Fantasy · Week 3 · 2026

Win your week. Start the right players.

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

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Each position has its own page: QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · Flex rankings · K rankings · D/ST rankings

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Early season: only 2 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

  1. 1DETJahmyr GibbsRB · DETvsNYJNYJMUST STARTNYJ allow 17% more points to RBs37.9scored · proj 24.6

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 17.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    DETDETvsNYJNYJNYJGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 7
    Game total
    49.5
    NYJ vs RBs
    17% more points
    Last game snaps
    83%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 24.6 points, #1 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • NYJ's defense has allowed 17% more points to RBs than the league average.
    • DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 22.5 carries and 6.5 targets a game.
    • Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 24.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  2. 2KCKenneth Walker III▲RB · KC@MIAMIAMUST STARTScored 20.8 last game, typical 9.320.3scored · proj 21.7

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 9.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    KCKC@MIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    KC favored by 10
    Game total
    45.5
    MIA vs RBs
    21% more points
    Last game snaps
    82%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 21.7 points, #2 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 20.8 points last game against a typical 9.3 (trending up).
    • MIA's defense has allowed 21% more points to RBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 23.5 carries and 8 targets a game.
    • Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 21.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  3. 3SFChristian McCaffreyRB · SFvsARIARIMUST STARTSF expected to score ~28, a strong spot19.6scored · proj 21.3

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 19.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    SFSFvsARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    SF favored by 7.5
    Game total
    48.5
    ARI vs RBs
    11% more points
    Last game snaps
    52%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 21.3 points, #3 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • SF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 10 carries and 6 targets a game.
    • Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 21.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  4. 4SEAJaxon Smith-Njigba▲WR · SEA@WASWASMUST STARTScored 38 last game, typical 15.830.4scored · proj 21.2

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 15.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    SEASEA@WASWASWASGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    SEA favored by 8.5
    Game total
    40.5
    WAS vs WRs
    17% more points
    Wind
    13 mph
    Last game snaps
    67%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 21.2 points, #1 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 38 points last game against a typical 15.8 (trending up).
    • WAS's defense has allowed 17% more points to WRs than the league average.
    • Averaging 11 targets a game.
    • Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 21.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  5. 5BALDerrick HenryRB · BAL@DALDALMUST STARTBAL expected to score ~28, a strong spot21.4scored · proj 21.0

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 14.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    BALBAL@DALDALDALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    BAL favored by 3
    Game total
    53.5
    DAL vs RBs
    14% more points
    Last game snaps
    53%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 21.0 points, #4 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • DAL's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 20 carries and 2 targets a game.
    • Played 53% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 21.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  6. 6INDJonathan Taylor▲RB · INDvsHOUHOUMUST STARTScored 27.2 last game, typical 17.98.2scored · proj 18.9

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 17.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    INDINDvsHOUHOUHOUGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    IND underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    41.5
    HOU vs RBs
    16% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    94%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 18.9 points, #5 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 27.2 points last game against a typical 17.9 (trending up).
    • Concern: HOU's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 21.5 carries and 4 targets a game.
    • Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 18.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  7. 7DETAmon-Ra St. Brown▲WR · DETvsNYJNYJMUST STARTScored 30.7 last game, typical 149.9scored · proj 18.5

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 14.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    DETDETvsNYJNYJNYJGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 7
    Game total
    49.5
    NYJ vs WRs
    4% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    95%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 18.5 points, #2 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 30.7 points last game against a typical 14 (trending up).
    • DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 13.5 targets a game.
    • Played 95% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 18.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  8. 8ATLBijan Robinson▼RB · ATL@GBGBMUST STARTProjected 16.9 · #6 among RBs34.3scored · proj 16.9

