Fantasy · Week 5 · 2026
Win your week. Start the right players.
Our own start/sit calls for every player, with a projected score, the range of likely outcomes and the reasons spelled out. Built from usage, matchup, Vegas lines and injuries. How we rank
Our top pick at every position
Josh Allen
BUF @ LA
24.8proj
MUST STARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot
Running back · #1Jahmyr Gibbs
DET @ ARI
27.2proj
MUST STARTScored 37.9 last game, typical 17.3
Wide receiver · #1Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA vs SF
22.5proj
MUST STARTScored 30.4 last game, typical 15.8
Tight end · #1Trey McBride
ARI vs DET
14.1proj
MUST STARTDET allow 47% more points to TEs
Kicker · #1Brandon Aubrey
DAL vs TB
11.4proj
MUST STARTDAL expected to score ~29, plenty of drives
Defense · #1Texans D/ST
HOU @ TEN
10.3proj
MUST STARTTEN offense gives defenses 36% more points
Your toolkit
Full rankings
Each position has its own page: QB rankings · RB rankings · WR rankings · TE rankings · Flex rankings · K rankings · D/ST rankings
On bye: CAR, KC
1Trey McBrideTE · ARIvsDETMUST STARTDET allow 47% more points to TEs14.1
5–25 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 13.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- DET vs TEs
- 47% more points
- Last game snaps
- 91%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.1 points, #1 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- DET's defense has allowed 47% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Brock Bowers▲TE · LV@NEMUST STARTScored 22.6 last game, typical 10.311.8
4–21 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 10.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NE vs TEs
- 15% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 79%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.8 points, #2 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 22.6 points last game against a typical 10.3 (trending up).
- Concern: NE's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 13 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
3George Kittle▲TE · SF@SEAMUST STARTScored 23.2 last game, typical 10.211.3
4–20 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 10.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- SF underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SEA vs TEs
- 1% more points
- Last game snaps
- 85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 11.3 points, #3 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Scored 23.2 points last game against a typical 10.2 (trending up).
- Averaging 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Tyler WarrenTE · IND@PITMUST STARTMore work with Keenan Allen out9.8
4–17 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- IND underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- PIT vs TEs
- 9% more points
- Last game snaps
- 94%
Why we say must start
- Projected 9.8 points, #4 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- Keenan Allen out: more work to go around (about +1.4 points).
- Averaging 7.3 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Sam LaPortaTE · DET@ARIMUST STARTARI allow 31% more points to TEs9.5
3–17 rangeMUST STARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 31% more points
- Last game snaps
- 92%
Why we say must start
- Projected 9.5 points, #5 among TEs this week, inside the top 5 we call must-starts.
- ARI's defense has allowed 31% more points to TEs than the league average.
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 92% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Jake FergusonTE · DALvsTBSTARTTB allow 20% more points to TEs9.3
3–16 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.7 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs TEs
- 20% more points
- Last game snaps
- 69%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.3 points, #6 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- TB's defense has allowed 20% more points to TEs than the league average.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
7Mike Gesicki▲TE · CIN@MIASTARTScored 11.2 last game, typical 4.18.7
3–15 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W3Dashed line: the usual 4.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- CIN favored by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- MIA vs TEs
- 22% more points
- Last game snaps
- 51%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.7 points, #7 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 11.2 points last game against a typical 4.1 (trending up).
- MIA's defense has allowed 22% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 5 targets a game.
- Played 51% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
8Harold Fannin Jr.TE · CLE@NYJSTARTProjected 8.7 · #8 among TEs8.7
3–15 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~20 pts
- Vegas line
- CLE underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- NYJ vs TEs
- 2% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 89%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.7 points, #8 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.8 targets a game.
