Fantasy · Week 5 · 2026

Win your week. Start the right players.

Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank

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On bye: CAR, KC

  1. 1ARITrey McBrideTE · ARIvsDETDETMUST STARTDET allow 47% more points to TEs14.15–25 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 13.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    ARIARIvsDETDETDETGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    ARI underdogs by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5
    DET vs TEs
    47% more points
    Last game snaps
    91%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 14.1 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • DET's defense has allowed 47% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 11.3 targets a game.
    • Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 14.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  2. 2LVBrock Bowers▲TE · LV@NENEMUST STARTScored 22.6 last game, typical 10.311.84–21 range

    Recent form

    W3

    Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    LVLV@NENENEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LV underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    44.5
    NE vs TEs
    15% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    79%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 11.8 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 22.6 points last game against a typical 10.3 (trending up).
    • Concern: NE's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 13 targets a game.
    • Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 11.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  3. 3SFGeorge Kittle▲TE · SF@SEASEAMUST STARTScored 23.2 last game, typical 10.211.34–20 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    SFSF@SEASEASEAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    SF underdogs by 3
    Game total
    47.5
    SEA vs TEs
    1% more points
    Last game snaps
    85%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 11.3 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Scored 23.2 points last game against a typical 10.2 (trending up).
    • Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
    • Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 11.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  4. 4INDTyler WarrenTE · IND@PITPITMUST STARTMore work with Keenan Allen out9.84–17 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    INDIND@PITPITPITGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    IND underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    44.5
    PIT vs TEs
    9% more points
    Last game snaps
    94%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 9.8 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).
    • Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
    • Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  5. 5DETSam LaPortaTE · DET@ARIARIMUST STARTARI allow 31% more points to TEs9.53–17 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    DETDET@ARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5
    ARI vs TEs
    31% more points
    Last game snaps
    92%

    Why we say must start

    • Projected 9.5 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
    • ARI's defense has allowed 31% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
    • Played 92% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  6. 6DALJake FergusonTE · DALvsTBTBSTARTTB allow 20% more points to TEs9.33–16 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsTBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL favored by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    TB vs TEs
    20% more points
    Last game snaps
    69%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 9.3 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • TB's defense has allowed 20% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
    • Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 9.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  7. 7CINMike Gesicki▲TE · CIN@MIAMIASTARTScored 11.2 last game, typical 4.18.73–15 range

    Recent form

    W1W3

    Dashed line: the usual 4.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    CINCIN@MIAMIAMIAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    CIN favored by 8.5
    Game total
    46.5
    MIA vs TEs
    22% more points
    Last game snaps
    51%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.7 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 11.2 points last game against a typical 4.1 (trending up).
    • MIA's defense has allowed 22% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 5 targets a game.
    • Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  8. 8CLEHarold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE@NYJNYJSTARTProjected 8.7 · #8 among TEs8.73–15 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3W4

    Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    CLECLE@NYJNYJNYJGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~20 pts
    Vegas line
    CLE underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    40.5
    NYJ vs TEs
    2% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    89%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.7 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 5.8 targets a game.
    • Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.7 · High confidence · Full player page →

  9. 9BUFDalton Kincaid▼TE · BUF@LALASTARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot8.43–15 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    BUFBUF@LALALAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    BUF underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    52.5
    LA vs TEs
    14% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    67%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.4 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Concern: Scored 2.8 points last game against a typical 7.6 (trending down).
    • Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
    • Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  10. 10NOJuwan Johnson▲TE · NOvsMINMINSTARTScored 19.3 last game, typical 7.48.43–15 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    NONOvsMINMINMINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NO underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    44.5
    MIN vs TEs
    23% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    62%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 8.4 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Scored 19.3 points last game against a typical 7.4 (trending up).
    • Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 23% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
    • Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 8.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  11. 11HOUDalton SchultzTE · HOU@TENTENSTARTProjected 7.8 · #11 among TEs7.83–14 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game

    This week's matchup

    HOUHOU@TENTENTENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    HOU favored by 6.5
    Game total
    39.5
    TEN vs TEs
    9% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    54%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 7.8 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
    • Played 54% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  12. 12SEAAJ BarnerTE · SEAvsSFSFSTARTSEA expected to score ~25, a strong spot6.52–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    SEASEAvsSFSFSFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~25 pts
    Vegas line
    SEA favored by 3
    Game total
    47.5
    SF vs TEs
    League average
    Last game snaps
    91%

