Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

Early season: only 3 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

1Jahmyr Gibbs▲RB · DET@CARMUST STARTScored 34.4 last game, typical 15.324.9
12–40 rangeMUST START
Recent form
29
17
34
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.3 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs RBs
23% more points
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say must start
- Projected 24.9 points, #1 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 34.4 points last game against a typical 15.3 (trending up).
- CAR's defense has allowed 23% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 21.7 carries and 7 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 24.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Derrick Henry▲RB · BALvsTENMUST STARTScored 20.9 last game, typical 13.919.0
9–31 rangeMUST START
Recent form
34
15
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs RBs
3% more points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.0 points, #2 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.9 points last game against a typical 13.9 (trending up).
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 22 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 19.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Bijan Robinson▲RB · ATL@NOMUST STARTScored 33.3 last game, typical 15.418.7
9–30 rangeMUST START
Recent form
23
8
33
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.4 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 2.5
Game total
47.5
NO vs RBs
8% more points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.7 points, #3 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 33.3 points last game against a typical 15.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 22 carries and 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 18.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Jonathan Taylor▼RB · IND@WASMUST STARTIND expected to score ~26, a strong spot18.6
9–30 rangeMUST START
Recent form
22
25
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.6 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs RBs
5% more points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.6 points, #4 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- IND's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 7.2 points last game against a typical 16.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 22 carries and 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 18.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Jaxon Smith-Njigba▲WR · SEAvsLACMUST STARTScored 25.4 last game, typical 12.717.8
7–31 rangeMUST START
Recent form
18
34
25
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 7
Game total
42.5
LAC vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say must start
- Projected 17.8 points, #1 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 25.4 points last game against a typical 12.7 (trending up).
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 17.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Christian McCaffreyRB · SFvsDENMUST STARTSF expected to score ~25, a strong spot16.7
8–27 rangeMUST START
Recent form
9
19
18
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 3
Game total
47.5
DEN vs RBs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.7 points, #5 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 11.7 carries and 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Kenneth Walker III▲RB · KC@LVMUST STARTScored 19.3 last game, typical 8.516.4
8–27 rangeMUST START
Recent form
31
18
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.4 points, #6 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 19.3 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending up).
- KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 21.7 carries and 6 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
8James Cook▲RB · BUFvsNEMUST STARTScored 19.4 last game, typical 14.215.5
7–25 rangeMUST START
Recent form
7
20
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs RBs
15% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say must start
- Projected 15.5 points, #7 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 19.4 points last game against a typical 14.2 (trending up).
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: NE's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 19.3 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
Projection 15.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
9D'Andre SwiftRB · CHIvsNYJMUST STARTNYJ allow 31% more points to RBs13.6
7–22 rangeMUST START
Recent form
31
8
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs RBs
31% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say must start
- Projected 13.6 points, #8 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- NYJ's defense has allowed 31% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 18 carries and 3 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Kyren WilliamsRB · LA@PHISTARTProjected 13.4 · #9 among RBs13.4
6–22 rangeSTART
Recent form
13
14
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.0 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs RBs
2% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
71%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.4 points, #9 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 12.7 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Davante AdamsWR · LA@PHIMUST STARTProjected 12.9 · #2 among WRs12.9
5–22 rangeMUST START
Recent form
3
32
14
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs WRs
9% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.9 points, #2 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Chris OlaveWR · NOvsATLMUST STARTATL allow 14% more points to WRs12.1
5–21 rangeMUST START
Recent form
18
15
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs WRs
14% more points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.1 points, #3 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- ATL's defense has allowed 14% more points to WRs than the league average.
- NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET@CARMUST STARTDET expected to score ~27, a strong spot11.9
5–21 rangeMUST START
Recent form
19
26
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs WRs
22% fewer points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.9 points, #4 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: CAR's defense has allowed 22% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Puka Nacua▼WR · LA@PHIMUST STARTProjected 11.4 · #5 among WRs11.4
5–20 rangeMUST START
Recent form
7
W1
Dashed line: the usual 13.7 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs WRs
9% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.4 points, #5 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: Scored 7.4 points last game against a typical 13.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Ja'Marr Chase▲WR · CINvsJAXMUST STARTScored 15.8 last game, typical 10.511.2
5–19 rangeMUST START
Recent form
1
20
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
100%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.2 points, #6 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 15.8 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 100% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
16CeeDee Lamb▲WR · DAL@HOUMUST STARTScored 13.2 last game, typical 8.411.1
4–19 rangeMUST START
Recent form
10
27
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs WRs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.1 points, #7 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 13.2 points last game against a typical 8.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Bhayshul Tuten▲RB · JAX@CINSTARTScored 15 last game, typical 4.610.9
5–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
9
12
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.6 a game
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs RBs
19% more points
Last game snaps
48%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.9 points, #10 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 15 points last game against a typical 4.6 (trending up).
- CIN's defense has allowed 19% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 14.3 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Nico Collins▲WR · HOUvsDALMUST STARTScored 14.2 last game, typical 9.110.9
4–19 rangeMUST START
Recent form
14
W1
Dashed line: the usual 9.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs WRs
24% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say must start
- Projected 10.9 points, #8 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 14.2 points last game against a typical 9.1 (trending up).
- DAL's defense has allowed 24% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Javonte Williams▲RB · DAL@HOUSTARTScored 16.3 last game, typical 11.510.6
5–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
19
5
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.5 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs RBs
20% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.6 points, #11 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 16.3 points last game against a typical 11.5 (trending up).
- Concern: HOU's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 14.3 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Christian Watson▲WR · GB@TBSTARTScored 15.6 last game, typical 8.110.6
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
27
10
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.1 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.6 points, #9 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 15.6 points last game against a typical 8.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Cam SkatteboRB · NYGvsARISTARTARI allow 14% more points to RBs10.2
5–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
6
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
ARI vs RBs
14% more points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.2 points, #12 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- ARI's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 16.7 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Jaylen Warren▲RB · PIT@CLESTARTScored 17.6 last game, typical 9.812.6
scored · proj 10.0START
Recent form
5
8
18
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs RBs
6% fewer points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
90%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.0 points, #13 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 17.6 points last game against a typical 9.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 12.7 carries and 4.7 targets a game.
- Played 90% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Ashton JeantyRB · LVvsKCSTARTProjected 9.9 · #14 among RBs9.9
5–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
27
6
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs RBs
12% fewer points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.9 points, #14 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 21 carries and 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Aaron JonesRB · MINvsMIASTARTMIA allow 23% more points to RBs9.8
5–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
11
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs RBs
23% more points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.8 points, #15 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- MIA's defense has allowed 23% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 17.3 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
25George Kittle▲TE · SFvsDENMUST STARTScored 20.2 last game, typical 89.7
4–17 rangeMUST START
Recent form
1
14
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 3
Game total
47.5
DEN vs TEs
1% more points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 9.7 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.2 points last game against a typical 8 (trending up).
- SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Stefon DiggsWR · WASvsINDSTARTMore work with Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out9.7
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
12
17
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs WRs
15% more points
Last game snaps
59%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.7 points, #10 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.8 points).
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Garrett Wilson▲WR · NYJ@CHISTARTScored 16.7 last game, typical 7.19.6
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
12
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.1 a game
This week's matchup
@CHIGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYJ underdogs by 3.5
Game total
43.5
CHI vs WRs
14% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.6 points, #11 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 16.7 points last game against a typical 7.1 (trending up).
- CHI's defense has allowed 14% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
28Chase Brown▼RB · CINvsJAXSTARTCIN expected to score ~27, a strong spot9.4
5–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
8
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs RBs
24% fewer points
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.4 points, #16 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: JAX's defense has allowed 24% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 16.3 carries and 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Bucky IrvingRB · TBvsGBSTARTGB allow 14% more points to RBs9.4
5–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
13
9
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsGBGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 3
Game total
38.5
GB vs RBs
14% more points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.4 points, #17 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- GB's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 13.3 carries and 5 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
30Tee Higgins▲WR · CINvsJAXSTARTScored 15 last game, typical 99.4
4–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
10
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.4 points, #12 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 15 points last game against a typical 9 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Chuba Hubbard▲RB · CARvsDETSTARTScored 11 last game, typical 5.69.1
4–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
21
12
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs RBs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.1 points, #18 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 11 points last game against a typical 5.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 13.7 carries and 3 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
32Brock Bowers▲TE · LVvsKCMUST STARTScored 17.6 last game, typical 89.0
3–16 rangeMUST START
Recent form
18
W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs TEs
16% fewer points
Last game snaps
79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 9.0 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 17.6 points last game against a typical 8 (trending up).
