Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

1Jaxon Smith-Njigba▲WR · SEAvsSFMUST STARTScored 35.4 last game, typical 18.926.3
11–45 rangeMUST START
Recent form
26
43
35
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 18.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsSFGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs WRs
League average
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say must start
- Projected 26.3 points, #1 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 35.4 points last game against a typical 18.9 (trending up).
- SEA's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 26.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Amon-Ra St. BrownWR · DET@ARIMUST STARTDET expected to score ~29, a strong spot20.8
8–36 rangeMUST START
Recent form
29
35
12
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 17.1 a game
This week's matchup
@ARIGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 5.5
Game total
52.5
ARI vs WRs
5% more points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say must start
- Projected 20.8 points, #2 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 11.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 20.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Davante Adams▲WR · LAvsBUFMUST STARTScored 20.7 last game, typical 13.919.3
8–33 rangeMUST START
Recent form
6
40
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsBUFGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 2.5
Game total
52.5
BUF vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.3 points, #3 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.7 points last game against a typical 13.9 (trending up).
- LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 19.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Puka Nacua▼WR · LAvsBUFMUST STARTLA expected to score ~28, a strong spot19.1
8–33 rangeMUST START
Recent form
12
W1
Dashed line: the usual 20.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsBUFGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 2.5
Game total
52.5
BUF vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say must start
- Projected 19.1 points, #4 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 12.4 points last game against a typical 20.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 19.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
5CeeDee Lamb▲WR · DALvsTBMUST STARTScored 20.2 last game, typical 13.417.7
7–30 rangeMUST START
Recent form
15
35
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsTBGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DAL favored by 9.5
Game total
47.5
TB vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say must start
- Projected 17.7 points, #5 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.2 points last game against a typical 13.4 (trending up).
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 17.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Ja'Marr Chase▲WR · CIN@MIAMUST STARTCIN expected to score ~28, a strong spot17.5
7–30 rangeMUST START
Recent form
3
27
25
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 17.4 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 8.5
Game total
46.5
MIA vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
100%
Why we say must start
- Projected 17.5 points, #6 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Scored 24.8 points last game against a typical 17.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 100% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 17.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Chris Olave▲WR · NOvsMINMUST STARTScored 19.7 last game, typical 14.916.2
7–28 rangeMUST START
Recent form
28
23
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NO underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
MIN vs WRs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.2 points, #7 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 19.7 points last game against a typical 14.9 (trending up).
- Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 12 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Christian Watson▲WR · GBvsCHIMUST STARTScored 22.6 last game, typical 1116.1
6–28 rangeMUST START
Recent form
33
14
23
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsCHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 2.5
Game total
45.5
CHI vs WRs
8% more points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.1 points, #8 among WRs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 22.6 points last game against a typical 11 (trending up).
- Averaging 9.7 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Stefon DiggsWR · WASvsNYGSTARTMore work with Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out14.9
6–26 rangeSTART
Recent form
16
22
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYGGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
WAS favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
NYG vs WRs
10% more points
Last game snaps
59%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.9 points, #9 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +2.7 points).
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Nico Collins▲WR · HOU@TENSTARTScored 21.2 last game, typical 13.314.6
6–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
21
W1
Dashed line: the usual 13.3 a game
This week's matchup
@TENGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 6.5
Game total
39.5
TEN vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.6 points, #10 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21.2 points last game against a typical 13.3 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Drake London▲WR · ATLvsBALSTARTBAL allow 16% more points to WRs14.4
6–25 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
9
28
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 6
Game total
49.5
BAL vs WRs
16% more points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.4 points, #11 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- BAL's defense has allowed 16% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 28.4 points last game against a typical 14.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Garrett Wilson▲WR · NYJvsCLESTARTScored 26.7 last game, typical 11.114.1
6–24 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
17
27
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsCLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYJ favored by 1.5
Game total
40.5
CLE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
94%
Why we say start
- Projected 14.1 points, #12 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 26.7 points last game against a typical 11.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 9 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Tee Higgins▲WR · CIN@MIASTARTScored 21 last game, typical 12.413.2
5–23 rangeSTART
Recent form
9
15
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.4 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 8.5
Game total
46.5
MIA vs WRs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.2 points, #13 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21 points last game against a typical 12.4 (trending up).