    Why we say start

    • Projected 6.5 points, #12 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
    • SEA's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 4 targets a game.
    • Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  13. 13GBTucker Kraft▼TE · GBvsCHICHIFLEXProjected 6.5 · #13 among TEs6.52–12 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 10.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    GBGBvsCHICHICHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    GB favored by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    CHI vs TEs
    15% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    76%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 6.5 points, #13 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • Concern: Scored 4.6 points last game against a typical 10.1 (trending down).
    • Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
    • Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →

  14. 14NYGIsaiah LikelyTE · NYG@WASWASFLEXWAS allow 38% more points to TEs6.32–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 3.4 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYGNYG@WASWASWASGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYG underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    WAS vs TEs
    38% more points
    Last game snaps
    84%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 6.3 points, #14 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • WAS's defense has allowed 38% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
    • Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  15. 15PHIZach Ertz▼TE · PHI@JAXJAXFLEXMoves up to No. 1 TE6.12–11 range

    Recent form

    W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    PHIPHI@JAXJAXJAXGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    PHI underdogs by 3
    Game total
    44.5
    JAX vs TEs
    4% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    38%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 6.1 points, #15 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
    • Concern: Scored 1.4 points last game against a typical 6.8 (trending down).
    • Averaging 2 targets a game.
    • Played 38% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  16. 16ATLKyle Pitts▼TE · ATLvsBALBALFLEXProjected 6.1 · #16 among TEs6.12–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    ATLATLvsBALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    ATL underdogs by 6
    Game total
    49.5
    BAL vs TEs
    17% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    59%

    Why we say flex

    • Projected 6.1 points, #16 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
    • Concern: Scored 1 points last game against a typical 8.8 (trending down).
    • Averaging 2 targets a game.
    • Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  17. 17MINT.J. HockensonTE · MIN@NONOBENCHProjected 6.0 · 0.1 behind #166.02–11 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    MINMIN@NONONOGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    MIN favored by 2.5
    Game total
    44.5
    NO vs TEs
    8% more points
    Last game snaps
    85%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 6.0 points, #17 among TEs this week, 0.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
    • Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
    • Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 6.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  18. 18NEHunter Henry▼TE · NEvsLVLVBENCHScored 1 last game, typical 7.85.82–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    NENEvsLVLVLVGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    NE favored by 3.5
    Game total
    44.5
    LV vs TEs
    1% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    70%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 5.8 points, #18 among TEs this week, 0.3 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Scored 1 points last game against a typical 7.8 (trending down).
    • Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
    • Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  19. 19BALMark AndrewsTE · BAL@ATLATLBENCHProjected 5.4 · 0.7 behind #165.42–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    BALBAL@ATLATLATLGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    BAL favored by 6
    Game total
    49.5
    ATL vs TEs
    9% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    52%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 5.4 points, #19 among TEs this week, 0.7 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
    • Averaging 6 targets a game.
    • Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  20. 20PITDarnell Washington▲TE · PITvsINDINDBENCHProjected 5.4 · 0.7 behind #165.42–10 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3W4

    Dashed line: the usual 3.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    PITPITvsINDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PIT favored by 1.5
    Game total
    44.5
    IND vs TEs
    18% more points
    Last game snaps
    71%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 5.4 points, #20 among TEs this week, 0.7 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Upside: Scored 10.2 points last game against a typical 3.9 (trending up).
    • Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
    • Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →

  21. 21TBCade OttonTE · TB@DALDALBENCHTB expected to score only ~19, a tough spot5.12–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    TBTB@DALDALDALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    TB underdogs by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    DAL vs TEs
    2% more points
    Last game snaps
    94%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 5.1 points, #21 among TEs this week, 1.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
    • Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  22. 22LACOronde Gadsden II▼TE · LACvsDENDENBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 6.35.12–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    LACLACvsDENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LAC underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    DEN vs TEs
    3% more points
    Last game snaps
    57%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 5.1 points, #22 among TEs this week, 1.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • Scored 0 points last game against a typical 6.3 (trending down).
    • Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
    • Averaging 2.3 targets a game.
    • Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.1 · High confidence · Full player page →

  23. 23CHIColston LovelandTE · CHI@GBGBBENCHGB allow 13% fewer points to TEs5.02–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 7.6 a game

    This week's matchup

    CHICHI@GBGBGBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    CHI underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    GB vs TEs
    13% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    79%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 5.0 points, #23 among TEs this week, 1.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • GB's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 3 targets a game.
    • Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →

  24. 24JAXBrenton StrangeTE · JAXvsPHIPHIBENCHPHI allow 45% fewer points to TEs4.92–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 6.8 a game