- Concern: KC's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 13 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
33David MontgomeryRB · HOUvsDALSTARTDAL allow 16% more points to RBs8.8
4–14 rangeSTART
Recent form
26
2
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs RBs
16% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
63%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.8 points, #19 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- DAL's defense has allowed 16% more points to RBs than the league average.
- HOU's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 12.3 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 63% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
34Rashee RiceWR · KC@LVSTARTKC expected to score ~26, a strong spot8.6
3–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
8
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.7 a game
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs WRs
5% fewer points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.6 points, #13 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
35Drake London▲WR · ATL@NOSTARTScored 19.4 last game, typical 9.68.5
3–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
4
5
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 2.5
Game total
47.5
NO vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.5 points, #14 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 19.4 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
36Travis Kelce▲TE · KC@LVMUST STARTScored 11.9 last game, typical 6.28.4
3–15 rangeMUST START
Recent form
7
16
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.2 a game
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs TEs
2% more points
Last game snaps
79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 8.4 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 11.9 points last game against a typical 6.2 (trending up).
- KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
37Trey McBrideTE · ARI@NYGMUST STARTProjected 8.3 · #4 among TEs8.3
3–15 rangeMUST START
Recent form
16
10
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs TEs
19% fewer points
Last game snaps
91%
Why we say must start
- Projected 8.3 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Concern: NYG's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
38Saquon BarkleyRB · PHIvsLASTARTProjected 8.2 · #20 among RBs8.2
4–13 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
2
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
LA vs RBs
17% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.2 points, #20 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Concern: LA's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
39Jeremiyah Love▲RB · ARI@NYGFLEXScored 16.9 last game, typical 4.68.0
4–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
11
5
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.6 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs RBs
17% more points
Last game snaps
64%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.0 points, #21 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Scored 16.9 points last game against a typical 4.6 (trending up).
- NYG's defense has allowed 17% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 13.7 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 64% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
40Omarion HamptonRB · LAC@SEAFLEXProjected 7.9 · #22 among RBs7.9
4–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
8
16
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
42.5
SEA vs RBs
28% fewer points
Last game snaps
42%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.9 points, #22 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: SEA's defense has allowed 28% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 16.7 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 42% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
41Tyler WarrenTE · IND@WASMUST STARTMore work with Keenan Allen out7.8
3–14 rangeMUST START
Recent form
7
8
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.9 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs TEs
53% more points
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say must start
- Projected 7.8 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1 points).
- WAS's defense has allowed 53% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
42Parker WashingtonWR · JAX@CINSTARTProjected 7.8 · #15 among WRs7.8
3–13 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
10
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.0 a game
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs WRs
12% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.8 points, #15 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
43Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WASvsINDFLEXMore work with Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out7.6
4–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
12
5
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs RBs
4% more points
Last game snaps
57%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.6 points, #23 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
- Averaging 15.7 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
44TreVeyon Henderson▼RB · NE@BUFFLEXBUF allow 19% more points to RBs7.5
4–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
14
3
W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
BUF vs RBs
19% more points
Last game snaps
37%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.5 points, #24 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- BUF's defense has allowed 19% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 2.9 points last game against a typical 9 (trending down).
- Averaging 12 carries and 0.5 targets a game.
- Played 37% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
45Michael Wilson▲WR · ARI@NYGSTARTNYG allow 12% more points to WRs7.4
3–13 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
2
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.4 points, #16 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- NYG's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 14.9 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 10.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
46George PickensWR · DAL@HOUSTARTProjected 7.4 · #17 among WRs7.4
3–13 rangeSTART
Recent form
3
4
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs WRs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.4 points, #17 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
47Rhamondre Stevenson▼RB · NE@BUFFLEXBUF allow 19% more points to RBs7.3
4–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
10
3
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
BUF vs RBs
19% more points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.3 points, #25 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- BUF's defense has allowed 19% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 3.8 points last game against a typical 9.2 (trending down).