- Played 89% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Dalton Kincaid▼TE · BUF@LASTARTBUF expected to score ~25, a strong spot8.4
3–15 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- BUF underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- LA vs TEs
- 14% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 67%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.4 points, #9 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 2.8 points last game against a typical 7.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 67% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Juwan Johnson▲TE · NOvsMINSTARTScored 19.3 last game, typical 7.48.4
3–15 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NO underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- MIN vs TEs
- 23% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 62%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.4 points, #10 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Scored 19.3 points last game against a typical 7.4 (trending up).
- Concern: MIN's defense has allowed 23% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 6.3 targets a game.
- Played 62% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Dalton SchultzTE · HOU@TENSTARTProjected 7.8 · #11 among TEs7.8
3–14 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.2 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- HOU favored by 6.5
- Game total
- 39.5
- TEN vs TEs
- 9% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 54%
Why we say start
- Projected 7.8 points, #11 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 8.3 targets a game.
- Played 54% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
12AJ BarnerTE · SEAvsSFSTARTSEA expected to score ~25, a strong spot6.5
2–12 rangeSTARTRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~25 pts
- Vegas line
- SEA favored by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SF vs TEs
- League average
- Last game snaps
- 91%
Why we say start
- Projected 6.5 points, #12 among TEs this week, inside the top 12 we recommend starting.
- SEA's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 91% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Tucker Kraft▼TE · GBvsCHIFLEXProjected 6.5 · #13 among TEs6.5
2–12 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 10.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- GB favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- CHI vs TEs
- 15% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 76%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.5 points, #13 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Concern: Scored 4.6 points last game against a typical 10.1 (trending down).
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Isaiah LikelyTE · NYG@WASFLEXWAS allow 38% more points to TEs6.3
2–11 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.4 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYG underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- WAS vs TEs
- 38% more points
- Last game snaps
- 84%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.3 points, #14 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- WAS's defense has allowed 38% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 7.7 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Zach Ertz▼TE · PHI@JAXFLEXMoves up to No. 1 TE6.1
2–11 rangeFLEXRecent form
W3Dashed line: the usual 6.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- PHI underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- JAX vs TEs
- 4% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 38%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.1 points, #15 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Concern: Scored 1.4 points last game against a typical 6.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 38% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Kyle Pitts▼TE · ATLvsBALFLEXProjected 6.1 · #16 among TEs6.1
2–11 rangeFLEXRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 8.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- BAL vs TEs
- 17% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 59%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.1 points, #16 among TEs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #12).
- Concern: Scored 1 points last game against a typical 8.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 2 targets a game.
- Played 59% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
17T.J. HockensonTE · MIN@NOBENCHProjected 6.0 · 0.1 behind #166.0
2–11 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- MIN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NO vs TEs
- 8% more points
- Last game snaps
- 85%
Why we say bench
- Projected 6.0 points, #17 among TEs this week, 0.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Justin Jefferson out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
- Averaging 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Hunter Henry▼TE · NEvsLVBENCHScored 1 last game, typical 7.85.8
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- NE favored by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- LV vs TEs
- 1% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 70%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.8 points, #18 among TEs this week, 0.3 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 1 points last game against a typical 7.8 (trending down).
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Mark AndrewsTE · BAL@ATLBENCHProjected 5.4 · 0.7 behind #165.4
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- ATL vs TEs
- 9% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 52%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.4 points, #19 among TEs this week, 0.7 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 6 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
20Darnell Washington▲TE · PITvsINDBENCHProjected 5.4 · 0.7 behind #165.4
2–10 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 3.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs TEs
- 18% more points
- Last game snaps
- 71%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.4 points, #20 among TEs this week, 0.7 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 10.2 points last game against a typical 3.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Cade OttonTE · TB@DALBENCHTB expected to score only ~19, a tough spot5.1
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- DAL vs TEs
- 2% more points
- Last game snaps
- 94%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.1 points, #21 among TEs this week, 1.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 94% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
22Oronde Gadsden II▼TE · LACvsDENBENCHScored 0 last game, typical 6.35.1
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- DEN vs TEs
- 3% more points
- Last game snaps
- 57%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.1 points, #22 among TEs this week, 1.0 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 6.3 (trending down).
