Fantasy Football Rankings & Start/Sit

1Jahmyr Gibbs▲RB · DET@ARIMUST STARTScored 34.4 last game, typical 15.324.5
12–40 rangeMUST START
Recent form
29
17
34
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.3 a game
This week's matchup
@ARIGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DET favored by 5.5
Game total
52.5
ARI vs RBs
14% more points
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say must start
- Projected 24.5 points, #1 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 34.4 points last game against a typical 15.3 (trending up).
- DET's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 21.7 carries and 7 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 24.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
2Derrick Henry▲RB · BAL@ATLMUST STARTScored 20.9 last game, typical 13.917.4
8–28 rangeMUST START
Recent form
34
15
21
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 13.9 a game
This week's matchup
@ATLGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 6
Game total
49.5
ATL vs RBs
14% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say must start
- Projected 17.4 points, #2 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 20.9 points last game against a typical 13.9 (trending up).
- BAL's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: ATL's defense has allowed 14% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 22 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
Projection 17.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
3Bijan Robinson▲RB · ATLvsBALMUST STARTScored 33.3 last game, typical 15.417.4
8–28 rangeMUST START
Recent form
23
8
33
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 15.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 6
Game total
49.5
BAL vs RBs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say must start
- Projected 17.4 points, #3 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 33.3 points last game against a typical 15.4 (trending up).
- Averaging 22 carries and 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 17.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
4Jonathan Taylor▼RB · IND@PITMUST STARTProjected 16.5 · #4 among RBs16.5
8–27 rangeMUST START
Recent form
22
25
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.6 a game
This week's matchup
@PITGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
IND underdogs by 1.5
Game total
44.5
PIT vs RBs
6% fewer points
Last game snaps
85%
Why we say must start
- Projected 16.5 points, #4 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: Scored 7.2 points last game against a typical 16.6 (trending down).
- Averaging 22 carries and 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 85% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 16.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
5Kyren WilliamsRB · LAvsBUFMUST STARTBUF allow 19% more points to RBs15.1
7–25 rangeMUST START
Recent form
13
14
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 12.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsBUFGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 2.5
Game total
52.5
BUF vs RBs
19% more points
Last game snaps
71%
Why we say must start
- Projected 15.1 points, #5 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- BUF's defense has allowed 19% more points to RBs than the league average.
- LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Averaging 12.7 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 71% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 15.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
6Christian McCaffreyRB · SF@SEAMUST STARTProjected 14.3 · #6 among RBs14.3
7–23 rangeMUST START
Recent form
9
19
18
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 16.6 a game
This week's matchup
@SEAGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
SF underdogs by 3
Game total
47.5
SEA vs RBs
28% fewer points
Last game snaps
83%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.3 points, #6 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Concern: SEA's defense has allowed 28% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.7 carries and 5.7 targets a game.
- Played 83% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 14.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
7James Cook▲RB · BUF@LAMUST STARTScored 19.4 last game, typical 14.214.3
7–23 rangeMUST START
Recent form
7
20
19
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 14.2 a game
This week's matchup
@LAGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
BUF underdogs by 2.5
Game total
52.5
LA vs RBs
17% fewer points
Last game snaps
67%
Why we say must start
- Projected 14.3 points, #7 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- Scored 19.4 points last game against a typical 14.2 (trending up).
- BUF's offense is expected to score about 25 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: LA's defense has allowed 17% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 19.3 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
Projection 14.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
8D'Andre SwiftRB · CHI@GBMUST STARTGB allow 14% more points to RBs12.4
6–20 rangeMUST START
Recent form
31
8
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.8 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 2.5
Game total
45.5
GB vs RBs
14% more points
Last game snaps
69%
Why we say must start
- Projected 12.4 points, #8 among RBs this week, inside the top 8 we call must-starts.
- GB's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 18 carries and 3 targets a game.
- Played 69% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
9Javonte Williams▲RB · DALvsTBSTARTDAL expected to score ~29, a strong spot12.4
6–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
19
5
16
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsTBGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DAL favored by 9.5
Game total
47.5
TB vs RBs
9% fewer points
Last game snaps
76%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.4 points, #9 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- DAL's offense is expected to score about 29 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Scored 16.3 points last game against a typical 11.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 14.3 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 76% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 12.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
10Chase Brown▼RB · CIN@MIASTARTMIA allow 23% more points to RBs12.2
6–20 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
8
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.2 a game
This week's matchup
@MIAGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
CIN favored by 8.5
Game total
46.5
MIA vs RBs
23% more points
Last game snaps
70%
Why we say start
- Projected 12.2 points, #10 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- MIA's defense has allowed 23% more points to RBs than the league average.
