Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

Early season: only 2 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

1Jaxon Smith-Njigba▲WR · SEA@WASMUST STARTScored 38 last game, typical 15.830.4
scored · proj 21.2MUST START
Recent form
22
38
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 15.8 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 8.5
Game total
40.5
WAS vs WRs
17% more points
Wind
13 mph
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say must start
- Projected 21.2 points, #1 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 38 points last game against a typical 15.8 (trending up).
- WAS's defense has allowed 17% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 11 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 21.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Amon-Ra St. Brown▲WR · DETvsNYJMUST STARTScored 30.7 last game, typical 149.9
scored · proj 18.5MUST START
Recent form
24
31
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 14.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
95%
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.5 points, #2 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 30.7 points last game against a typical 14 (trending up).
- DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 13.5 targets a game.
- Played 95% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 18.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Chris Olave▲WR · NOvsLVMUST STARTScored 18.6 last game, typical 12.115.2
scored · proj 15.0MUST START
Recent form
23
19
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
LV vs WRs
League average
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say must start
- Projected 15.0 points, #3 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 18.6 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 11.5 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Christian WatsonWR · GBvsATLMUST STARTProjected 14.9 · #4 among WRs19.1
scored · proj 14.9MUST START
Recent form
30
12
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 4.5
Game total
43.5
ATL vs WRs
7% more points
Last game snaps
90%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.9 points, #4 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Averaging 9.5 targets a game.
- Played 90% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
5CeeDee Lamb▲WR · DALvsBALMUST STARTScored 31.3 last game, typical 10.916.7
scored · proj 14.2MUST START
Recent form
13
31
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
53.5
BAL vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
75%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.2 points, #5 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 31.3 points last game against a typical 10.9 (trending up).
- BAL's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 8.5 targets a game.
- Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Puka Nacua▼WR · LA@DENMUST STARTProjected 13.6 · #6 among WRs13.6
5–23 rangeMUST START
Recent form
10
W1
Dashed line: the usual 17.3 a game
This week's matchup
@DENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LA underdogs by 1.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs WRs
20% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say must start
- Projected 13.6 points, #6 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: DEN's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Garrett Wilson▲WR · NYJ@DETMUST STARTMore work with Adonai Mitchell and Breece Hall out21.7
scored · proj 13.3MUST START
Recent form
11
14
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.1 a game
This week's matchup
@DETGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYJ underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
DET vs WRs
23% more points
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say must start
- Projected 13.3 points, #7 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Adonai Mitchell and Breece Hall out: more work to go around (about +3.4 points).
- Scored 14.2 points last game against a typical 9.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 7 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.3 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
8Davante Adams▲WR · LA@DENMUST STARTScored 35.5 last game, typical 12.117.2
scored · proj 12.8MUST START
Recent form
4
36
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
@DENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LA underdogs by 1.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs WRs
20% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
65%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.8 points, #8 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 35.5 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
- Terrance Ferguson out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
- Concern: DEN's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
Projection 12.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Ja'Marr Chase▲WR · CIN@PITSTARTScored 23 last game, typical 1420.3
scored · proj 12.8START
Recent form
2
23
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 14.0 a game
This week's matchup
@PITGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PIT vs WRs
1% more points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.8 points, #9 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 23 points last game against a typical 14 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Nico Collins▲WR · HOU@INDSTARTScored 17.7 last game, typical 11.212.5
5–22 rangeSTART
Recent form
18
W1
Dashed line: the usual 11.2 a game
This week's matchup
@INDGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 1.5
Game total
41.5
IND vs WRs
22% more points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.5 points, #10 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 17.7 points last game against a typical 11.2 (trending up).
- IND's defense has allowed 22% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Rashee RiceWR · KC@MIASTARTKC expected to score ~28, a strong spot12.3
scored · proj 11.1START
Recent form
9
10
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 10
Game total
45.5
MIA vs WRs
8% fewer points
Last game snaps
79%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.1 points, #11 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- KC's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.1 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
12Stefon Diggs▲WR · WASvsSEASTARTScored 19.2 last game, typical 8.85.3
scored · proj 10.7START
Recent form
14
19
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsSEAGame page →
Expected team score
~16 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 8.5
Game total
40.5
SEA vs WRs
25% fewer points
Wind
13 mph
Last game snaps
51%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.7 points, #12 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 19.2 points last game against a typical 8.8 (trending up).
