Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

Early season: only 3 weeks of 2026 data so far, so these projections lean on last season's numbers. Confidence is marked on every player and improves each week.

1Jaxon Smith-Njigba▲WR · SEAvsLACMUST STARTScored 25.4 last game, typical 12.717.8
7–31 rangeMUST START
Recent form
18
34
25
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsLACGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 7
Game total
42.5
LAC vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say must start
- Projected 17.8 points, #1 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 25.4 points last game against a typical 12.7 (trending up).
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 17.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Davante AdamsWR · LA@PHIMUST STARTProjected 12.9 · #2 among WRs12.9
5–22 rangeMUST START
Recent form
3
32
14
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs WRs
9% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.9 points, #2 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Chris OlaveWR · NOvsATLMUST STARTATL allow 14% more points to WRs12.1
5–21 rangeMUST START
Recent form
18
15
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs WRs
14% more points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.1 points, #3 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- ATL's defense has allowed 14% more points to WRs than the league average.
- NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET@CARMUST STARTDET expected to score ~27, a strong spot11.9
5–21 rangeMUST START
Recent form
19
26
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs WRs
22% fewer points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.9 points, #4 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: CAR's defense has allowed 22% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Puka Nacua▼WR · LA@PHIMUST STARTProjected 11.4 · #5 among WRs11.4
5–20 rangeMUST START
Recent form
7
W1
Dashed line: the usual 13.7 a game
This week's matchup
@PHIGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 3.5
Game total
42.5
PHI vs WRs
9% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.4 points, #5 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: Scored 7.4 points last game against a typical 13.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Ja'Marr Chase▲WR · CINvsJAXMUST STARTScored 15.8 last game, typical 10.511.2
5–19 rangeMUST START
Recent form
1
20
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
100%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.2 points, #6 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 15.8 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 100% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
7CeeDee Lamb▲WR · DAL@HOUMUST STARTScored 13.2 last game, typical 8.411.1
4–19 rangeMUST START
Recent form
10
27
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs WRs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.1 points, #7 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 13.2 points last game against a typical 8.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Nico Collins▲WR · HOUvsDALMUST STARTScored 14.2 last game, typical 9.110.9
4–19 rangeMUST START
Recent form
14
W1
Dashed line: the usual 9.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs WRs
24% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say must start
- Projected 10.9 points, #8 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 14.2 points last game against a typical 9.1 (trending up).
- DAL's defense has allowed 24% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Christian Watson▲WR · GB@TBSTARTScored 15.6 last game, typical 8.110.6
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
27
10
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.1 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.6 points, #9 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 15.6 points last game against a typical 8.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Stefon DiggsWR · WASvsINDSTARTMore work with Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out9.7
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
12
17
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
WAS underdogs by 4.5
Game total
46.5
IND vs WRs
15% more points
Last game snaps
59%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.7 points, #10 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.8 points).
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Garrett Wilson▲WR · NYJ@CHISTARTScored 16.7 last game, typical 7.19.6
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
12
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.1 a game
This week's matchup
@CHIGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
NYJ underdogs by 3.5
Game total
43.5
CHI vs WRs
14% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.6 points, #11 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 16.7 points last game against a typical 7.1 (trending up).
- CHI's defense has allowed 14% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Tee Higgins▲WR · CINvsJAXSTARTScored 15 last game, typical 99.4
4–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
10
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsJAXGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 2.5
Game total
51.5
JAX vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.4 points, #12 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 15 points last game against a typical 9 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Rashee RiceWR · KC@LVSTARTKC expected to score ~26, a strong spot8.6
3–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
8
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.7 a game
This week's matchup
@LVGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
KC favored by 4.5
Game total
47.5
LV vs WRs
5% fewer points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.6 points, #13 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- KC's offense is expected to score about 26 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Drake London▲WR · ATL@NOSTARTScored 19.4 last game, typical 9.68.5
3–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
4
5
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.6 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 2.5
Game total
47.5
NO vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.5 points, #14 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 19.4 points last game against a typical 9.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Parker WashingtonWR · JAX@CINSTARTProjected 7.8 · #15 among WRs7.8
3–13 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
10
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.0 a game
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs WRs
12% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.8 points, #15 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Michael Wilson▲WR · ARI@NYGSTARTNYG allow 12% more points to WRs7.4
3–13 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
2
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.4 points, #16 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- NYG's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 14.9 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 10.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
17George PickensWR · DAL@HOUSTARTProjected 7.4 · #17 among WRs7.4
3–13 rangeSTART
Recent form
3
4
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
@HOUGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DAL underdogs by 3
Game total
48.5
HOU vs WRs
2% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.4 points, #17 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Josh DownsWR · IND@WASSTARTMore work with Keenan Allen out7.1
3–12 rangeSTART
Recent form
4
7
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.5 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs WRs
25% more points
Last game snaps
68%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.1 points, #18 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.1 points).