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 17.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    ATLATL@GBGBGBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    ATL underdogs by 4.5
    Game total
    43.5
    GB vs RBs
    League average
    Last game snaps
    51%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 16.9 points, #6 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Concern: ATL's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 18.5 carries and 7 targets a game.
    • Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 16.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  9. 9CHID'Andre SwiftRB · CHIvsPHIPHIMUST STARTProjected 15.6 · #7 among RBs9.8scored · proj 15.6

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 11.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    CHICHIvsPHIPHIPHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    CHI underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    PHI vs RBs
    2% more points
    Last game snaps
    68%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 15.6 points, #7 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Concern: CHI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 17 carries and 3 targets a game.
    • Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 15.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  10. 10NOChris Olave▲WR · NOvsLVLVMUST STARTScored 18.6 last game, typical 12.115.2scored · proj 15.0

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    NONOvsLVLVLVGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    NO favored by 3.5
    Game total
    43.5
    LV vs WRs
    League average
    Last game snaps
    84%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 15.0 points, #3 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 18.6 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
    • Averaging 11.5 targets a game.
    • Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 15.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  11. 11GBChristian WatsonWR · GBvsATLATLMUST STARTProjected 14.9 · #4 among WRs19.1scored · proj 14.9

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    GBGBvsATLATLATLGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 4.5
    Game total
    43.5
    ATL vs WRs
    7% more points
    Last game snaps
    90%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 14.9 points, #4 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Averaging 9.5 targets a game.
    • Played 90% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 14.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  12. 12BUFJames Cook▲RB · BUFvsLACLACMUST STARTBUF expected to score ~29, a strong spot19.4scored · proj 14.8

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 15.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    BUFBUFvsLACLACLACGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    BUF favored by 7
    Game total
    50.5
    LAC vs RBs
    17% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    74%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 14.8 points, #8 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • BUF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Scored 20.4 points last game against a typical 15 (trending up).
    • Concern: LAC's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 17 carries and 3.5 targets a game.

    Projection 14.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  13. 13LVAshton JeantyRB · LV@NONOSTARTProjected 14.6 · #9 among RBs10.8scored · proj 14.6

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 11.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    LVLV@NONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    LV underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    43.5
    NO vs RBs
    4% more points
    Last game snaps
    81%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 14.6 points, #9 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 22 carries and 6.5 targets a game.
    • Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 14.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  14. 14DALCeeDee Lamb▲WR · DALvsBALBALMUST STARTScored 31.3 last game, typical 10.916.7scored · proj 14.2

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsBALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL underdogs by 3
    Game total
    53.5
    BAL vs WRs
    12% more points
    Last game snaps
    75%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 14.2 points, #5 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 31.3 points last game against a typical 10.9 (trending up).
    • BAL's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
    • Averaging 8.5 targets a game.
    • Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 14.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  15. 15LAPuka Nacua▼WR · LA@DENDENMUST STARTProjected 13.6 · #6 among WRs13.65–23 range

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 17.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    LALA@DENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LA underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    43.5
    DEN vs WRs
    20% fewer points
    Wind
    10 mph
    Last game snaps
    70%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 13.6 points, #6 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Concern: DEN's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
    • Averaging 9 targets a game.
    • Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 13.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  16. 16NYJGarrett Wilson▲WR · NYJ@DETDETMUST STARTMore work with Adonai Mitchell and Breece Hall out21.7scored · proj 13.3

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 9.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYJNYJ@DETDETDETGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYJ underdogs by 7
    Game total
    49.5
    DET vs WRs
    23% more points
    Last game snaps
    88%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 13.3 points, #7 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Adonai Mitchell and Breece Hall out: more work to go around (about +3.4 points).
    • Scored 14.2 points last game against a typical 9.1 (trending up).
    • Averaging 7 targets a game.
    • Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 13.3 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  17. 17DALJavonte Williams▼RB · DALvsBALBALSTARTDAL expected to score ~25, a strong spot17.3scored · proj 13.2

