Is Derrick Henry playing this week?
No injury designationDerrick Henry has no injury designation on the latest injury reports for the week 4 game against the Tennessee Titans.
Kickoff: Sun, Oct 4 · 1:00 PM ET.
Checked Oct 3, 7:15 PM ET against the ESPN injury report and the NFL's official weekly report (via nflverse). Injury news can change up to kickoff, so confirm with the team close to game time.
Ask StatGrades about Derrick Henry
Ask your own questionOur numbers plus what they can't show: injuries around him, role changes, weather, rest and travel, line moves and the latest reporting, all linked.
Revenge gameFaces TEN, his team through 2023
Fantasy football · Week 4
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Must start. Scored 21.9 points last game against a typical 14.7 (trending up).
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.8 points, #5 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 21.9 points last game against a typical 14.7 (trending up).
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 22 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Recent form
Dashed line: the usual 14.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~27 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 11.5
- Game total
- 42.5
- TEN vs RBs
- 2% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 67%
All week 4 running back rankings →Start or sit tool →How our past calls did →
Age
32
Height
6'3"
Weight
252 lb
College
Alabama
Experience
10 seasons
Draft
2016 · Pick #45 (TEN)
Status
ACT
Grade Breakdown
What do these mean?Why 65.0?
Henry's grade is solid mainly because he kept drives on schedule: his rushing success rate of 52% ranks 3rd of 50 backs. His per-play expected points added a smaller boost. The sample is small, just 71 touches over 3 games, and a rough week 3 at Dallas stands out.
Lifting the grade
- Rushing success rate of 52% (share of carries that kept the offense on schedule) ranks 3rd of 50 RBs.
- EPA per touch of -0.034, adjusted for defenses faced, ranks 23rd and still lifted the grade versus the average back.
- Week 1 vs IND: a 32-yard touchdown run on 1st and 10 (+3.1 expected points), plus a 19-yard catch from Jackson.
Written by StatGrades AI from this season's play-by-play through week 4. It explains what happened; a grade isn't a forecast (what grades do and don't predict).
EPA / play
-0.018
Success rate
52%
WPA (sum)
-0.23
Opponent adj.
-0.035
Plays graded
71
Advanced stats
2026 season through Week 3 · tracking data from NFL Next Gen Stats| Week | Rush yds over expected | Yds over exp / att | Vs 8+ in the box |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +29.6 | +1.29 | 50.0% |
| 2 | -3.8 | -0.24 | 25.0% |
| 3 | +2.8 | +0.14 | 34.6% |
What do these mean?
- Rush yds over expected:
- Rushing yards above what the blocking and defenders in each carry would be expected to produce.
- Yds over exp / att:
- Rush yards over expected per carry.
- Carries over expected:
- Share of carries that gained more than expected.
- Expected rush yds:
- Yards the carries would be expected to gain on average, based on tracking data.
- Efficiency:
- Distance traveled per yard gained. Lower means a more direct, north-south runner.
- Vs 8+ in the box:
- Share of carries against eight or more defenders near the line.
- Time to line:
- Average seconds from the handoff to reaching the line of scrimmage.
Next Gen Stats data via nflverse (CC BY 4.0). Updated after games are final, not live, and covers QB, RB, WR and TE.