Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

Early season: only 3 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

1Jaxon Smith-Njigba▲WR · SEAvsLACMUST STARTScored 35.4 last game, typical 18.925.3
10–44 rangeMUST START
Recent form
26
43
35
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 18.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 7
Game total
42.5
LAC vs WRs
7% fewer points
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say must start
- Projected 25.3 points, #1 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 35.4 points last game against a typical 18.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 25.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Chris Olave▲WR · NOvsATLMUST STARTScored 19.7 last game, typical 14.919.4
8–33 rangeMUST START
Recent form
28
23
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.4 points, #2 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 19.7 points last game against a typical 14.9 (trending up).
- ATL's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 19.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Ja'Marr Chase▲WR · CINvsJAXMUST STARTScored 24.8 last game, typical 17.418.2
7–31 rangeMUST START
Recent form
3
27
25
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 17.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs WRs
League average
Last game snaps
100%
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.2 points, #3 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 24.8 points last game against a typical 17.4 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 100% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 18.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET@CARMUST STARTDET expected to score ~27, a strong spot18.0
7–31 rangeMUST START
Recent form
29
35
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 17.1 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs WRs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say must start
- Projected 18.0 points, #4 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: CAR's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 18.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Davante Adams▲WR · LA@PHIMUST STARTScored 20.7 last game, typical 13.917.9
7–31 rangeMUST START
Recent form
6
40
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.9 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs WRs
6% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 17.9 points, #5 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.7 points last game against a typical 13.9 (trending up).
- Terrance Ferguson out: more work to go around (about +1 points).
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 17.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Puka Nacua▼WR · LA@PHIMUST STARTProjected 17.7 · #6 among WRs17.7
7–30 rangeMUST START
Recent form
12
W1
Dashed line: the usual 20.8 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs WRs
6% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say must start
- Projected 17.7 points, #6 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: Scored 12.4 points last game against a typical 20.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 17.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
7CeeDee Lamb▲WR · DAL@HOUMUST STARTScored 20.2 last game, typical 13.416.1
6–28 rangeMUST START
Recent form
15
35
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.4 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.1 points, #7 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.2 points last game against a typical 13.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Nico Collins▲WR · HOUvsDALMUST STARTScored 21.2 last game, typical 13.315.6
6–27 rangeMUST START
Recent form
21
W1
Dashed line: the usual 13.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs WRs
18% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say must start
- Projected 15.6 points, #8 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 21.2 points last game against a typical 13.3 (trending up).
- DAL's defense has allowed 18% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Stefon DiggsWR · WASvsINDSTARTMore work with Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out14.8
6–26 rangeSTART
Recent form
16
22
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs WRs
15% more points
Last game snaps
59%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.8 points, #9 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +2.7 points).
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Garrett Wilson▲WR · NYJ@CHISTARTScored 26.7 last game, typical 11.114.6
6–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
17
27
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
@CHIGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYJ underdogs by 3.5
Game total
43.5
CHI vs WRs
8% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.6 points, #10 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 26.7 points last game against a typical 11.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Christian Watson▲WR · GB@TBSTARTScored 22.6 last game, typical 1114.5
6–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
33
14
23
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.0 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.5 points, #11 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 22.6 points last game against a typical 11 (trending up).
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Tee Higgins▲WR · CINvsJAXSTARTScored 21 last game, typical 12.413.7
6–24 rangeSTART
Recent form
9
15
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs WRs
League average
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.7 points, #12 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Rashee RiceWR · KC@LVSTARTKC expected to score ~26, a strong spot13.6
5–23 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
12
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.0 a game
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs WRs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.6 points, #13 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Drake London▲WR · ATL@NOSTARTScored 28.4 last game, typical 14.412.8
5–22 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
9
28
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.4 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 2.5
Game total
47.5
NO vs WRs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.8 points, #14 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 28.4 points last game against a typical 14.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Michael Wilson▲WR · ARI@NYGSTARTScored 25.9 last game, typical 11.612.3
5–21 rangeSTART
Recent form
11
4
26
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.6 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs WRs
10% more points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.3 points, #15 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 25.9 points last game against a typical 11.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 10.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Josh Downs▲WR · IND@WASSTARTScored 12.7 last game, typical 7.712.1
5–21 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
14
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs WRs
22% more points
Last game snaps
68%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.1 points, #16 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 12.7 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending up).