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 12.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsBALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL underdogs by 3
    Game total
    53.5
    BAL vs RBs
    1% more points
    Last game snaps
    80%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 13.2 points, #10 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • DAL's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Concern: Scored 6.5 points last game against a typical 12.5 (trending down).
    • Averaging 12 carries and 4.5 targets a game.
    • Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 13.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  18. 18CINChase BrownRB · CIN@PITPITSTARTProjected 13.1 · #11 among RBs7.9scored · proj 13.1

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 13.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    CINCIN@PITPITPITGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    CIN favored by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    PIT vs RBs
    5% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    70%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 13.1 points, #11 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 18 carries and 5.5 targets a game.
    • Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 13.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  19. 19LADavante Adams▲WR · LA@DENDENMUST STARTScored 35.5 last game, typical 12.117.2scored · proj 12.8

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    LALA@DENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LA underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    43.5
    DEN vs WRs
    20% fewer points
    Wind
    10 mph
    Last game snaps
    65%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 12.8 points, #8 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 35.5 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
    • Terrance Ferguson out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
    • Concern: DEN's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
    • Averaging 8 targets a game.

    Projection 12.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  20. 20CINJa'Marr Chase▲WR · CIN@PITPITSTARTScored 23 last game, typical 1420.3scored · proj 12.8

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 14.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    CINCIN@PITPITPITGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    CIN favored by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    PIT vs WRs
    1% more points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    88%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 12.8 points, #9 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 23 points last game against a typical 14 (trending up).
    • Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
    • Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 12.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  21. 21LAKyren WilliamsRB · LA@DENDENSTARTProjected 12.7 · #12 among RBs18.8scored · proj 12.7

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 12.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    LALA@DENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LA underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    43.5
    DEN vs RBs
    8% fewer points
    Wind
    10 mph
    Last game snaps
    55%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 12.7 points, #12 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 11.5 carries and 2.5 targets a game.
    • Played 55% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 12.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  22. 22ARITrey McBrideTE · ARI@SFSFMUST STARTProjected 12.6 · #1 among TEs12.0scored · proj 12.6

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 13.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    ARIARI@SFSFSFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    ARI underdogs by 7.5
    Game total
    48.5
    SF vs TEs
    4% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    88%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 12.6 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Averaging 11.5 targets a game.
    • Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 12.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  23. 23HOUNico Collins▲WR · HOU@INDINDSTARTScored 17.7 last game, typical 11.212.55–22 range

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 11.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    HOUHOU@INDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    HOU favored by 1.5
    Game total
    41.5
    IND vs WRs
    22% more points
    Last game snaps
    72%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 12.5 points, #10 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 17.7 points last game against a typical 11.2 (trending up).
    • IND's defense has allowed 22% more points to WRs than the league average.
    • Averaging 10 targets a game.
    • Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 12.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  24. 24LACOmarion Hampton▲RB · LAC@BUFBUFSTARTBUF allow 17% more points to RBs5.6scored · proj 12.0

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    LACLAC@BUFBUFBUFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    LAC underdogs by 7
    Game total
    50.5
    BUF vs RBs
    17% more points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    63%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 12.0 points, #13 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • BUF's defense has allowed 17% more points to RBs than the league average.
    • Scored 16.5 points last game against a typical 10.9 (trending up).
    • Averaging 17.5 carries and 1 targets a game.
    • Played 63% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 12.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  25. 25NYGCam Skattebo▼RB · NYGvsTENTENSTARTProjected 11.8 · #14 among RBs11.5scored · proj 11.8

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 11.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYGNYGvsTENTENTENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    NYG favored by 2.5
    Game total
    37.5
    TEN vs RBs
    1% more points
    Wind
    10 mph
    Last game snaps
    59%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 11.8 points, #14 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: Scored 7.5 points last game against a typical 11.6 (trending down).
    • Averaging 15 carries and 2 targets a game.
    • Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 11.8 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  26. 26PITJaylen WarrenRB · PITvsCINCINSTARTMore work with Rico Dowdle out19.1scored · proj 11.7

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 11.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    PITPITvsCINCINCINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    PIT underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    CIN vs RBs
    20% more points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    71%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 11.7 points, #15 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • Rico Dowdle out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
    • CIN's defense has allowed 20% more points to RBs than the league average.
    • Concern: PIT's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 10.5 carries and 5 targets a game.

