
- 44% more points
Why we say out
- Out — elbow injury.
- Averaging 34 pass attempts a game.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Graham MertzIRQB · HOUvsCINOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUTRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 2.1 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- HOU favored by 3
- Game total
- 45.5
- CIN vs QBs
- 7% more points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 3 QB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
How we rank
Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.
We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.
The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.