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
14George PickensWR · DALvsTBSTARTDAL expected to score ~29, a strong spot13.2
5–23 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
10
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsTBGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DAL favored by 9.5
Game total
47.5
TB vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say start
- Projected 13.2 points, #14 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 13.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Michael Wilson▲WR · ARIvsDETSTARTScored 25.9 last game, typical 11.612.8
5–22 rangeSTART
Recent form
11
4
26
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 5.5
Game total
52.5
DET vs WRs
18% more points
Last game snaps
93%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.8 points, #15 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 25.9 points last game against a typical 11.6 (trending up).
- DET's defense has allowed 18% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 10.3 targets a game.
- Played 93% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Parker WashingtonWR · JAXvsPHISTARTProjected 11.5 · #16 among WRs11.5
5–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
19
17
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
44.5
PHI vs WRs
6% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.5 points, #16 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
17DK Metcalf▲WR · PITvsINDSTARTIND allow 15% more points to WRs11.4
5–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
7
12
17
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 11.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 1.5
Game total
44.5
IND vs WRs
15% more points
Last game snaps
97%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.4 points, #17 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Scored 16.5 points last game against a typical 11 (trending up).
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 97% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Matthew Golden▲WR · GBvsCHISTARTScored 21 last game, typical 4.411.1
4–19 rangeSTART
Recent form
16
10
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsCHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
GB favored by 2.5
Game total
45.5
CHI vs WRs
8% more points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.1 points, #18 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21 points last game against a typical 4.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Josh Downs▲WR · IND@PITSTARTScored 12.7 last game, typical 7.710.8
4–19 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
14
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
@PITGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
IND underdogs by 1.5
Game total
44.5
PIT vs WRs
6% more points
Last game snaps
68%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.8 points, #19 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 12.7 points last game against a typical 7.7 (trending up).
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.7 points).
- Averaging 8 targets a game.
- Played 68% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Kalif Raymond▲WR · CHI@GBSTARTScored 21 last game, typical 3.910.3
4–18 rangeSTART
Recent form
16
9
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.9 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 2.5
Game total
45.5
GB vs WRs
4% more points
Last game snaps
75%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.3 points, #20 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 21 points last game against a typical 3.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 7 targets a game.
- Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Roman Wilson▲WR · PITvsINDSTARTScored 16.4 last game, typical 3.510.0
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
6
8
15
16
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 3.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 1.5
Game total
44.5
IND vs WRs
15% more points
Last game snaps
31%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.0 points, #21 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Scored 16.4 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 31% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Jameson WilliamsWR · DET@ARISTARTDET expected to score ~29, a strong spot10.0
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
9
5
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.6 a game
This week's matchup
@ARIGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 5.5
Game total
52.5
ARI vs WRs
5% more points
Last game snaps
82%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.0 points, #22 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 82% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Emeka EgbukaWR · TB@DALSTARTDAL allow 18% more points to WRs9.8
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
11
10
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 9.5
Game total
47.5
DAL vs WRs
18% more points
Last game snaps
74%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.8 points, #23 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- DAL's defense has allowed 18% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 74% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Jaylen Waddle▼WR · DEN@LACSTARTProjected 9.7 · #24 among WRs9.7
4–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
1
22
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.8 a game
This week's matchup
@LACGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
LAC vs WRs
7% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.7 points, #24 among WRs this week, inside the top 24 we recommend starting.
- Concern: Scored 6.4 points last game against a typical 10.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 6.7 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Zay FlowersQWR · BAL@ATLFLEXIf active · Questionable — hamstring injury9.7
0–17 rangeFLEX
Recent form
26
15
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.8 a game
This week's matchup
@ATLGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 6
Game total
49.5
ATL vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
33%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.7 points, #25 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Questionable — hamstring injury.