    Projection 11.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  27. 27PHISaquon Barkley▼RB · PHI@CHICHISTARTProjected 11.5 · #16 among RBs8.5scored · proj 11.5

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 11.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHI@CHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI favored by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    CHI vs RBs
    1% more points
    Last game snaps
    16%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 11.5 points, #16 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: Scored 2.5 points last game against a typical 11.9 (trending down).
    • Averaging 9.5 carries and 2 targets a game.
    • Played 16% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 11.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  28. 28HOUDavid Montgomery▼RB · HOU@INDINDSTARTProjected 11.4 · #17 among RBs5.8scored · proj 11.4

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 8.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    HOUHOU@INDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    HOU favored by 1.5
    Game total
    41.5
    IND vs RBs
    6% more points
    Last game snaps
    52%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 11.4 points, #17 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: Scored 3.4 points last game against a typical 8.2 (trending down).
    • Averaging 13 carries and 2.5 targets a game.
    • Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 11.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  29. 29KCTravis Kelce▲TE · KC@MIAMIAMUST STARTScored 20.6 last game, typical 8.212.9scored · proj 11.3

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 8.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    KCKC@MIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    KC favored by 10
    Game total
    45.5
    MIA vs TEs
    20% more points
    Last game snaps
    85%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 11.3 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 20.6 points last game against a typical 8.2 (trending up).
    • MIA's defense has allowed 20% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 8 targets a game.
    • Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 11.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  30. 30CARChuba Hubbard▲RB · CAR@CLECLESTARTScored 13.4 last game, typical 6.513.0scored · proj 11.2

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    CARCAR@CLECLECLEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    CAR favored by 2.5
    Game total
    41.5
    CLE vs RBs
    4% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    65%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 11.2 points, #18 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 13.4 points last game against a typical 6.5 (trending up).
    • Averaging 11 carries and 2.5 targets a game.
    • Played 65% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 11.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  31. 31SFGeorge Kittle▲TE · SFvsARIARIMUST STARTARI allow 25% more points to TEs23.2scored · proj 11.1

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    SFSFvsARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    SF favored by 7.5
    Game total
    48.5
    ARI vs TEs
    25% more points
    Last game snaps
    48%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 11.1 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • ARI's defense has allowed 25% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • SF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
    • Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 11.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  32. 32KCRashee RiceWR · KC@MIAMIASTARTKC expected to score ~28, a strong spot12.3scored · proj 11.1

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    KCKC@MIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    KC favored by 10
    Game total
    45.5
    MIA vs WRs
    8% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    79%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 11.1 points, #11 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • KC's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 4 targets a game.
    • Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 11.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  33. 33BUFDalton Kincaid▲TE · BUFvsLACLACMUST STARTScored 19 last game, typical 7.62.8scored · proj 11.0

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 7.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    BUFBUFvsLACLACLACGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    BUF favored by 7
    Game total
    50.5
    LAC vs TEs
    13% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    66%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 11.0 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 19 points last game against a typical 7.6 (trending up).
    • BUF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Concern: LAC's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 7 targets a game.