- Upside: Moves up to No. 1 TE on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Colston LovelandTE · CHI@GBBENCHGB allow 13% fewer points to TEs5.0
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 7.6 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs TEs
- 13% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 79%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.0 points, #23 among TEs this week, 1.1 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- GB's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 79% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
24Brenton StrangeTE · JAXvsPHIBENCHPHI allow 45% fewer points to TEs4.9
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 6.8 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- JAX favored by 3
- Game total
- 44.5
- PHI vs TEs
- 45% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 77%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.9 points, #24 among TEs this week, 1.2 points behind #16, the last one we'd start.
- PHI's defense has allowed 45% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.3 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Greg DulcichTE · MIAvsCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot4.9
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- MIA underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- CIN vs TEs
- 53% more points
- Last game snaps
- 70%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.9 points, #25 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 53% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4 targets a game.
- Played 70% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Chig OkonkwoTE · WASvsNYGBENCHNYG allow 15% fewer points to TEs4.8
2–9 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1Dashed line: the usual 5.1 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYG vs TEs
- 15% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 56%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.8 points, #26 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- NYG's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 3 targets a game.
- Played 56% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Miles KitselmanTE · DET@ARIBENCHProjected 4.2 · #27 among TEs4.2
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 31% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #27 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 31% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
28Thomas GordonTE · DET@ARIBENCHProjected 4.2 · #28 among TEs4.2
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DET favored by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- ARI vs TEs
- 31% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.2 points, #28 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: ARI's defense has allowed 31% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
29Michael TriggTE · DALvsTBBENCHProjected 4.1 · #29 among TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs TEs
- 20% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #29 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: TB's defense has allowed 20% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
30Mitch Van VoorenTE · DALvsTBBENCHProjected 4.1 · #30 among TEs4.1
2–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~29 pts
- Vegas line
- DAL favored by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- TB vs TEs
- 20% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.1 points, #30 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: TB's defense has allowed 20% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.1 · Low confidence · Full player page →
31Shawn BowmanTE · ARIvsDETBENCHProjected 4.0 · #31 among TEs4.0
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~24 pts
- Vegas line
- ARI underdogs by 5.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- DET vs TEs
- 47% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.0 points, #31 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: DET's defense has allowed 47% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 4.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
32Kenyon SadiqQ▲TE · NYJvsCLEBENCHQuestionable — back injury4.0
0–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 3.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- CLE vs TEs
- 2% more points
- Last game snaps
- 58%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.0 points, #32 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Questionable — back injury.
- If active, about 6.4 points; the projection is discounted for the chance of not playing.
- Upside: Scored 20 points last game against a typical 3.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 4.7 targets a game.
Projection 4.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
33Pat FreiermuthTE · PITvsINDBENCHProjected 3.8 · #33 among TEs3.8
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3W4Dashed line: the usual 5.5 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs TEs
- 18% more points
- Last game snaps
- 75%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #33 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: IND's defense has allowed 18% more points to TEs than the league average.
- Averaging 4.8 targets a game.
- Played 75% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 TE on the depth chart.