- Jayden Daniels and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +2.3 points).
- Concern: SEA's defense has allowed 25% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.5 targets a game.
Projection 10.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
13George Pickens▼WR · DALvsBALSTARTBAL allow 12% more points to WRs11.7
scored · proj 10.7START
Recent form
4
7
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
53.5
BAL vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.7 points, #13 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- BAL's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 7 points last game against a typical 12.9 (trending down).
- Averaging 7 targets a game.
Projection 10.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Parker Washington▲WR · JAXvsNESTARTScored 13.3 last game, typical 8.611.5
scored · proj 10.3START
Recent form
17
13
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
46.5
NE vs WRs
6% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.3 points, #14 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 13.3 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Dontayvion Wicks▲WR · PHI@CHISTARTScored 9.9 last game, typical 4.14.2
scored · proj 9.8START
Recent form
14
10
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 4.1 a game
This week's matchup
@CHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PHI favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
CHI vs WRs
16% more points
Last game snaps
62%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.8 points, #15 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 9.9 points last game against a typical 4.1 (trending up).
- DeVonta Smith out: more work to go around (about +2.6 points).
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Tee HigginsWR · CIN@PITSTARTProjected 9.8 · #16 among WRs18.0
scored · proj 9.8START
Recent form
7
12
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 10.7 a game
This week's matchup
@PITGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PIT vs WRs
1% more points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.8 points, #16 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Deebo Samuel Sr.WR · SFvsARISTARTSF expected to score ~28, a strong spot15.4
scored · proj 9.4START
Recent form
15
5
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 7.5
Game total
48.5
ARI vs WRs
5% more points
Last game snaps
60%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.4 points, #17 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- SF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 60% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR@CLESTARTProjected 9.4 · #18 among WRs2.7
scored · proj 9.4START
Recent form
8
13
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CAR favored by 2.5
Game total
41.5
CLE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.4 points, #18 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Drake London▼WR · ATL@GBSTARTProjected 9.4 · #19 among WRs23.9
scored · proj 9.4START
Recent form
5
7
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 12.0 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 4.5
Game total
43.5
GB vs WRs
4% more points
Last game snaps
62%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.4 points, #19 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Concern: Scored 6.9 points last game against a typical 12 (trending down).
- Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Jaylen Waddle▲WR · DENvsLASTARTScored 17.8 last game, typical 95.4
scored · proj 8.5START
Recent form
1
18
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 1.5
Game total
43.5
LA vs WRs
2% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
61%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.5 points, #20 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 17.8 points last game against a typical 9 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 61% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Devaughn Vele▲WR · NOvsLVSTARTScored 8.9 last game, typical 4.95.4
scored · proj 8.5START
Recent form
16
9
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
LV vs WRs
League average
Last game snaps
96%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.5 points, #21 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 8.9 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 96% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
22Zay FlowersQ▲WR · BAL@DALSTARTIf active · Questionable — hamstring injury12.9
scored · proj 8.4START
Recent form
24
W1
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 3
Game total
53.5
DAL vs WRs
24% more points
Last game snaps
29%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.4 points, #22 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Questionable — hamstring injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, hamstring injury. If active, about 12.9 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- DAL's defense has allowed 24% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 23.5 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
Projection 8.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →
23Jalen CokerQ▲WR · CAR@CLESTARTIf active · Questionable — quadriceps injury2.8
scored · proj 8.3START
Recent form
30
11
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CAR favored by 2.5
Game total
41.5
CLE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.3 points, #23 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Questionable — quadriceps injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, ankle injury. If active, about 12.7 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- Scored 10.6 points last game against a typical 5.7 (trending up).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
Projection 8.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
24Jameson Williams▼WR · DETvsNYJSTARTDET expected to score ~28, a strong spot6.9
scored · proj 8.0START
Recent form
7
4
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
97%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.0 points, #24 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 4.3 points last game against a typical 9.9 (trending down).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 97% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
25DJ Moore▼WR · BUFvsLACFLEXBUF expected to score ~29, a strong spot9.7
scored · proj 7.9FLEX
Recent form
19
-0
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
50.5
LAC vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
31%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.9 points, #25 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored -0.1 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 31% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Tre Tucker▲WR · LV@NOFLEXScored 20.4 last game, typical 76.3
scored · proj 7.7FLEX
Recent form
4
20
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.0 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NO vs WRs
5% fewer points
Last game snaps
59%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.7 points, #26 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 20.4 points last game against a typical 7 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Quentin Johnston▼WR · LAC@BUFFLEXMore work with David Njoku out5.5
scored · proj 7.7FLEX
Recent form
3
2
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.7 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
50.5
BUF vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.7 points, #27 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- David Njoku out: more work to go around (about +1.2 points).