- CIN's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 6.9 points last game against a typical 11.2 (trending down).
- Averaging 16.3 carries and 4.3 targets a game.
Projection 12.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
11Jaylen WarrenRB · PITvsINDSTARTProjected 11.7 · #11 among RBs11.7
6–19 rangeSTART
Recent form
5
8
18
13
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 9.8 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 1.5
Game total
44.5
IND vs RBs
4% more points
Last game snaps
97%
Why we say start
- Projected 11.7 points, #11 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 13.8 carries and 5 targets a game.
- Played 97% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 11.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
12Bhayshul Tuten▲RB · JAXvsPHISTARTScored 15 last game, typical 4.610.2
5–17 rangeSTART
Recent form
9
12
15
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
44.5
PHI vs RBs
2% more points
Last game snaps
48%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.2 points, #12 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Scored 15 points last game against a typical 4.6 (trending up).
- Averaging 14.3 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 48% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 10.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
13Quinshon Judkins▲RB · CLE@NYJSTARTNYJ allow 31% more points to RBs10.1
5–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
5
5
8
16
W1W2W3W4
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
@NYJGame page →
Expected team score
~20 pts
Vegas line
CLE underdogs by 1.5
Game total
40.5
NYJ vs RBs
31% more points
Last game snaps
66%
Why we say start
- Projected 10.1 points, #13 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- NYJ's defense has allowed 31% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Scored 15.6 points last game against a typical 9 (trending up).
- Concern: CLE's offense is expected to score only about 20 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 14.8 carries and 4 targets a game.
Projection 10.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
14Ashton JeantyRB · LV@NESTARTProjected 9.7 · #14 among RBs9.7
5–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
27
6
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.0 a game
This week's matchup
@NEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LV underdogs by 3.5
Game total
44.5
NE vs RBs
15% fewer points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.7 points, #14 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Concern: NE's defense has allowed 15% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 21 carries and 5.3 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
15Cam SkatteboRB · NYG@WASSTARTProjected 9.7 · #15 among RBs9.7
5–16 rangeSTART
Recent form
14
6
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.4 a game
This week's matchup
@WASGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYG underdogs by 2.5
Game total
43.5
WAS vs RBs
5% more points
Last game snaps
77%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.7 points, #15 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 16.7 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 77% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.7 · High confidence · Full player page →
16Bucky IrvingRB · TB@DALSTARTDAL allow 16% more points to RBs9.5
5–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
13
9
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 9.5
Game total
47.5
DAL vs RBs
16% more points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.5 points, #16 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- DAL's defense has allowed 16% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Concern: TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Averaging 13.3 carries and 5 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
17Omarion HamptonRB · LACvsDENSTARTProjected 9.2 · #17 among RBs9.2
4–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
8
16
6
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 2.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs RBs
4% fewer points
Last game snaps
42%
Why we say start
- Projected 9.2 points, #17 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 16.7 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 42% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 9.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
18Aaron JonesRB · MIN@NOSTARTProjected 8.9 · #18 among RBs8.9
4–15 rangeSTART
Recent form
10
11
9
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.5 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NO vs RBs
8% more points
Last game snaps
80%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.9 points, #18 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 17.3 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 80% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
19Jacory Croskey-MerrittRB · WASvsNYGSTARTMore work with Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out8.4
4–14 rangeSTART
Recent form
12
5
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsNYGGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
WAS favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
NYG vs RBs
17% more points
Last game snaps
57%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.4 points, #19 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Terry McLaurin and Rachaad White out: more work to go around (about +1.3 points).
- NYG's defense has allowed 17% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 15.7 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 57% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
20David MontgomeryRB · HOU@TENSTARTProjected 8.2 · #20 among RBs8.2
4–13 rangeSTART
Recent form
26
2
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.5 a game
This week's matchup
@TENGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 6.5
Game total
39.5
TEN vs RBs
3% more points
Last game snaps
63%
Why we say start
- Projected 8.2 points, #20 among RBs this week, inside the top 20 we recommend starting.
- Averaging 12.3 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 63% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
21Saquon BarkleyRB · PHI@JAXFLEXProjected 8.0 · #21 among RBs8.0
4–13 rangeFLEX
Recent form
8
2
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 10.9 a game
This week's matchup
@JAXGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
PHI underdogs by 3
Game total
44.5
JAX vs RBs
24% fewer points
Last game snaps
72%
Why we say flex
- Projected 8.0 points, #21 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: JAX's defense has allowed 24% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 11.3 carries and 2 targets a game.