- WAS's defense has allowed 25% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Zay FlowersQWR · BALvsTENSTARTIf active · Questionable — hamstring injury7.0
0–12 rangeSTART
Recent form
21
10
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs WRs
13% more points
Last game snaps
33%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.0 points, #19 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Questionable — hamstring injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, hamstring injury. If active, about 10.8 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- TEN's defense has allowed 13% more points to WRs than the league average.
Projection 7.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
20Tetairoa McMillan▼WR · CARvsDETSTARTDET allow 23% more points to WRs6.9
3–12 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
10
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs WRs
23% more points
Last game snaps
95%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.9 points, #20 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DET's defense has allowed 23% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 1.7 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending down).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 95% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Matthew Golden▲WR · GB@TBSTARTScored 16 last game, typical 2.66.7
3–12 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
6
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 2.6 a game
This week's matchup
@TBGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 3
Game total
38.5
TB vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.7 points, #21 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 16 points last game against a typical 2.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Jordan Addison▲WR · MINvsMIASTARTMore work with Justin Jefferson out6.6
3–11 rangeSTART
Recent form
0
2
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs WRs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
98%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.6 points, #22 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.2 points).
- Scored 15 points last game against a typical 5.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Deebo Samuel Sr.▲WR · SFvsDENSTARTScored 15.4 last game, typical 6.56.4
3–11 rangeSTART
Recent form
12
4
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SF favored by 3
Game total
47.5
DEN vs WRs
19% fewer points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.4 points, #23 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 15.4 points last game against a typical 6.5 (trending up).
- SF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: DEN's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Jaylen WaddleWR · DEN@SFSTARTProjected 6.4 · #24 among WRs6.4
3–11 rangeSTART
Recent form
0
14
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
DEN underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.4 points, #24 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Kalif Raymond▲WR · CHIvsNYJFLEXScored 15 last game, typical 2.56.2
3–11 rangeFLEX
Recent form
8
4
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 2.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
75%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.2 points, #25 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 15 points last game against a typical 2.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 7 targets a game.
- Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
26DJ MooreWR · BUFvsNEFLEXBUF expected to score ~28, a strong spot6.0
2–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
16
-0
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs WRs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
64%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.0 points, #26 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 64% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Emeka EgbukaWR · TBvsGBFLEXProjected 5.9 · #27 among WRs5.9
2–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
6
7
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsGBGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 3
Game total
38.5
GB vs WRs
5% more points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.9 points, #27 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
28Rome OdunzeWR · CHIvsNYJFLEXProjected 5.8 · #28 among WRs5.8
2–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
5
4
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.8 points, #28 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Devaughn VeleWR · NOvsATLFLEXATL allow 14% more points to WRs5.8
2–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
13
6
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsATLGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
NO favored by 2.5
Game total
47.5
ATL vs WRs
14% more points
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.8 points, #29 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- ATL's defense has allowed 14% more points to WRs than the league average.
- NO's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
30Denzel BostonWR · CLEvsPITFLEXProjected 5.7 · #30 among WRs8.9
scored · proj 5.7FLEX
Recent form
12
16
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsPITGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 2.5
Game total
38.5
PIT vs WRs
6% more points
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
89%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.7 points, #30 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 18 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Wan'Dale Robinson▲WR · TEN@BALFLEXBAL allow 14% more points to WRs5.7
2–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
4
1
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.0 a game
This week's matchup
@BALGame page →
Expected team score
~16 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 11.5
Game total
42.5
BAL vs WRs
14% more points
Last game snaps
63%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.7 points, #31 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- BAL's defense has allowed 14% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 11.7 points last game against a typical 7 (trending up).
- Concern: TEN's offense is expected to score only about 16 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
Projection 5.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
32Tre TuckerWR · LVvsKCFLEXProjected 5.7 · #32 among WRs5.7
2–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
3
18
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsKCGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 4.5
Game total
47.5
KC vs WRs
24% fewer points
Last game snaps
57%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.7 points, #32 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: KC's defense has allowed 24% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
33Jauan Jennings▼WR · MINvsMIAFLEXProjected 5.7 · #33 among WRs5.7
2–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
0
0
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsMIAGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 10
Game total
38.5
MIA vs WRs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.7 points, #33 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: Scored 0.1 points last game against a typical 7 (trending down).
- Averaging 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
34DK MetcalfWR · PIT@CLEFLEXProjected 5.7 · #34 among WRs11.5
scored · proj 5.7FLEX
Recent form
4
3
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs WRs
League average
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
95%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.7 points, #34 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 95% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
35Dontayvion WicksWR · PHIvsLAFLEXMore work with DeVonta Smith out5.6
2–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
13
7
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsLAGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3.5
Game total
42.5
LA vs WRs
3% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.6 points, #35 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- DeVonta Smith out: more work to go around (about +1.2 points).
