Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

1Jahmyr Gibbs▲RB · DET@ARIMUST STARTScored 41.4 last game, typical 19.329.8
14–48 rangeMUST START
Recent form
34
23
41
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 19.3 a game
This week's matchup
@ARIGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 5.5
Game total
52.5
ARI vs RBs
9% more points
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say must start
- Projected 29.8 points, #1 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 41.4 points last game against a typical 19.3 (trending up).
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 21.7 carries and 7 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 29.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Jaxon Smith-Njigba▲WR · SEAvsSFMUST STARTScored 35.4 last game, typical 18.926.3
11–45 rangeMUST START
Recent form
26
43
35
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 18.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsSFGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs WRs
League average
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say must start
- Projected 26.3 points, #1 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 35.4 points last game against a typical 18.9 (trending up).
- SEA's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 26.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Bijan Robinson▲RB · ATLvsBALMUST STARTScored 35.3 last game, typical 19.521.7
10–35 rangeMUST START
Recent form
31
11
35
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 19.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 6
Game total
49.5
BAL vs RBs
4% more points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say must start
- Projected 21.7 points, #2 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 35.3 points last game against a typical 19.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 22 carries and 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 21.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET@ARIMUST STARTDET expected to score ~29, a strong spot20.8
8–36 rangeMUST START
Recent form
29
35
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 17.1 a game
This week's matchup
@ARIGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 5.5
Game total
52.5
ARI vs WRs
5% more points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say must start
- Projected 20.8 points, #2 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 11.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 20.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Jonathan Taylor▼RB · IND@PITMUST STARTProjected 19.6 · #3 among RBs19.6
9–32 rangeMUST START
Recent form
25
29
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 19.1 a game
This week's matchup
@PITGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
IND underdogs by 1.5
Game total
44.5
PIT vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.6 points, #3 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: Scored 9.2 points last game against a typical 19.1 (trending down).
- Averaging 22 carries and 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 19.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Christian McCaffreyRB · SF@SEAMUST STARTProjected 19.3 · #4 among RBs19.3
9–31 rangeMUST START
Recent form
14
23
22
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 21.9 a game
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
SF underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SEA vs RBs
17% fewer points
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.3 points, #4 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: SEA's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.7 carries and 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 19.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Davante Adams▲WR · LAvsBUFMUST STARTScored 20.7 last game, typical 13.919.3
8–33 rangeMUST START
Recent form
6
40
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsBUFGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 2.5
Game total
52.5
BUF vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.3 points, #3 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.7 points last game against a typical 13.9 (trending up).
- LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 19.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Puka Nacua▼WR · LAvsBUFMUST STARTLA expected to score ~28, a strong spot19.1
8–33 rangeMUST START
Recent form
12
W1
Dashed line: the usual 20.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsBUFGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 2.5
Game total
52.5
BUF vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.1 points, #4 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 12.4 points last game against a typical 20.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 19.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Derrick Henry▲RB · BAL@ATLMUST STARTScored 21.9 last game, typical 14.718.9
9–31 rangeMUST START
Recent form
35
18
22
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.7 a game
This week's matchup
@ATLGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 6
Game total
49.5
ATL vs RBs
12% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.9 points, #5 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 21.9 points last game against a typical 14.7 (trending up).
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 22 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 18.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Kyren Williams▲RB · LAvsBUFMUST STARTScored 21.8 last game, typical 13.918.0
9–29 rangeMUST START
Recent form
16
16
22
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsBUFGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 2.5
Game total
52.5
BUF vs RBs
15% more points
Last game snaps
71%
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.0 points, #6 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 21.8 points last game against a typical 13.9 (trending up).
- BUF's defense has allowed 15% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 12.7 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 18.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Trey McBrideTE · ARIvsDETMUST STARTDET allow 42% more points to TEs18.0
7–32 rangeMUST START
Recent form
25
18
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 5.5
Game total
52.5
DET vs TEs
42% more points
Last game snaps
91%
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.0 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- DET's defense has allowed 42% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 18.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
12CeeDee Lamb▲WR · DALvsTBMUST STARTScored 20.2 last game, typical 13.417.7
7–30 rangeMUST START
Recent form
15
35
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsTBGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DAL favored by 9.5
Game total
47.5
TB vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say must start
- Projected 17.7 points, #5 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.2 points last game against a typical 13.4 (trending up).