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.7 points).
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
17George PickensWR · DAL@HOUSTARTProjected 12.0 · #17 among WRs12.0
5–21 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
10
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.4 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.0 points, #17 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Parker WashingtonWR · JAX@CINSTARTProjected 11.2 · #18 among WRs11.2
5–19 rangeSTART
Recent form
19
17
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs WRs
14% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.2 points, #18 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Concern: CIN's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Tetairoa McMillan▼WR · CARvsDETSTARTDET allow 18% more points to WRs10.5
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
11
15
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs WRs
18% more points
Last game snaps
95%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.5 points, #19 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DET's defense has allowed 18% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 3.7 points last game against a typical 11.2 (trending down).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 95% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Kalif Raymond▲WR · CHIvsNYJSTARTScored 21 last game, typical 3.910.2
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
16
9
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
75%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.2 points, #20 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21 points last game against a typical 3.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 7 targets a game.
- Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Zay FlowersQWR · BALvsTENSTARTIf active · Questionable — hamstring injury10.1
0–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
26
15
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
33%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.1 points, #21 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Questionable — hamstring injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, hamstring injury. If active, about 15.5 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
Projection 10.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
22Wan'Dale Robinson▲WR · TEN@BALSTARTBAL allow 16% more points to WRs10.0
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
9
2
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
@BALGame page →
Expected team score
~16 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 11.5
Game total
42.5
BAL vs WRs
16% more points
Last game snaps
63%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.0 points, #22 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- BAL's defense has allowed 16% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 18.7 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
- Concern: TEN's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
Projection 10.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Matthew Golden▲WR · GB@TBSTARTScored 21 last game, typical 4.410.0
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
16
10
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.0 points, #23 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21 points last game against a typical 4.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Jaylen Waddle▼WR · DEN@SFSTARTProjected 9.9 · #24 among WRs9.9
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
1
22
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.8 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
DEN underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs WRs
League average
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.9 points, #24 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Concern: Scored 6.4 points last game against a typical 10.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Deebo Samuel Sr.▲WR · SFvsDENFLEXScored 15.4 last game, typical 10.59.7
4–17 rangeFLEX
Recent form
18
7
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 3
Game total
47.5
DEN vs WRs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.7 points, #25 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 15.4 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
- SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: DEN's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Jordan Addison▲WR · MINvsMIAFLEXMore work with Justin Jefferson out9.7
4–17 rangeFLEX
Recent form
0
4
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
98%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.7 points, #26 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.8 points).
- Scored 20 points last game against a typical 8.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Devaughn VeleWR · NOvsATLFLEXATL allow 12% more points to WRs9.5
4–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
20
11
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.5 points, #27 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- ATL's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
- NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
28Luther Burden III▲WR · CHIvsNYJFLEXScored 19.8 last game, typical 7.59.3
4–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
10
6
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
61%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.3 points, #28 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 19.8 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 61% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Emeka EgbukaWR · TBvsGBFLEXProjected 9.0 · #29 among WRs9.0
4–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
11
10
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsGBGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 3
Game total
38.5
GB vs WRs
5% more points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.0 points, #29 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
30Jakobi Meyers▲WR · JAX@CINFLEXScored 19.4 last game, typical 9.88.9
4–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
12
4
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs WRs
14% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.9 points, #30 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 19.4 points last game against a typical 9.8 (trending up).