- If active, about 15.7 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- ATL's defense has allowed 12% more points to WRs than the league average.
Projection 9.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
26Jordan Addison▲WR · MIN@NOFLEXMore work with Justin Jefferson out9.5
4–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
0
4
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NO vs WRs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
98%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.5 points, #26 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.8 points).
- Scored 20 points last game against a typical 8.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 98% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Luther Burden III▲WR · CHI@GBFLEXScored 19.8 last game, typical 7.59.4
4–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
10
6
20
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 2.5
Game total
45.5
GB vs WRs
4% more points
Last game snaps
61%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.4 points, #27 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 19.8 points last game against a typical 7.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 61% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
28Tre TuckerWR · LV@NEFLEXProjected 9.2 · #28 among WRs9.2
4–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
5
23
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.5 a game
This week's matchup
@NEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 3.5
Game total
44.5
NE vs WRs
3% fewer points
Last game snaps
57%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.2 points, #28 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Jakobi Meyers▲WR · JAXvsPHIFLEXScored 19.4 last game, typical 9.89.2
4–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
12
4
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
44.5
PHI vs WRs
6% fewer points
Last game snaps
81%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.2 points, #29 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 19.4 points last game against a typical 9.8 (trending up).
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 81% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
30Wan'Dale Robinson▲WR · TENvsHOUFLEXScored 18.7 last game, typical 12.19.1
4–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
9
2
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsHOUGame page →
Expected team score
~17 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 6.5
Game total
39.5
HOU vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
63%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.1 points, #30 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 18.7 points last game against a typical 12.1 (trending up).
- Concern: TEN's offense is expected to score only about 17 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 63% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Deebo Samuel Sr.▲WR · SF@SEAFLEXScored 15.4 last game, typical 10.59.0
4–16 rangeFLEX
Recent form
18
7
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.5 a game
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
SF underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SEA vs WRs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say flex
- Projected 9.0 points, #31 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Scored 15.4 points last game against a typical 10.5 (trending up).
- Concern: SEA's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
32DJ MooreWR · BUF@LAFLEXBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot8.6
3–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
21
-0
13
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.1 a game
This week's matchup
@LAGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
BUF underdogs by 2.5
Game total
52.5
LA vs WRs
1% more points
Last game snaps
64%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.6 points, #32 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 64% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
33Dontayvion WicksWR · PHI@JAXFLEXMore work with DeVonta Smith out8.6
3–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
15
12
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
@JAXGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3
Game total
44.5
JAX vs WRs
League average
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.6 points, #33 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- DeVonta Smith out: more work to go around (about +1.9 points).
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
34Rome OdunzeWR · CHI@GBFLEXProjected 8.6 · #34 among WRs8.6
3–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
7
7
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.4 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 2.5
Game total
45.5
GB vs WRs
4% more points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.6 points, #34 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
35Michael Pittman▼WR · PITvsINDFLEXIND allow 15% more points to WRs8.5
3–15 rangeFLEX
Recent form
9
4
4
W1W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 10.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 1.5
Game total
44.5
IND vs WRs
15% more points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.5 points, #35 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- IND's defense has allowed 15% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Concern: Scored 3.5 points last game against a typical 10.7 (trending down).
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
36Jauan Jennings▼WR · MIN@NOFLEXProjected 8.4 · #36 among WRs8.4
3–14 rangeFLEX
Recent form
0
1
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NO vs WRs
10% fewer points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.4 points, #36 among WRs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #24).
- Concern: Scored 1.1 points last game against a typical 10.2 (trending down).