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 17.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Ja'Marr Chase▲WR · CIN@MIAMUST STARTCIN expected to score ~28, a strong spot17.5
7–30 rangeMUST START
Recent form
3
27
25
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 17.4 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 8.5
Game total
46.5
MIA vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
100%
Why we say must start
- Projected 17.5 points, #6 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Scored 24.8 points last game against a typical 17.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 100% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 17.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
14James CookRB · BUF@LAMUST STARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot16.2
8–26 rangeMUST START
Recent form
10
21
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.9 a game
This week's matchup
@LAGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
BUF underdogs by 2.5
Game total
52.5
LA vs RBs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.2 points, #7 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 19.3 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Chris Olave▲WR · NOvsMINMUST STARTScored 19.7 last game, typical 14.916.2
7–28 rangeMUST START
Recent form
28
23
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NO underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
MIN vs WRs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.2 points, #7 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 19.7 points last game against a typical 14.9 (trending up).
- Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Chase Brown▼RB · CIN@MIAMUST STARTMIA allow 20% more points to RBs16.1
8–26 rangeMUST START
Recent form
19
11
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.9 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 8.5
Game total
46.5
MIA vs RBs
20% more points
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.1 points, #8 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- MIA's defense has allowed 20% more points to RBs than the league average.
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 8.9 points last game against a typical 14.9 (trending down).
- Averaging 16.3 carries and 4.3 targets a game.
Projection 16.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Christian Watson▲WR · GBvsCHIMUST STARTScored 22.6 last game, typical 1116.1
6–28 rangeMUST START
Recent form
33
14
23
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsCHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 2.5
Game total
45.5
CHI vs WRs
8% more points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.1 points, #8 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 22.6 points last game against a typical 11 (trending up).
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Javonte Williams▲RB · DALvsTBSTARTDAL expected to score ~29, a strong spot15.3
7–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
24
8
18
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsTBGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DAL favored by 9.5
Game total
47.5
TB vs RBs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say start
- Projected 15.3 points, #9 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Scored 18.3 points last game against a typical 13.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 14.3 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Stefon DiggsWR · WASvsNYGSTARTMore work with Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out14.9
6–26 rangeSTART
Recent form
16
22
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYGGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
WAS favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
NYG vs WRs
10% more points
Last game snaps
59%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.9 points, #9 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +2.7 points).
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
20D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI@GBSTARTProjected 14.7 · #10 among RBs14.7
7–24 rangeSTART
Recent form
32
13
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 2.5
Game total
45.5
GB vs RBs
11% more points
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.7 points, #10 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 18 carries and 3 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Brock Bowers▲TE · LV@NEMUST STARTScored 27.6 last game, typical 12.614.6
5–26 rangeMUST START
Recent form
28
W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.6 a game
This week's matchup
@NEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 3.5
Game total
44.5
NE vs TEs
12% fewer points
Last game snaps
79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.6 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 27.6 points last game against a typical 12.6 (trending up).
- Concern: NE's defense has allowed 12% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 13 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Nico Collins▲WR · HOU@TENSTARTScored 21.2 last game, typical 13.314.6
6–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
21
W1
Dashed line: the usual 13.3 a game
This week's matchup
@TENGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 6.5
Game total
39.5
TEN vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.6 points, #10 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21.2 points last game against a typical 13.3 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Drake London▲WR · ATLvsBALSTARTBAL allow 16% more points to WRs14.4
6–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
9
28
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 6
Game total
49.5
BAL vs WRs
16% more points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.4 points, #11 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- BAL's defense has allowed 16% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 28.4 points last game against a typical 14.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Jaylen WarrenRB · PITvsINDSTARTProjected 14.3 · #11 among RBs14.3
7–23 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
10
21
16
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 1.5
Game total
44.5
IND vs RBs
2% more points
Last game snaps
97%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.3 points, #11 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 13.8 carries and 5 targets a game.
- Played 97% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Garrett Wilson▲WR · NYJvsCLESTARTScored 26.7 last game, typical 11.114.1
6–24 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
17
27
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsCLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYJ favored by 1.5
Game total
40.5
CLE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.1 points, #12 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 26.7 points last game against a typical 11.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
26George Kittle▲TE · SF@SEAMUST STARTScored 26.2 last game, typical 12.413.4
5–24 rangeMUST START
Recent form
3
18
26
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
SF underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SEA vs TEs
3% more points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 13.4 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 26.2 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Tee Higgins▲WR · CIN@MIASTARTScored 21 last game, typical 12.413.2
5–23 rangeSTART
Recent form
9
15
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 8.5
Game total
46.5
MIA vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.2 points, #13 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
28George PickensWR · DALvsTBSTARTDAL expected to score ~29, a strong spot13.2
5–23 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
10
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsTBGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DAL favored by 9.5
Game total
47.5
TB vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.2 points, #14 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Ashton JeantyRB · LV@NESTARTProjected 13.1 · #12 among RBs13.1
6–21 rangeSTART
Recent form
33
10
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.9 a game
This week's matchup
@NEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 3.5
Game total
44.5
NE vs RBs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.1 points, #12 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 21 carries and 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
30Quinshon Judkins▲RB · CLE@NYJSTARTScored 21.6 last game, typical 10.613.0
6–21 rangeSTART
Recent form
7
10
10
22
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 10.6 a game
This week's matchup
@NYJGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 1.5
Game total
40.5
NYJ vs RBs
24% more points
Last game snaps
66%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.0 points, #13 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21.6 points last game against a typical 10.6 (trending up).