- Concern: PHI's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
36Luther Burden III▲WR · CHIvsNYJFLEXScored 12.8 last game, typical 4.85.6
2–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
5
3
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYJGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CHI favored by 3.5
Game total
43.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
61%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.6 points, #36 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 12.8 points last game against a typical 4.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 61% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
37Jameson WilliamsWR · DET@CARBENCHCAR allow 22% fewer points to WRs5.6
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
5
3
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.2 a game
This week's matchup
@CARGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 3.5
Game total
50.5
CAR vs WRs
22% fewer points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.6 points, #37 among WRs this week, 0.0 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- CAR's defense has allowed 22% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Upside: DET's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
38Jakobi Meyers▲WR · JAX@CINBENCHProjected 5.5 · 0.1 behind #365.5
2–10 rangeBENCH
Recent form
10
3
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.6 a game
This week's matchup
@CINGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
JAX underdogs by 2.5
Game total
51.5
CIN vs WRs
12% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.5 points, #38 among WRs this week, 0.1 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 12.4 points last game against a typical 5.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
39Courtland SuttonWR · DEN@SFBENCHProjected 5.3 · 0.3 behind #365.3
2–9 rangeBENCH
Recent form
1
3
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@SFGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
DEN underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.3 points, #39 among WRs this week, 0.3 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
40Romeo DoubsWR · NE@BUFBENCHProjected 5.2 · 0.4 behind #365.2
2–9 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
10
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game
This week's matchup
@BUFGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NE underdogs by 7
Game total
49.5
BUF vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.2 points, #40 among WRs this week, 0.4 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
41Rashod BatemanWR · BALvsTENBENCHProjected 5.2 · 0.4 behind #365.2
2–9 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
15
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 2.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsTENGame page →
Expected team score
~27 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 11.5
Game total
42.5
TEN vs WRs
13% more points
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.2 points, #41 among WRs this week, 0.4 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 27 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
42Michael Pittman▼WR · PIT@CLEBENCHScored 1.6 last game, typical 6.41.5
scored · proj 5.1BENCH
Recent form
6
2
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs WRs
League average
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.1 points, #42 among WRs this week, 0.5 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 1.6 points last game against a typical 6.4 (trending down).
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
43Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARI@NYGBENCHProjected 5.0 · 0.6 behind #365.0
2–9 rangeBENCH
Recent form
3
0
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.2 a game
This week's matchup
@NYGGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NYG vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.0 points, #43 among WRs this week, 0.6 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: NYG's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Kayshon BoutteWR · HOUvsDALBENCHProjected 4.8 · 0.8 behind #364.8
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
2
4
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsDALGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 3
Game total
48.5
DAL vs WRs
24% more points
Wind
10 mph
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.8 points, #44 among WRs this week, 0.8 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: DAL's defense has allowed 24% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
45Malik NabersWR · NYGvsARIBENCHProjected 4.7 · #45 among WRs4.7
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
7
0
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsARIGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
ARI vs WRs
9% more points
Last game snaps
78%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.7 points, #45 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 78% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
46Jalen CokerQWR · CARvsDETBENCHQuestionable — quadriceps injury4.5
0–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
26
7
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
CAR underdogs by 3.5
Game total
50.5
DET vs WRs
23% more points
Last game snaps
36%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.5 points, #46 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Questionable — quadriceps injury.
- Official practice report: Limited in practice, quadricep injury. If active, about 6.9 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 23% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
Projection 4.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
47Darius SlaytonWR · IND@WASBENCHProjected 4.5 · #47 among WRs4.5
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.9 a game.
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~26 pts
Vegas line
IND favored by 4.5
Game total
46.5
WAS vs WRs
25% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.5 points, #47 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 25% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaged last season 4.5 targets a game.
Projection 4.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Roman Wilson▲WR · PIT@CLEBENCHProjected 4.4 · #48 among WRs13.4
scored · proj 4.4BENCH
Recent form
3
3
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 2.4 a game
This week's matchup
@CLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 2.5
Game total
38.5
CLE vs WRs
League average
Wind
11 mph
Last game snaps
39%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.4 points, #48 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: Scored 12 points last game against a typical 2.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 39% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
49Keon ColemanWR · BUFvsNEBENCHProjected 4.3 · #49 among WRs4.3
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
6
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsNEGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BUF favored by 7
Game total
49.5
NE vs WRs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
48%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #49 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
50Quentin Johnston▼WR · LAC@SEABENCHScored 4 last game, typical 84.3
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
2
1
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~18 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 7
Game total
42.5
SEA vs WRs
22% fewer points
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.3 points, #50 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Scored 4 points last game against a typical 8 (trending down).
- SEA's defense has allowed 22% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.