- Concern: Scored 1.9 points last game against a typical 9.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
28Jauan Jennings▼WR · MIN@TBFLEXProjected 7.7 · #28 among WRs0.6
scored · proj 7.7FLEX
Recent form
0
W1
Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 1.5
Game total
42.5
TB vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
48%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.7 points, #28 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: Scored 0 points last game against a typical 8.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 1 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Wan'Dale Robinson▼WR · TEN@NYGFLEXNYG allow 13% more points to WRs15.2
scored · proj 7.6FLEX
Recent form
6
1
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 2.5
Game total
37.5
NYG vs WRs
13% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
53%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.6 points, #29 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- NYG's defense has allowed 13% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 1.4 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 53% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
30Matthew Golden▲WR · GBvsATLFLEXScored 7.8 last game, typical 3.518.5
scored · proj 7.6FLEX
Recent form
13
8
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 3.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 4.5
Game total
43.5
ATL vs WRs
7% more points
Last game snaps
86%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.6 points, #30 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 7.8 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 86% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Courtland Sutton▼WR · DENvsLAFLEXProjected 7.5 · #31 among WRs6.1
scored · proj 7.5FLEX
Recent form
2
4
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 1.5
Game total
43.5
LA vs WRs
2% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.5 points, #31 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: Scored 4 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
32Josh Downs▲WR · INDvsHOUFLEXMore work with Keenan Allen out10.2
scored · proj 7.4FLEX
Recent form
5
11
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsHOUGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
IND underdogs by 1.5
Game total
41.5
HOU vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.4 points, #32 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.7 points).
- Scored 10.7 points last game against a typical 6.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
33Emeka EgbukaWR · TBvsMINFLEXProjected 7.1 · #33 among WRs8.7
scored · proj 7.1FLEX
Recent form
9
9
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 8.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 1.5
Game total
42.5
MIN vs WRs
14% fewer points
Last game snaps
86%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.1 points, #33 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 86% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
34Michael Wilson▼WR · ARI@SFFLEXProjected 7.1 · #34 among WRs20.4
scored · proj 7.1FLEX
Recent form
8
3
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 7.5
Game total
48.5
SF vs WRs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.1 points, #34 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: Scored 2.8 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 7 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
35Jordan Addison▼WR · MIN@TBFLEXMore work with Justin Jefferson out17.5
scored · proj 7.0FLEX
Recent form
0
3
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.1 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 1.5
Game total
42.5
TB vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.0 points, #35 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.9 points).
- Concern: Scored 3.1 points last game against a typical 7.1 (trending down).
