Fantasy · Week 5 · 2026
Win your week. Start the right players.
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Our top pick at every position
Josh Allen
BUF @ LA
24.8proj
MUST STARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot
Running back · #1Jahmyr Gibbs
DET @ ARI
27.2proj
MUST STARTScored 37.9 last game, typical 17.3
Wide receiver · #1Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs SF
22.5proj
MUST STARTScored 30.4 last game, typical 15.8
Tight end · #1Trey McBride
ARI vs DET
14.1proj
MUST STARTDET allow 47% more points to TEs
Kicker · #1Brandon Aubrey
DAL vs TB
11.4proj
MUST STARTDAL expected to score ~29, plenty of drives
Defense · #1Texans D/ST
HOU @ TEN
10.3proj
MUST STARTTEN offense gives defenses 36% more points
Your toolkit
Full rankings
Each position has its own page: QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · Flex rankings · K rankings · D/ST rankings
On bye: CAR, KC
1Jaxon Smith-Njigba▲WR · SEAvsSFMUST STARTScored 30.4 last game, typical 15.822.5
9–39 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 15.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- SEA favored by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SF vs WRs
- 1% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 87%
Why we say must start
- Projected 22.5 points, #1 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 30.4 points last game against a typical 15.8 (trending up).
- SEA's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 22.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET@ARIMUST STARTDET expected to score ~29, a strong spot17.6
7–30 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 14.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs WRs
- 6% more points
- Last game snaps
- 74%
Why we say must start
- Projected 17.6 points, #2 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 11.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 17.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Davante Adams▲WR · LAvsBUFMUST STARTScored 17.2 last game, typical 12.116.7
7–29 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- BUF vs WRs
- 4% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.7 points, #3 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 17.2 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
- LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Puka Nacua▼WR · LAvsBUFMUST STARTLA expected to score ~28, a strong spot15.7
6–27 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 17.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- BUF vs WRs
- 4% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 70%
Why we say must start
- Projected 15.7 points, #4 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 9.9 points last game against a typical 17.3 (trending down).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
5CeeDee Lamb▲WR · DALvsTBMUST STARTScored 16.7 last game, typical 10.914.9
6–26 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs WRs
- 3% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 82%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.9 points, #5 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 16.7 points last game against a typical 10.9 (trending up).
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Ja'Marr Chase▲WR · CIN@MIAMUST STARTScored 20.3 last game, typical 1414.2
6–24 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 14.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- CIN favored by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- MIA vs WRs
- 10% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 100%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.2 points, #6 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.3 points last game against a typical 14 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 100% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Christian Watson▲WR · GBvsCHIMUST STARTScored 19.1 last game, typical 9.614.2
6–24 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- GB favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- CHI vs WRs
- 10% more points
- Last game snaps
- 80%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.2 points, #7 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 19.1 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Chris OlaveWR · NOvsMINMUST STARTProjected 13.1 · #8 among WRs13.1
5–23 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NO underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- MIN vs WRs
- 14% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 84%
Why we say must start
- Projected 13.1 points, #8 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Stefon DiggsWR · WASvsNYGSTARTMore work with Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out12.4
5–21 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYG vs WRs
- 11% more points
- Last game snaps
- 59%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.4 points, #9 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +2.2 points).
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Nico Collins▲WR · HOU@TENSTARTScored 17.7 last game, typical 11.212.3
5–21 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 11.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- HOU favored by 6.5
- Game total
- 39.5
- TEN vs WRs
- 12% more points
- Last game snaps
- 72%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.3 points, #10 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 17.7 points last game against a typical 11.2 (trending up).
- TEN's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Drake London▲WR · ATLvsBALSTARTBAL allow 15% more points to WRs11.9
5–21 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 12.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- BAL vs WRs
- 15% more points
- Last game snaps
- 93%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.9 points, #11 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- BAL's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 23.9 points last game against a typical 12 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Garrett Wilson▲WR · NYJvsCLESTARTScored 21.7 last game, typical 9.111.7
5–20 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- CLE vs WRs
- League average
- Last game snaps
- 94%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.7 points, #12 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21.7 points last game against a typical 9.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Tee Higgins▲WR · CIN@MIASTARTScored 18 last game, typical 10.711.2
5–19 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 10.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- CIN favored by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- MIA vs WRs
- 10% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 93%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.2 points, #13 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 18 points last game against a typical 10.7 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
14George PickensWR · DALvsTBSTARTDAL expected to score ~29, a strong spot10.6
4–18 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 12.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs WRs
- 3% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 85%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.6 points, #14 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Michael Wilson▲WR · ARIvsDETSTARTDET allow 20% more points to WRs10.3
4–18 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- DET vs WRs
- 20% more points
- Last game snaps
- 93%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.3 points, #15 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DET's defense has allowed 20% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 20.4 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 10.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Parker WashingtonWR · JAXvsPHISTARTProjected 9.7 · #16 among WRs9.7
4–17 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- JAX favored by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- PHI vs WRs
- 7% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 81%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.7 points, #16 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
17DK Metcalf▲WR · PITvsINDSTARTIND allow 15% more points to WRs9.6
4–17 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 9.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs WRs
- 15% more points
- Last game snaps
- 97%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.6 points, #17 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 14 points last game against a typical 9.3 (trending up).