    Projection 11.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  34. 34TBBucky IrvingRB · TBvsMINMINSTARTProjected 10.9 · #19 among RBs6.8scored · proj 10.9

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    TBTBvsMINMINMINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    TB underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    42.5
    MIN vs RBs
    15% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    78%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 10.9 points, #19 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 12.5 carries and 5.5 targets a game.
    • Played 78% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 10.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  35. 35WASStefon Diggs▲WR · WASvsSEASEASTARTScored 19.2 last game, typical 8.85.3scored · proj 10.7

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    WASWASvsSEASEASEAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~16 pts
    Vegas line
    WAS underdogs by 8.5
    Game total
    40.5
    SEA vs WRs
    25% fewer points
    Wind
    13 mph
    Last game snaps
    51%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 10.7 points, #12 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 19.2 points last game against a typical 8.8 (trending up).
    • Jayden Daniels and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +2.3 points).
    • Concern: SEA's defense has allowed 25% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
    • Averaging 7.5 targets a game.

    Projection 10.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  36. 36DALGeorge Pickens▼WR · DALvsBALBALSTARTBAL allow 12% more points to WRs11.7scored · proj 10.7

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 12.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsBALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL underdogs by 3
    Game total
    53.5
    BAL vs WRs
    12% more points
    Last game snaps
    76%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 10.7 points, #13 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • BAL's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
    • DAL's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Concern: Scored 7 points last game against a typical 12.9 (trending down).
    • Averaging 7 targets a game.

    Projection 10.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  37. 37JAXParker Washington▲WR · JAXvsNENESTARTScored 13.3 last game, typical 8.611.5scored · proj 10.3

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    JAXJAXvsNENENEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    JAX favored by 3
    Game total
    46.5
    NE vs WRs
    6% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    81%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 10.3 points, #14 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 13.3 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending up).
    • Averaging 9 targets a game.
    • Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 10.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  38. 38PHIDontayvion Wicks▲WR · PHI@CHICHISTARTScored 9.9 last game, typical 4.14.2scored · proj 9.8

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 4.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHI@CHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI favored by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    CHI vs WRs
    16% more points
    Last game snaps
    62%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.8 points, #15 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 9.9 points last game against a typical 4.1 (trending up).
    • DeVonta Smith out: more work to go around (about +2.6 points).
    • Averaging 5 targets a game.
    • Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  39. 39CINTee HigginsWR · CIN@PITPITSTARTProjected 9.8 · #16 among WRs18.0scored · proj 9.8

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 10.7 a game

    This week's matchup

    CINCIN@PITPITPITGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    CIN favored by 3.5
    Game total
    42.5
    PIT vs WRs
    1% more points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    72%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.8 points, #16 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 8 targets a game.
    • Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  40. 40CLEQuinshon JudkinsRB · CLEvsCARCARSTARTCAR allow 24% more points to RBs8.9scored · proj 9.6

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    CLECLEvsCARCARCARGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    CLE underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    41.5
    CAR vs RBs
    24% more points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    67%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.6 points, #20 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
    • CAR's defense has allowed 24% more points to RBs than the league average.
    • Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 12 carries and 3.5 targets a game.
    • Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  41. 41HOUDalton Schultz▲TE · HOU@INDINDMUST STARTScored 20 last game, typical 7.24.5scored · proj 9.6

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    HOUHOU@INDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    HOU favored by 1.5
    Game total
    41.5
    IND vs TEs
    21% more points
    Last game snaps
    68%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 9.6 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 20 points last game against a typical 7.2 (trending up).
    • IND's defense has allowed 21% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 11 targets a game.
    • Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  42. 42LVBrock BowersTE · LV@NONOSTARTProjected 9.4 · #6 among TEs22.6scored · proj 9.4

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 10.3 a game.

    This week's matchup

    LVLV@NONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    LV underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    43.5
    NO vs TEs
    10% fewer points

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.4 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Averaged last season 7.2 targets a game.

    Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  43. 43SFDeebo Samuel Sr.WR · SFvsARIARISTARTSF expected to score ~28, a strong spot15.4scored · proj 9.4

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    SFSFvsARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    SF favored by 7.5
    Game total
    48.5
    ARI vs WRs
    5% more points
    Last game snaps
    60%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.4 points, #17 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • SF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
    • Played 60% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  44. 44CARTetairoa McMillanWR · CAR@CLECLESTARTProjected 9.4 · #18 among WRs2.7scored · proj 9.4

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    CARCAR@CLECLECLEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    CAR favored by 2.5
    Game total
    41.5
    CLE vs WRs
    3% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    80%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.4 points, #18 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 9 targets a game.
    • Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  45. 45ATLDrake London▼WR · ATL@GBGBSTARTProjected 9.4 · #19 among WRs23.9scored · proj 9.4

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 12.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    ATLATL@GBGBGBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    ATL underdogs by 4.5
    Game total
    43.5
    GB vs WRs
    4% more points
    Last game snaps
    62%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.4 points, #19 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: Scored 6.9 points last game against a typical 12 (trending down).
    • Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
    • Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  46. 46DETSam LaPorta▲TE · DETvsNYJNYJSTARTScored 14.2 last game, typical 7.95.9scored · proj 8.9

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 7.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    DETDETvsNYJNYJNYJGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 7
    Game total
    49.5
    NYJ vs TEs
    2% more points
    Last game snaps
    98%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.9 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 14.2 points last game against a typical 7.9 (trending up).
    • DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 7.5 targets a game.
    • Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  47. 47INDTyler WarrenTE · INDvsHOUHOUSTARTMore work with Keenan Allen out10.2scored · proj 8.8

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 7.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    INDINDvsHOUHOUHOUGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    IND underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    41.5
    HOU vs TEs
    9% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    89%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.8 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.7 points).
    • Averaging 6 targets a game.
    • Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  48. 48MINT.J. HockensonTE · MIN@TBTBSTARTMore work with Justin Jefferson out2.1scored · proj 8.7

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@TBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 1.5
    Game total
    42.5
    TB vs TEs
    32% more points
    Last game snaps
    69%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.7 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +2.6 points).
    • TB's defense has allowed 32% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
    • Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  49. 49MINAaron JonesRB · MIN@TBTBFLEXProjected 8.6 · #21 among RBs11.7scored · proj 8.6

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@TBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 1.5
    Game total
    42.5
    TB vs RBs
    3% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    81%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 8.6 points, #21 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
    • Averaging 17.5 carries and 0.5 targets a game.
    • Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

  50. 50NYGIsaiah LikelyTE · NYGvsTENTENSTARTProjected 8.5 · #10 among TEs2.3scored · proj 8.5

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 3.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYGNYGvsTENTENTENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    NYG favored by 2.5
    Game total
    37.5
    TEN vs TEs
    League average
    Wind
    10 mph
    Last game snaps
    69%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.5 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 9 targets a game.
    • Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  51. 51DENJaylen Waddle▲WR · DENvsLALASTARTScored 17.8 last game, typical 95.4scored · proj 8.5

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game

    This week's matchup

    DENDENvsLALALAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    DEN favored by 1.5
    Game total
    43.5
    LA vs WRs
    2% more points
    Wind
    10 mph
    Last game snaps
    61%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.5 points, #20 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 17.8 points last game against a typical 9 (trending up).
    • Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
    • Played 61% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  52. 52NODevaughn Vele▲WR · NOvsLVLVSTARTScored 8.9 last game, typical 4.95.4scored · proj 8.5

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    NONOvsLVLVLVGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    NO favored by 3.5
    Game total
    43.5
    LV vs WRs
    League average
    Last game snaps
    96%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.5 points, #21 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 8.9 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
    • Averaging 8 targets a game.
    • Played 96% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  53. 53BALZay FlowersQ▲WR · BAL@DALDALSTARTIf active · Questionable — hamstring injury12.9scored · proj 8.4

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    BALBAL@DALDALDALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    BAL favored by 3
    Game total
    53.5
    DAL vs WRs
    24% more points
    Last game snaps
    29%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.4 points, #22 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Questionable — hamstring injury.
    • Official practice report: Limited in practice, hamstring injury. If active, about 12.9 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
    • DAL's defense has allowed 24% more points to WRs than the league average.
    • Scored 23.5 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).