- Concern: CIN's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
31DJ MooreWR · BUFvsNEFLEXBUF expected to score ~28, a strong spot8.8
4–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
21
-0
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
64%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.8 points, #31 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 64% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
32Tre TuckerWR · LVvsKCFLEXProjected 8.8 · #32 among WRs8.8
4–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
5
23
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs WRs
16% fewer points
Last game snaps
57%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.8 points, #32 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: KC's defense has allowed 16% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
33DK MetcalfWR · PIT@CLEFLEXProjected 8.6 · #33 among WRs16.5
scored · proj 8.6FLEX
Recent form
8
7
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.0 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs WRs
6% fewer points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
95%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.6 points, #33 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 95% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
34Jameson WilliamsWR · DET@CARFLEXDET expected to score ~27, a strong spot8.6
3–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
9
5
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.6 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs WRs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.6 points, #34 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: CAR's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
35Courtland SuttonWR · DEN@SFFLEXProjected 8.5 · #35 among WRs8.5
3–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
3
6
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.6 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
DEN underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs WRs
League average
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.5 points, #35 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
36Dontayvion WicksWR · PHIvsLAFLEXMore work with DeVonta Smith out8.5
3–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
15
12
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
LA vs WRs
1% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.5 points, #36 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- DeVonta Smith out: more work to go around (about +1.9 points).
- Concern: PHI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
37Jauan Jennings▼WR · MINvsMIABENCHScored 1.1 last game, typical 10.28.5
3–15 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
1
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.5 points, #37 among WRs this week, 0.0 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 1.1 points last game against a typical 10.2 (trending down).
- Averaging 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
38Rome OdunzeWR · CHIvsNYJBENCHProjected 8.5 · 0.0 behind #368.5
3–15 rangeBENCH
Recent form
7
7
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.5 points, #38 among WRs this week, 0.0 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
39Michael Pittman▼WR · PIT@CLEBENCHScored 3.6 last game, typical 10.73.5
scored · proj 8.1BENCH
Recent form
9
4
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.7 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs WRs
6% fewer points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.1 points, #39 among WRs this week, 0.4 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 3.6 points last game against a typical 10.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
40Denzel BostonWR · CLEvsPITBENCHCLE expected to score only ~18, a tough spot12.9
scored · proj 7.8BENCH
Recent form
14
21
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsPITGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
38.5
PIT vs WRs
7% more points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
89%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.8 points, #40 among WRs this week, 0.7 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
41Rashod BatemanWR · BALvsTENBENCHProjected 7.7 · 0.8 behind #367.7
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
22
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.7 points, #41 among WRs this week, 0.8 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
42Romeo DoubsWR · NE@BUFBENCHProjected 7.6 · 0.9 behind #367.6
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
13
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
BUF vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.6 points, #42 among WRs this week, 0.9 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
43Malik NabersWR · NYGvsARIBENCHProjected 7.5 · 1.0 behind #367.5
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
13
1
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
ARI vs WRs
5% more points
Last game snaps
78%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.5 points, #43 among WRs this week, 1.0 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 78% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Khalil Shakir▼WR · BUFvsNEBENCHScored 1.6 last game, typical 9.27.4
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
7
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.4 points, #44 among WRs this week, 1.1 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 1.6 points last game against a typical 9.2 (trending down).
- Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
45Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI@NYGBENCHProjected 7.4 · #45 among WRs7.4
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
0
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.1 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs WRs
10% more points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.4 points, #45 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
46Jalen CokerQWR · CARvsDETBENCHQuestionable — quadriceps injury7.2
0–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
34
15
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs WRs
18% more points
Last game snaps
36%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.2 points, #46 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Questionable — quadriceps injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, quadricep injury. If active, about 11.1 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 18% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
Projection 7.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
47Darius SlaytonWR · IND@WASBENCHProjected 7.2 · #47 among WRs7.2
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 6.2 a game.
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs WRs
22% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.2 points, #47 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 22% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaged last season 4.5 targets a game.
Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Mack Hollins▲WR · NE@BUFBENCHProjected 7.0 · #48 among WRs7.0
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
4
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.1 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
BUF vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.0 points, #48 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: Scored 14.7 points last game against a typical 7.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
49Keon ColemanWR · BUFvsNEBENCHProjected 7.0 · #49 among WRs7.0
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
1
12
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
48%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.0 points, #49 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
50Malik Washington▲WR · MIA@MINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~14, a tough spot7.0
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
6
9
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game
This week's matchup
@MINGame page →
Expected team score
~14 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 10
Game total
38.5
MIN vs WRs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
86%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.0 points, #50 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 14 points, a tough scoring spot.
- MIN's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 11.1 points last game against a typical 6.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.