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 97% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Matthew Golden▲WR · GBvsCHISTARTScored 18.5 last game, typical 3.59.4
4–16 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- GB favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- CHI vs WRs
- 10% more points
- Last game snaps
- 82%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.4 points, #18 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 18.5 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Roman Wilson▲WR · PITvsINDSTARTScored 14.9 last game, typical 38.7
4–15 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 3.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs WRs
- 15% more points
- Last game snaps
- 31%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.7 points, #19 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 14.9 points last game against a typical 3 (trending up).
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 31% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Josh Downs▲WR · IND@PITSTARTScored 10.2 last game, typical 6.18.5
3–15 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- IND underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- PIT vs WRs
- 6% more points
- Last game snaps
- 68%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.5 points, #20 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 10.2 points last game against a typical 6.1 (trending up).
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Kalif Raymond▲WR · CHI@GBSTARTScored 18 last game, typical 3.28.3
3–14 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs WRs
- 5% more points
- Last game snaps
- 75%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.3 points, #21 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 18 points last game against a typical 3.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 7 targets a game.
- Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Jameson WilliamsWR · DET@ARISTARTDET expected to score ~29, a strong spot8.3
3–14 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs WRs
- 6% more points
- Last game snaps
- 82%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.3 points, #22 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Emeka EgbukaWR · TB@DALSTARTDAL allow 20% more points to WRs8.2
3–14 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- DAL vs WRs
- 20% more points
- Last game snaps
- 74%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.2 points, #23 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DAL's defense has allowed 20% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Zay FlowersQWR · BAL@ATLSTARTIf active · Questionable — hamstring injury8.2
0–14 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W3Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- ATL vs WRs
- 13% more points
- Last game snaps
- 33%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.2 points, #24 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Questionable — hamstring injury.
- If active, about 13.3 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- ATL's defense has allowed 13% more points to WRs than the league average.
Projection 8.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
25Jordan Addison▲WR · MIN@NOFLEXMore work with Justin Jefferson out8.1
3–14 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NO vs WRs
- 9% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 98%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.1 points, #25 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.5 points).
- Scored 17.5 points last game against a typical 7.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN@LACFLEXProjected 8.0 · #26 among WRs8.0
3–14 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- DEN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- LAC vs WRs
- 8% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 73%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.0 points, #26 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Tre TuckerWR · LV@NEFLEXProjected 7.7 · #27 among WRs7.7
3–13 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NE vs WRs
- 3% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 57%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.7 points, #27 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
28Deebo Samuel Sr.▲WR · SF@SEAFLEXScored 15.4 last game, typical 8.57.5
3–13 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- SF underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SEA vs WRs
- 20% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 76%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.5 points, #28 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 15.4 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending up).
- Concern: SEA's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Luther Burden III▲WR · CHI@GBFLEXScored 16.3 last game, typical 6.17.5
3–13 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs WRs
- 5% more points
- Last game snaps
- 61%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.5 points, #29 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 16.3 points last game against a typical 6.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 61% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
30Jakobi Meyers▲WR · JAXvsPHIFLEXScored 15.9 last game, typical 7.77.4
3–13 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- JAX favored by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- PHI vs WRs
- 7% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 81%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.4 points, #30 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 15.9 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending up).
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Wan'Dale Robinson▲WR · TENvsHOUFLEXScored 15.2 last game, typical 9.67.2
3–12 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~17 pts
- Vegas line
- TEN underdogs by 6.5
- Game total
- 39.5
- HOU vs WRs
- 4% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 63%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.2 points, #31 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 15.2 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending up).