    Projection 8.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  54. 54TENTony PollardRB · TEN@NYGNYGFLEXNYG allow 20% more points to RBs11.6scored · proj 8.3

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 8.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    TENTEN@NYGNYGNYGGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~18 pts
    Vegas line
    TEN underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    37.5
    NYG vs RBs
    20% more points
    Wind
    10 mph
    Last game snaps
    55%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 8.3 points, #22 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
    • NYG's defense has allowed 20% more points to RBs than the league average.
    • Concern: TEN's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 10.5 carries and 1.5 targets a game.
    • Played 55% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  55. 55CARJalen CokerQ▲WR · CAR@CLECLESTARTIf active · Questionable — quadriceps injury2.8scored · proj 8.3

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game

    This week's matchup

    CARCAR@CLECLECLEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    CAR favored by 2.5
    Game total
    41.5
    CLE vs WRs
    3% fewer points
    Wind
    12 mph
    Last game snaps
    76%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.3 points, #23 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • Questionable — quadriceps injury.
    • Official practice report: Limited in practice, ankle injury. If active, about 12.7 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
    • Scored 10.6 points last game against a typical 5.7 (trending up).
    • Averaging 9 targets a game.

    Projection 8.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  56. 56WASJacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WASvsSEASEAFLEXMore work with Jayden Daniels and Rachaad White out4.8scored · proj 8.2

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 7.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    WASWASvsSEASEASEAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~16 pts
    Vegas line
    WAS underdogs by 8.5
    Game total
    40.5
    SEA vs RBs
    23% fewer points
    Wind
    13 mph
    Last game snaps
    37%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 8.2 points, #23 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
    • Jayden Daniels and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +2 points).
    • Concern: SEA's defense has allowed 23% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
    • Averaging 14 carries and 1 targets a game.
    • Played 37% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

  57. 57NERhamondre Stevenson▼RB · NE@JAXJAXFLEXProjected 8.1 · #24 among RBs5.3scored · proj 8.1

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    NENE@JAXJAXJAXGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    NE underdogs by 3
    Game total
    46.5
    JAX vs RBs
    19% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    36%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 8.1 points, #24 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
    • Concern: Scored 3.1 points last game against a typical 10.2 (trending down).
    • Averaging 12 carries and 4 targets a game.
    • Played 36% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  58. 58DENJ.K. Dobbins▼RB · DENvsLALAFLEXProjected 8.1 · #25 among RBs5.8scored · proj 8.1

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    DENDENvsLALALAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    DEN favored by 1.5
    Game total
    43.5
    LA vs RBs
    13% fewer points
    Wind
    10 mph
    Last game snaps
    34%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 8.1 points, #25 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
    • Concern: Scored 3.6 points last game against a typical 9.2 (trending down).
    • Averaging 9 carries and 0 targets a game.
    • Played 34% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  59. 59GBTucker Kraft▼TE · GBvsATLATLSTARTProjected 8.1 · #11 among TEs4.6scored · proj 8.1

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 10.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    GBGBvsATLATLATLGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 4.5
    Game total
    43.5
    ATL vs TEs
    6% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    98%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.1 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: Scored 2.5 points last game against a typical 10.1 (trending down).
    • Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
    • Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  60. 60DETJameson Williams▼WR · DETvsNYJNYJSTARTDET expected to score ~28, a strong spot6.9scored · proj 8.0

    Recent form

    W1W2

    Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    DETDETvsNYJNYJNYJGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 7
    Game total
    49.5
    NYJ vs WRs
    4% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    97%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.0 points, #24 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
    • DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Concern: Scored 4.3 points last game against a typical 9.9 (trending down).
    • Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
    • Played 97% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.