    This week's matchup

    JAXJAXvsPHIPHIPHIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    JAX favored by 3
    Game total
    44.5
    PHI vs TEs
    45% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    77%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.9 points, #24 among TEs this week, 1.2 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
    • PHI's defense has allowed 45% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
    • Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  25. 25MIAGreg DulcichTE · MIAvsCINCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot4.92–9 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 4.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    MIAMIAvsCINCINCINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    MIA underdogs by 8.5
    Game total
    46.5
    CIN vs TEs
    53% more points
    Last game snaps
    70%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.9 points, #25 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 53% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 4 targets a game.
    • Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.9 · High confidence · Full player page →

  26. 26WASChig OkonkwoTE · WASvsNYGNYGBENCHNYG allow 15% fewer points to TEs4.82–9 range

    Recent form

    W1

    Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game

    This week's matchup

    WASWASvsNYGNYGNYGGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    WAS favored by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    NYG vs TEs
    15% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    56%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.8 points, #26 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • NYG's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 3 targets a game.
    • Played 56% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 4.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  27. 27DETMiles KitselmanTE · DET@ARIARIBENCHProjected 4.2 · #27 among TEs4.22–7 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DETDET@ARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5
    ARI vs TEs
    31% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.2 points, #27 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 31% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  28. 28DETThomas GordonTE · DET@ARIARIBENCHProjected 4.2 · #28 among TEs4.22–7 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DETDET@ARIARIARIGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DET favored by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5
    ARI vs TEs
    31% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.2 points, #28 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 31% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  29. 29DALMichael TriggTE · DALvsTBTBBENCHProjected 4.1 · #29 among TEs4.12–7 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsTBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL favored by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    TB vs TEs
    20% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.1 points, #29 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: TB's defense has allowed 20% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  30. 30DALMitch Van VoorenTE · DALvsTBTBBENCHProjected 4.1 · #30 among TEs4.12–7 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    DALDALvsTBTBTBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~29 pts
    Vegas line
    DAL favored by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    TB vs TEs
    20% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.1 points, #30 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: TB's defense has allowed 20% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  31. 31ARIShawn BowmanTE · ARIvsDETDETBENCHProjected 4.0 · #31 among TEs4.01–7 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    ARIARIvsDETDETDETGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~24 pts
    Vegas line
    ARI underdogs by 5.5
    Game total
    52.5
    DET vs TEs
    47% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.0 points, #31 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: DET's defense has allowed 47% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 4.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  32. 32NYJKenyon SadiqQ▲TE · NYJvsCLECLEBENCHQuestionable — back injury4.00–7 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 3.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    NYJNYJvsCLECLECLEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYJ favored by 1.5
    Game total
    40.5
    CLE vs TEs
    2% more points
    Last game snaps
    58%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 4.0 points, #32 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Questionable — back injury.
    • If active, about 6.4 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
    • Upside: Scored 20 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
    • Averaging 4.7 targets a game.

    Projection 4.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  33. 33PITPat FreiermuthTE · PITvsINDINDBENCHProjected 3.8 · #33 among TEs3.81–7 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3W4

    Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game

    This week's matchup

    PITPITvsINDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PIT favored by 1.5
    Game total
    44.5
    IND vs TEs
    18% more points
    Last game snaps
    75%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.8 points, #33 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: IND's defense has allowed 18% more points to TEs than the league average.
    • Averaging 4.8 targets a game.
    • Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
    • No. 2 TE on the depth chart.

    Projection 3.8 · High confidence · Full player page →

  34. 34PITLake McReeTE · PITvsINDINDBENCHProjected 3.8 · #34 among TEs3.81–7 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    PITPITvsINDINDINDGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    PIT favored by 1.5
    Game total
    44.5
    IND vs TEs
    18% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.8 points, #34 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: IND's defense has allowed 18% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  35. 35MIATre WatsonTE · MIAvsCINCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot3.71–7 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    MIAMIAvsCINCINCINGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    MIA underdogs by 8.5
    Game total
    46.5
    CIN vs TEs
    53% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.7 points, #35 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
    • Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 53% more points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  36. 36BALNick VannettTE · BAL@ATLATLBENCHProjected 3.6 · #36 among TEs3.61–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    BALBAL@ATLATLATLGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    BAL favored by 6
    Game total
    49.5
    ATL vs TEs
    9% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.6 points, #36 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.

    Projection 3.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  37. 37INDKenny Fletcher Jr.TE · IND@PITPITBENCHProjected 3.6 · #37 among TEs3.61–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    INDIND@PITPITPITGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    IND underdogs by 1.5
    Game total
    44.5
    PIT vs TEs
    9% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.6 points, #37 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.