- Averaging 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
36Malik Nabers▼WR · NYGvsTENFLEXTEN allow 20% more points to WRs5.1
scored · proj 6.9FLEX
Recent form
10
1
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYG favored by 2.5
Game total
37.5
TEN vs WRs
20% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.9 points, #36 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- TEN's defense has allowed 20% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 0.6 points last game against a typical 8 (trending down).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.9 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
37Jakobi Meyers▼WR · JAXvsNEBENCHScored 3.3 last game, typical 7.715.9
scored · proj 6.9BENCH
Recent form
11
3
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
46.5
NE vs WRs
6% fewer points
Last game snaps
90%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.9 points, #37 among WRs this week, 0.0 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 3.3 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 90% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
38Khalil ShakirWR · BUFvsLACBENCHProjected 6.7 · 0.2 behind #361.1
scored · proj 6.7BENCH
Recent form
7
5
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
50.5
LAC vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
49%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.7 points, #38 among WRs this week, 0.2 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 49% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
39Michael PittmanWR · PITvsCINBENCHCIN allow 18% fewer points to WRs2.6
scored · proj 6.7BENCH
Recent form
7
W1
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsCINGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PIT underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
CIN vs WRs
18% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.7 points, #39 among WRs this week, 0.2 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- CIN's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- PIT's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
40Rome OdunzeWR · CHIvsPHIBENCHPHI allow 13% fewer points to WRs5.9
scored · proj 6.7BENCH
Recent form
6
6
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 8.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs WRs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.7 points, #40 among WRs this week, 0.2 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- PHI's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- CHI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
41DK Metcalf▼WR · PITvsCINBENCHScored 4.7 last game, typical 9.310.6
scored · proj 6.6BENCH
Recent form
6
5
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsCINGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PIT underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
CIN vs WRs
18% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
97%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.6 points, #41 among WRs this week, 0.3 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 4.7 points last game against a typical 9.3 (trending down).
- CIN's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 9.5 targets a game.
- Played 97% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
42Malik WashingtonWR · MIAvsKCBENCHKC allow 18% fewer points to WRs8.6
scored · proj 6.5BENCH
Recent form
5
7
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 10
Game total
45.5
KC vs WRs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.5 points, #42 among WRs this week, 0.4 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- KC's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: De'Von Achane and Caleb Douglas out: more work to go around (about +2.5 points).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
43Rashod Bateman▲WR · BAL@DALBENCHProjected 6.4 · 0.5 behind #364.7
scored · proj 6.4BENCH
Recent form
0
18
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 3.1 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 3
Game total
53.5
DAL vs WRs
24% more points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.4 points, #43 among WRs this week, 0.5 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 18.3 points last game against a typical 3.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Denzel Boston▲WR · CLEvsCARBENCHCAR allow 14% fewer points to WRs7.1
scored · proj 6.3BENCH
Recent form
13
18
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 4.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsCARGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
41.5
CAR vs WRs
14% fewer points
Wind
12 mph
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.3 points, #44 among WRs this week, 0.6 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- CAR's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 18 points last game against a typical 4.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
Projection 6.3 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
45Romeo DoubsWR · NE@JAXBENCHProjected 6.3 · #45 among WRs6.4
scored · proj 6.3BENCH
Recent form
0
11
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@JAXGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 3
Game total
46.5
JAX vs WRs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.3 points, #45 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Averaging 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
46Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXvsNEBENCHProjected 6.0 · #46 among WRs1.3
scored · proj 6.0BENCH
Recent form
6
6
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
46.5
NE vs WRs
6% fewer points
Last game snaps
54%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.0 points, #46 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 54% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
47Marvin Harrison Jr.▼WR · ARI@SFBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 7.75.5
scored · proj 5.9BENCH
Recent form
4
0
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 7.5
Game total
48.5
SF vs WRs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.9 points, #47 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Xavier Worthy▲WR · KC@MIABENCHProjected 5.8 · #48 among WRs3.0
scored · proj 5.8BENCH
Recent form
3
11
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 5.6 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 10
Game total
45.5
MIA vs WRs
8% fewer points
Last game snaps
86%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.8 points, #48 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: Scored 11 points last game against a typical 5.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 86% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
49Kayshon BoutteWR · HOU@INDBENCHProjected 5.6 · #49 among WRs3.1
scored · proj 5.6BENCH
Recent form
3
5
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 6.7 a game
This week's matchup
@INDGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 1.5
Game total
41.5
IND vs WRs
22% more points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.6 points, #49 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: IND's defense has allowed 22% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
50Rashid ShaheedWR · SEA@WASBENCHProjected 5.6 · #50 among WRs2.4
scored · proj 5.6BENCH
Recent form
1
5
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 8.5
Game total
40.5
WAS vs WRs
17% more points
Wind
13 mph
Last game snaps
56%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.6 points, #50 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 17% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 4.5 targets a game.
- Played 56% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.