- NYJ's defense has allowed 24% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 14.8 carries and 4 targets a game.
Projection 13.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Michael Wilson▲WR · ARIvsDETSTARTScored 25.9 last game, typical 11.612.8
5–22 rangeSTART
Recent form
11
4
26
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 5.5
Game total
52.5
DET vs WRs
18% more points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.8 points, #15 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 25.9 points last game against a typical 11.6 (trending up).
- DET's defense has allowed 18% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 10.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
32Bucky IrvingRB · TB@DALSTARTDAL allow 15% more points to RBs12.5
6–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
20
13
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.5 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 9.5
Game total
47.5
DAL vs RBs
15% more points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.5 points, #14 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- DAL's defense has allowed 15% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 13.3 carries and 5 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
33Tyler Warren▲TE · IND@PITMUST STARTScored 14.7 last game, typical 9.912.5
5–22 rangeMUST START
Recent form
10
14
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game
This week's matchup
@PITGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
IND underdogs by 1.5
Game total
44.5
PIT vs TEs
7% more points
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.5 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 14.7 points last game against a typical 9.9 (trending up).
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.8 points).
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
34Cam SkatteboRB · NYG@WASSTARTProjected 12.0 · #15 among RBs12.0
6–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
10
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.8 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
43.5
WAS vs RBs
1% more points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.0 points, #15 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 16.7 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
35Sam LaPortaTE · DET@ARIMUST STARTARI allow 28% more points to TEs11.7
4–21 rangeMUST START
Recent form
10
17
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.7 a game
This week's matchup
@ARIGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 5.5
Game total
52.5
ARI vs TEs
28% more points
Last game snaps
92%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.7 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- ARI's defense has allowed 28% more points to TEs than the league average.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 92% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
36Parker WashingtonWR · JAXvsPHISTARTProjected 11.5 · #16 among WRs11.5
5–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
19
17
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
44.5
PHI vs WRs
6% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.5 points, #16 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
37Bhayshul Tuten▲RB · JAXvsPHISTARTScored 17 last game, typical 5.211.4
6–19 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
14
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
44.5
PHI vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
48%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.4 points, #16 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 17 points last game against a typical 5.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 14.3 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
38DK Metcalf▲WR · PITvsINDSTARTIND allow 15% more points to WRs11.4
5–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
7
12
17
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 11.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 1.5
Game total
44.5
IND vs WRs
15% more points
Last game snaps
97%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.4 points, #17 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 16.5 points last game against a typical 11 (trending up).
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 97% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
39Jake FergusonTE · DALvsTBSTARTTB allow 18% more points to TEs11.3
4–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
3
20
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsTBGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DAL favored by 9.5
Game total
47.5
TB vs TEs
18% more points
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.3 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- TB's defense has allowed 18% more points to TEs than the league average.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
40Aaron Jones▲RB · MIN@NOSTARTScored 14.2 last game, typical 8.511.1
5–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
11
14
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NO vs RBs
4% more points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.1 points, #17 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 14.2 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 17.3 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
41Matthew Golden▲WR · GBvsCHISTARTScored 21 last game, typical 4.411.1
4–19 rangeSTART
Recent form
16
10
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsCHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 2.5
Game total
45.5
CHI vs WRs
8% more points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.1 points, #18 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21 points last game against a typical 4.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
42Omarion Hampton▼RB · LACvsDENSTARTProjected 11.0 · #18 among RBs11.0
5–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
18
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 2.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs RBs
7% fewer points
Last game snaps
42%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.0 points, #18 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Concern: Scored 5.6 points last game against a typical 12.3 (trending down).
- Averaging 16.7 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 42% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
43Josh Downs▲WR · IND@PITSTARTScored 12.7 last game, typical 7.710.8
4–19 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
14
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@PITGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
IND underdogs by 1.5
Game total
44.5
PIT vs WRs
6% more points
Last game snaps
68%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.8 points, #19 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 12.7 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending up).
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.7 points).
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE@NYJSTARTProjected 10.6 · #7 among TEs10.6
4–19 rangeSTART
Recent form
4
10
24
12
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 10.4 a game
This week's matchup
@NYJGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 1.5
Game total
40.5
NYJ vs TEs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
89%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.6 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.8 targets a game.
- Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
45Juwan Johnson▲TE · NOvsMINSTARTScored 23.3 last game, typical 9.510.4
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
11
23
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NO underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
MIN vs TEs
23% fewer points
Last game snaps
62%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.4 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 23.3 points last game against a typical 9.5 (trending up).
- Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 23% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
46Dalton SchultzTE · HOU@TENSTARTProjected 10.3 · #9 among TEs10.3
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
26
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game
This week's matchup
@TENGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 6.5
Game total
39.5
TEN vs TEs
8% fewer points
Last game snaps
54%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.3 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 54% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
47Kalif Raymond▲WR · CHI@GBSTARTScored 21 last game, typical 3.910.3
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
16
9
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.9 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 2.5
Game total
45.5
GB vs WRs
4% more points
Last game snaps
75%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.3 points, #20 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21 points last game against a typical 3.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 7 targets a game.
- Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI@JAXSTARTProjected 10.1 · #19 among RBs10.1
5–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
9
3
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.9 a game
This week's matchup
@JAXGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3
Game total
44.5
JAX vs RBs
17% fewer points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.1 points, #19 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Concern: JAX's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
49Dalton Kincaid▼TE · BUF@LASTARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot10.1
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
18
23
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
@LAGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
BUF underdogs by 2.5
Game total
52.5
LA vs TEs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.1 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 3.8 points last game against a typical 9 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
50Mike Gesicki▲TE · CIN@MIASTARTScored 12.7 last game, typical 5.110.1
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
19
13
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 8.5
Game total
46.5
MIA vs TEs
21% more points
Last game snaps
51%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.1 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 12.7 points last game against a typical 5.1 (trending up).
- MIA's defense has allowed 21% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
51Roman Wilson▲WR · PITvsINDSTARTScored 16.4 last game, typical 3.510.0
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
8
15
16
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 3.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 1.5
Game total
44.5
IND vs WRs
15% more points
Last game snaps
31%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.0 points, #21 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 16.4 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 31% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
52Jameson WilliamsWR · DET@ARISTARTDET expected to score ~29, a strong spot10.0
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
9
5
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.6 a game
This week's matchup
@ARIGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 5.5
Game total
52.5
ARI vs WRs
5% more points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.0 points, #22 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
53Emeka EgbukaWR · TB@DALSTARTDAL allow 18% more points to WRs9.8
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
11
10
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 9.5
Game total
47.5
DAL vs WRs
18% more points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.8 points, #23 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DAL's defense has allowed 18% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
54David MontgomeryRB · HOU@TENSTARTProjected 9.7 · #20 among RBs9.7
5–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
29
4
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game
This week's matchup
@TENGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 6.5
Game total
39.5
TEN vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
63%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.7 points, #20 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 12.3 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 63% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
55Jaylen Waddle▼WR · DEN@LACSTARTProjected 9.7 · #24 among WRs9.7
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
1
22
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.8 a game
This week's matchup
@LACGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
LAC vs WRs
7% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.7 points, #24 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Concern: Scored 6.4 points last game against a typical 10.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
56Zay FlowersQWR · BAL@ATLFLEXIf active · Questionable — hamstring injury9.7
0–17 rangeFLEX
Recent form
26
15
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.8 a game
This week's matchup
@ATLGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 6
Game total
49.5
ATL vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
33%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.7 points, #25 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Questionable — hamstring injury.
- If active, about 15.7 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- ATL's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
Projection 9.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
57Rhamondre Stevenson▼RB · NEvsLVFLEXProjected 9.5 · #21 among RBs9.5
5–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
15
4
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NE favored by 3.5
Game total
44.5
LV vs RBs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.5 points, #21 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: Scored 6.8 points last game against a typical 11.2 (trending down).
- Averaging 10.3 carries and 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
58Jordan Addison▲WR · MIN@NOFLEXMore work with Justin Jefferson out9.5
4–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
0
4
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NO vs WRs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
98%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.5 points, #26 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.8 points).
- Scored 20 points last game against a typical 8.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
59Luther Burden III▲WR · CHI@GBFLEXScored 19.8 last game, typical 7.59.4
4–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
10
6
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 2.5
Game total
45.5
GB vs WRs
4% more points
Last game snaps
61%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.4 points, #27 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 19.8 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 61% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
60Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WASvsNYGFLEXMore work with Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out9.2
4–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
13
6
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYGGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
WAS favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
NYG vs RBs
14% more points
Last game snaps
57%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.2 points, #22 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).
- NYG's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 15.7 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.2 · High confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.