- Averaging 10.3 carries and 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Juwan Johnson▲TE · NOvsATLSTARTScored 15.3 last game, typical 5.47.3
3–13 rangeSTART
Recent form
11
7
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs TEs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
62%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.3 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 15.3 points last game against a typical 5.4 (trending up).
- NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
49J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN@SFFLEXProjected 7.1 · #26 among RBs7.1
3–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
4
4
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.7 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
DEN underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs RBs
2% more points
Last game snaps
49%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.1 points, #26 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Averaging 11.7 carries and 0.7 targets a game.
- Played 49% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
50Josh DownsWR · IND@WASSTARTMore work with Keenan Allen out7.1
3–12 rangeSTART
Recent form
4
7
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.5 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs WRs
25% more points
Last game snaps
68%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.1 points, #18 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
- WAS's defense has allowed 25% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
51Quinshon JudkinsRB · CLEvsPITFLEXProjected 7.0 · #27 among RBs15.6
scored · proj 7.0FLEX
Recent form
5
5
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsPITGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
38.5
PIT vs RBs
10% fewer points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
51%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.0 points, #27 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 14 carries and 3 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
52Dalton Kincaid▼TE · BUFvsNESTARTBUF expected to score ~28, a strong spot7.0
3–12 rangeSTART
Recent form
13
16
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs TEs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.0 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 1.8 points last game against a typical 6.2 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
53Zay FlowersQWR · BALvsTENSTARTIf active · Questionable — hamstring injury7.0
0–12 rangeSTART
Recent form
21
10
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs WRs
13% more points
Last game snaps
33%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.0 points, #19 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Questionable — hamstring injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, hamstring injury. If active, about 10.8 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- TEN's defense has allowed 13% more points to WRs than the league average.
Projection 7.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
54Tony PollardRB · TEN@BALFLEXProjected 6.9 · #28 among RBs6.9
3–11 rangeFLEX
Recent form
3
7
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game
This week's matchup
@BALGame page →
Expected team score
~16 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 11.5
Game total
42.5
BAL vs RBs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
53%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.9 points, #28 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: TEN's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 12.7 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 53% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
55Tetairoa McMillan▼WR · CARvsDETSTARTDET allow 23% more points to WRs6.9
3–12 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
10
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs WRs
23% more points
Last game snaps
95%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.9 points, #20 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DET's defense has allowed 23% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 1.7 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending down).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 95% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
56Harold Fannin Jr.▲TE · CLEvsPITSTARTScored 17.1 last game, typical 6.48.7
scored · proj 6.8START
Recent form
2
5
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsPITGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
38.5
PIT vs TEs
13% more points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
86%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.8 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 17.1 points last game against a typical 6.4 (trending up).
- PIT's defense has allowed 13% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
Projection 6.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
57Matthew Golden▲WR · GB@TBSTARTScored 16 last game, typical 2.66.7
3–12 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
6
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 2.6 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.7 points, #21 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 16 points last game against a typical 2.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
58Kyle MonangaiRB · CHIvsNYJFLEXNYJ allow 31% more points to RBs6.6
3–11 rangeFLEX
Recent form
18
6
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs RBs
31% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
31%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.6 points, #29 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- NYJ's defense has allowed 31% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 10 carries and 1.3 targets a game.
- Played 31% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 6.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
59Sam LaPortaTE · DET@CARSTARTDET expected to score ~27, a strong spot6.6
2–12 rangeSTART
Recent form
5
11
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs TEs
11% more points
Last game snaps
92%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.6 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 92% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
60Jordan Addison▲WR · MINvsMIASTARTMore work with Justin Jefferson out6.6
3–11 rangeSTART
Recent form
0
2
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs WRs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
98%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.6 points, #22 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.2 points).
- Scored 15 points last game against a typical 5.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.