- Averaging 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
37Courtland SuttonWR · DEN@LACBENCHProjected 8.3 · 0.1 behind #368.3
3–14 rangeBENCH
Recent form
3
6
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.6 a game
This week's matchup
@LACGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
LAC vs WRs
7% fewer points
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.3 points, #37 among WRs this week, 0.1 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
38Romeo DoubsWR · NEvsLVBENCHProjected 8.1 · 0.3 behind #368.1
3–14 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
13
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NE favored by 3.5
Game total
44.5
LV vs WRs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.1 points, #38 among WRs this week, 0.3 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
39Malik NabersWR · NYG@WASBENCHProjected 8.0 · 0.4 behind #368.0
3–14 rangeBENCH
Recent form
13
1
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.5 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
43.5
WAS vs WRs
22% more points
Last game snaps
78%
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.0 points, #39 among WRs this week, 0.4 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: WAS's defense has allowed 22% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 78% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
40Devaughn VeleWR · NOvsMINBENCHMIN allow 13% fewer points to WRs8.0
3–14 rangeBENCH
Recent form
20
11
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NO underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
MIN vs WRs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say bench
- Projected 8.0 points, #40 among WRs this week, 0.4 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- MIN's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
41Rashod BatemanWR · BAL@ATLBENCHProjected 7.8 · 0.6 behind #367.8
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
0
22
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 3.7 a game
This week's matchup
@ATLGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 6
Game total
49.5
ATL vs WRs
12% more points
Last game snaps
88%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.8 points, #41 among WRs this week, 0.6 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 88% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
42Marvin Harrison Jr.WR · ARIvsDETBENCHProjected 7.6 · 0.8 behind #367.6
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
0
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 5.5
Game total
52.5
DET vs WRs
18% more points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.6 points, #42 among WRs this week, 0.8 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 18% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
43Denzel Boston▲WR · CLE@NYJBENCHCLE expected to score only ~20, a tough spot7.4
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
14
21
8
13
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
@NYJGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 1.5
Game total
40.5
NYJ vs WRs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
95%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.4 points, #43 among WRs this week, 1.0 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 12.9 points last game against a typical 5.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 95% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
44Mack Hollins▲WR · NEvsLVBENCHProjected 7.4 · 1.0 behind #367.4
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
4
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NE favored by 3.5
Game total
44.5
LV vs WRs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.4 points, #44 among WRs this week, 1.0 points behind #36, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 14.7 points last game against a typical 7.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
45Malik Washington▲WR · MIAvsCINBENCHCIN allow 14% fewer points to WRs7.3
3–13 rangeBENCH
Recent form
6
9
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsCINGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 8.5
Game total
46.5
CIN vs WRs
14% fewer points
Last game snaps
86%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.3 points, #45 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- CIN's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 11.1 points last game against a typical 6.1 (trending up).
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
Projection 7.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
46Khalil Shakir▼WR · BUF@LABENCHScored 1.6 last game, typical 9.27.2
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
9
7
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game
This week's matchup
@LAGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
BUF underdogs by 2.5
Game total
52.5
LA vs WRs
1% more points
Last game snaps
73%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.2 points, #46 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Scored 1.6 points last game against a typical 9.2 (trending down).
- Upside: BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 73% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
47Quentin Johnston▼WR · LACvsDENBENCHScored 7 last game, typical 11.47.1
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
4
2
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 2.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs WRs
13% fewer points
Last game snaps
87%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.1 points, #47 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Scored 7 points last game against a typical 11.4 (trending down).
- DEN's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 87% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
48Chris Godwin Jr.WR · TB@DALBENCHTB expected to score only ~19, a tough spot7.0
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
8
9
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 9.5
Game total
47.5
DAL vs WRs
18% more points
Last game snaps
62%
Why we say bench
- Projected 7.0 points, #48 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: DAL's defense has allowed 18% more points to WRs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
49Cooper Kupp▲WR · SEAvsSFBENCHProjected 6.9 · #49 among WRs6.9
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
6
4
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsSFGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs WRs
League average
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.9 points, #49 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: Scored 14.6 points last game against a typical 6.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
50Antonio WilliamsWR · WASvsNYGBENCHProjected 6.9 · #50 among WRs6.9
3–12 rangeBENCH
Recent form
16
5
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYGGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
WAS favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
NYG vs WRs
10% more points
Last game snaps
41%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.9 points, #50 among WRs this week, outside the top 36.
- Upside: Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 41% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.