- Concern: TEN's offense is expected to score only about 17 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 63% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
32DJ MooreWR · BUF@LAFLEXBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot7.2
3–12 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- BUF underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- LA vs WRs
- 2% more points
- Last game snaps
- 64%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.2 points, #32 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 64% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
33Rome OdunzeWR · CHI@GBFLEXProjected 7.2 · #33 among WRs7.2
3–12 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs WRs
- 5% more points
- Last game snaps
- 85%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.2 points, #33 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
34Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI@JAXFLEXMore work with DeVonta Smith out7.1
3–12 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- PHI underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- JAX vs WRs
- 2% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 88%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.1 points, #34 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- DeVonta Smith out: more work to go around (about +1.6 points).
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
35Jauan Jennings▼WR · MIN@NOFLEXProjected 7.1 · #35 among WRs7.1
3–12 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W3Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NO vs WRs
- 9% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 80%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.1 points, #35 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: Scored 0.6 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
36Courtland SuttonWR · DEN@LACFLEXProjected 6.8 · #36 among WRs6.8
3–12 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- DEN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- LAC vs WRs
- 8% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 87%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.8 points, #36 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
37Michael Pittman▼WR · PITvsINDBENCHScored 2.5 last game, typical 8.56.8
3–12 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W3W4Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs WRs
- 15% more points
- Last game snaps
- 72%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.8 points, #37 among WRs this week, 0.0 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 2.5 points last game against a typical 8.5 (trending down).
- Upside: IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
38Romeo DoubsWR · NEvsLVBENCHProjected 6.7 · 0.1 behind #366.7
3–12 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- NE favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- LV vs WRs
- 3% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.7 points, #38 among WRs this week, 0.1 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
39Malik NabersWR · NYG@WASBENCHProjected 6.5 · 0.3 behind #366.5
3–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYG underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- WAS vs WRs
- 23% more points
- Last game snaps
- 78%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.5 points, #39 among WRs this week, 0.3 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 23% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 78% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
40Rashod BatemanWR · BAL@ATLBENCHProjected 6.5 · 0.3 behind #366.5
3–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- ATL vs WRs
- 13% more points
- Last game snaps
- 88%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.5 points, #40 among WRs this week, 0.3 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
41Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARIvsDETBENCHProjected 6.4 · 0.4 behind #366.4
3–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- DET vs WRs
- 20% more points
- Last game snaps
- 77%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.4 points, #41 among WRs this week, 0.4 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 20% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
42Devaughn VeleWR · NOvsMINBENCHMIN allow 14% fewer points to WRs6.4
3–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NO underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- MIN vs WRs
- 14% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 88%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.4 points, #42 among WRs this week, 0.4 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- MIN's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
43Denzel Boston▲WR · CLE@NYJBENCHCLE expected to score only ~20, a tough spot6.3
3–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 4.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- CLE underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- NYJ vs WRs
- 4% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 95%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.3 points, #43 among WRs this week, 0.5 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 10.9 points last game against a typical 4.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 95% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Mack Hollins▲WR · NEvsLVBENCHProjected 5.8 · 1.0 behind #365.8
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- NE favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- LV vs WRs
- 3% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 76%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.8 points, #44 among WRs this week, 1.0 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 11.7 points last game against a typical 5.7 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
45Malik WashingtonWR · MIAvsCINBENCHCIN allow 13% fewer points to WRs5.8
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- MIA underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- CIN vs WRs
- 13% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 86%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.8 points, #45 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- CIN's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 86% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
46Quentin Johnston▼WR · LACvsDENBENCHScored 5.5 last game, typical 9.75.8
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 9.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- DEN vs WRs
- 15% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 87%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.8 points, #46 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Scored 5.5 points last game against a typical 9.7 (trending down).
- DEN's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
47Khalil Shakir▼WR · BUF@LABENCHScored 1.1 last game, typical 7.25.6
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- BUF underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- LA vs WRs
- 2% more points
- Last game snaps
- 73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.6 points, #47 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Scored 1.1 points last game against a typical 7.2 (trending down).
- Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Cooper Kupp▲WR · SEAvsSFBENCHProjected 5.6 · #48 among WRs5.6
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- SEA favored by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SF vs WRs
- 1% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 67%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.6 points, #48 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: Scored 12.6 points last game against a typical 5.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
49Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB@DALBENCHTB expected to score only ~19, a tough spot5.6
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.0 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- DAL vs WRs
- 20% more points
- Last game snaps
- 62%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.6 points, #49 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: DAL's defense has allowed 20% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
50Antonio WilliamsWR · WASvsNYGBENCHProjected 5.6 · #50 among WRs5.6
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYG vs WRs
- 11% more points
- Last game snaps
- 41%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.6 points, #50 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 41% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
How we rank
Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.
We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.
The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.