Projection 3.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
34Lake McReeTE · PITvsINDBENCHProjected 3.8 · #34 among TEs3.8
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- PIT favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- IND vs TEs
- 18% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.8 points, #34 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: IND's defense has allowed 18% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.8 · Low confidence · Full player page →
35Tre WatsonTE · MIAvsCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot3.7
1–7 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- MIA underdogs by 8.5
- Game total
- 46.5
- CIN vs TEs
- 53% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.7 points, #35 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 53% more points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.7 · Low confidence · Full player page →
36Nick VannettTE · BAL@ATLBENCHProjected 3.6 · #36 among TEs3.6
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- BAL favored by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- ATL vs TEs
- 9% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.6 points, #36 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- Upside: BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →
37Kenny Fletcher Jr.TE · IND@PITBENCHProjected 3.6 · #37 among TEs3.6
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- IND underdogs by 1.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- PIT vs TEs
- 9% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.6 points, #37 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.6 · Low confidence · Full player page →
38Tyler Higbee▲TE · LAvsBUFBENCHBUF allow 37% fewer points to TEs3.5
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W3Dashed line: the usual 4.9 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- BUF vs TEs
- 37% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 71%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #38 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- BUF's defense has allowed 37% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: Scored 16.2 points last game against a typical 4.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 6.5 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.5 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
39Cody HardyTE · NYJvsCLEBENCHProjected 3.5 · #39 among TEs3.5
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- NYJ favored by 1.5
- Game total
- 40.5
- CLE vs TEs
- 2% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #39 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
40Evan SvobodaTE · LACvsDENBENCHProjected 3.5 · #40 among TEs3.5
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- DEN vs TEs
- 3% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #40 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
41Khalil DinkinsTE · SF@SEABENCHProjected 3.5 · #41 among TEs3.5
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- SF underdogs by 3
- Game total
- 47.5
- SEA vs TEs
- 1% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #41 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
42Patrick HerbertTE · LACvsDENBENCHProjected 3.5 · #42 among TEs3.5
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LAC underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- DEN vs TEs
- 3% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.5 points, #42 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
Projection 3.5 · Low confidence · Full player page →
43CJ DippreTE · TB@DALBENCHTB expected to score only ~19, a tough spot3.4
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~19 pts
- Vegas line
- TB underdogs by 9.5
- Game total
- 47.5
- DAL vs TEs
- 2% more points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.4 points, #43 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
Projection 3.4 · Low confidence · Full player page →
44Dan VillariTE · LAvsBUFBENCHBUF allow 37% fewer points to TEs3.3
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~28 pts
- Vegas line
- LA favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 52.5
- BUF vs TEs
- 37% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #44 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- BUF's defense has allowed 37% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Upside: LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
Projection 3.3 · Low confidence · Full player page →
45Evan Engram▼TE · DEN@LACBENCHLAC allow 19% fewer points to TEs3.3
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
W1W2W3Dashed line: the usual 4.3 a game
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- DEN favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- LAC vs TEs
- 19% fewer points
- Last game snaps
- 60%
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.3 points, #45 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- LAC's defense has allowed 19% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
- Scored 0 points last game against a typical 4.3 (trending down).
- Averaging 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 60% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 3.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
46Jack VellingTE · ATLvsBALBENCHBAL allow 17% fewer points to TEs3.2
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- ATL underdogs by 6
- Game total
- 49.5
- BAL vs TEs
- 17% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.2 points, #46 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- BAL's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
47Qadir IsmailTE · CHI@GBBENCHGB allow 13% fewer points to TEs3.2
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs TEs
- 13% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.2 points, #47 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- GB's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
48Joshua SimonTE · WASvsNYGBENCHNYG allow 15% fewer points to TEs3.2
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~23 pts
- Vegas line
- WAS favored by 2.5
- Game total
- 43.5
- NYG vs TEs
- 15% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.2 points, #48 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- NYG's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
49Chris MyarickTE · LV@NEBENCHNE allow 15% fewer points to TEs3.2
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~21 pts
- Vegas line
- LV underdogs by 3.5
- Game total
- 44.5
- NE vs TEs
- 15% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.2 points, #49 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- NE's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
50Stephen CarlsonTE · CHI@GBBENCHGB allow 13% fewer points to TEs3.2
1–6 rangeBENCHRecent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.5 a game.
This week's matchup
- Expected team score
- ~22 pts
- Vegas line
- CHI underdogs by 2.5
- Game total
- 45.5
- GB vs TEs
- 13% fewer points
Why we say bench
- Projected 3.2 points, #50 among TEs this week, outside the top 16.
- GB's defense has allowed 13% fewer points to TEs than the league average.
Projection 3.2 · Low confidence · Full player page →
How we rank
Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.
We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.
The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.
Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.