    Projection 3.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  38. 38LATyler Higbee▲TE · LAvsBUFBUFBENCHBUF allow 37% fewer points to TEs3.51–6 range

    Recent form

    W1W3

    Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game

    This week's matchup

    LALAvsBUFBUFBUFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    LA favored by 2.5
    Game total
    52.5
    BUF vs TEs
    37% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    71%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.5 points, #38 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • BUF's defense has allowed 37% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Upside: Scored 16.2 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
    • Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
    • Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →

  39. 39NYJCody HardyTE · NYJvsCLECLEBENCHProjected 3.5 · #39 among TEs3.51–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    NYJNYJvsCLECLECLEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    NYJ favored by 1.5
    Game total
    40.5
    CLE vs TEs
    2% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.5 points, #39 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.

    Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  40. 40LACEvan SvobodaTE · LACvsDENDENBENCHProjected 3.5 · #40 among TEs3.51–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    LACLACvsDENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LAC underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    DEN vs TEs
    3% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.5 points, #40 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.

    Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  41. 41SFKhalil DinkinsTE · SF@SEASEABENCHProjected 3.5 · #41 among TEs3.51–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    SFSF@SEASEASEAGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    SF underdogs by 3
    Game total
    47.5
    SEA vs TEs
    1% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.5 points, #41 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.

    Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  42. 42LACPatrick HerbertTE · LACvsDENDENBENCHProjected 3.5 · #42 among TEs3.51–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    LACLACvsDENDENDENGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LAC underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    DEN vs TEs
    3% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.5 points, #42 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.

    Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  43. 43TBCJ DippreTE · TB@DALDALBENCHTB expected to score only ~19, a tough spot3.41–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    TBTB@DALDALDALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~19 pts
    Vegas line
    TB underdogs by 9.5
    Game total
    47.5
    DAL vs TEs
    2% more points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.4 points, #43 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.

    Projection 3.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  44. 44LADan VillariTE · LAvsBUFBUFBENCHBUF allow 37% fewer points to TEs3.31–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    LALAvsBUFBUFBUFGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~28 pts
    Vegas line
    LA favored by 2.5
    Game total
    52.5
    BUF vs TEs
    37% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.3 points, #44 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • BUF's defense has allowed 37% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Upside: LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.

    Projection 3.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  45. 45DENEvan Engram▼TE · DEN@LACLACBENCHLAC allow 19% fewer points to TEs3.31–6 range

    Recent form

    W1W2W3

    Dashed line: the usual 4.3 a game

    This week's matchup

    DENDEN@LACLACLACGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    DEN favored by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    LAC vs TEs
    19% fewer points
    Last game snaps
    60%

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.3 points, #45 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • LAC's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
    • Scored 0 points last game against a typical 4.3 (trending down).
    • Averaging 2.7 targets a game.
    • Played 60% of the offense's snaps last game.

    Projection 3.3 · High confidence · Full player page →

  46. 46ATLJack VellingTE · ATLvsBALBALBENCHBAL allow 17% fewer points to TEs3.21–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    ATLATLvsBALBALBALGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    ATL underdogs by 6
    Game total
    49.5
    BAL vs TEs
    17% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.2 points, #46 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • BAL's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  47. 47CHIQadir IsmailTE · CHI@GBGBBENCHGB allow 13% fewer points to TEs3.21–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    CHICHI@GBGBGBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    CHI underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    GB vs TEs
    13% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.2 points, #47 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • GB's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  48. 48WASJoshua SimonTE · WASvsNYGNYGBENCHNYG allow 15% fewer points to TEs3.21–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    WASWASvsNYGNYGNYGGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~23 pts
    Vegas line
    WAS favored by 2.5
    Game total
    43.5
    NYG vs TEs
    15% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.2 points, #48 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • NYG's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  49. 49LVChris MyarickTE · LV@NENEBENCHNE allow 15% fewer points to TEs3.21–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    LVLV@NENENEGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~21 pts
    Vegas line
    LV underdogs by 3.5
    Game total
    44.5
    NE vs TEs
    15% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.2 points, #49 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • NE's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →

  50. 50CHIStephen CarlsonTE · CHI@GBGBBENCHGB allow 13% fewer points to TEs3.21–6 range

    Recent form

    No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.

    This week's matchup

    CHICHI@GBGBGBGame page →
    Expected team score
    ~22 pts
    Vegas line
    CHI underdogs by 2.5
    Game total
    45.5
    GB vs TEs
    13% fewer points

    Why we say bench

    • Projected 3.2 points, #50 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
    • GB's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.

    Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.