- Played 72% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 8.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
22TreVeyon Henderson▼RB · NEvsLVFLEXProjected 7.3 · #22 among RBs7.3
4–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
14
3
W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NE favored by 3.5
Game total
44.5
LV vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
37%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.3 points, #22 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: Scored 2.9 points last game against a typical 9 (trending down).
- Averaging 12 carries and 0.5 targets a game.
- Played 37% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 7.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
23Rhamondre Stevenson▼RB · NEvsLVFLEXProjected 7.1 · #23 among RBs7.1
3–12 rangeFLEX
Recent form
10
3
4
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 9.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NE favored by 3.5
Game total
44.5
LV vs RBs
2% fewer points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say flex
- Projected 7.1 points, #23 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: Scored 3.8 points last game against a typical 9.2 (trending down).
- Averaging 10.3 carries and 3.7 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 7.1 · High confidence · Full player page →
24J.K. DobbinsRB · DEN@LACFLEXProjected 6.9 · #24 among RBs6.9
3–11 rangeFLEX
Recent form
4
4
5
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.7 a game
This week's matchup
@LACGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
LAC vs RBs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
49%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.9 points, #24 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Averaging 11.7 carries and 0.7 targets a game.
- Played 49% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
25Jeremiyah Love▲RB · ARIvsDETFLEXScored 16.9 last game, typical 4.76.8
3–11 rangeFLEX
Recent form
11
5
17
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.7 a game
This week's matchup
vsDETGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
ARI underdogs by 5.5
Game total
52.5
DET vs RBs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
64%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.8 points, #25 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Scored 16.9 points last game against a typical 4.7 (trending up).
- Averaging 13.7 carries and 4 targets a game.
- Played 64% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
26Tony PollardRB · TENvsHOUFLEXProjected 6.3 · #26 among RBs6.3
3–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
3
7
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsHOUGame page →
Expected team score
~17 pts
Vegas line
TEN underdogs by 6.5
Game total
39.5
HOU vs RBs
20% fewer points
Last game snaps
53%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.3 points, #26 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Concern: HOU's defense has allowed 20% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 12.7 carries and 2.3 targets a game.
- Played 53% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 6.3 · High confidence · Full player page →
27Kyle MonangaiRB · CHI@GBFLEXGB allow 14% more points to RBs6.0
3–10 rangeFLEX
Recent form
18
6
3
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.8 a game
This week's matchup
@GBGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
CHI underdogs by 2.5
Game total
45.5
GB vs RBs
14% more points
Last game snaps
31%
Why we say flex
- Projected 6.0 points, #27 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- GB's defense has allowed 14% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 10 carries and 1.3 targets a game.
- Played 31% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 6.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
28RJ HarveyRB · DEN@LACFLEXProjected 5.8 · #28 among RBs5.8
3–9 rangeFLEX
Recent form
4
5
W1W3
Dashed line: the usual 8.4 a game
This week's matchup
@LACGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
DEN favored by 2.5
Game total
43.5
LAC vs RBs
11% fewer points
Last game snaps
36%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.8 points, #28 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Averaging 2.5 carries and 5.5 targets a game.
- Played 36% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 5.8 · High confidence · Full player page →
29Emanuel WilsonRB · SEAvsSFFLEXMore work with Jadarian Price out5.6
3–9 rangeFLEX
Recent form
0
9
1
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 4.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsSFGame page →
Expected team score
~25 pts
Vegas line
SEA favored by 3
Game total
47.5
SF vs RBs
2% more points
Last game snaps
36%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.6 points, #29 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Jadarian Price out: more work to go around (about +1.2 points).
- Moves up to No. 1 RB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 10.7 carries and 0.3 targets a game.
- Played 36% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.6 · High confidence · Full player page →
30Blake Corum▼RB · LAvsBUFFLEXBUF allow 19% more points to RBs5.5
3–9 rangeFLEX
Recent form
5
9
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.0 a game
This week's matchup
vsBUFGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 2.5
Game total
52.5
BUF vs RBs
19% more points
Last game snaps
29%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.5 points, #30 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- BUF's defense has allowed 19% more points to RBs than the league average.
- LA's offense is expected to score about 28 points, a strong scoring spot.
- Concern: Scored 1.5 points last game against a typical 6 (trending down).
- Averaging 9.3 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
Projection 5.5 · High confidence · Full player page →
31Woody MarksRB · HOU@TENFLEXProjected 5.4 · #31 among RBs5.4
3–9 rangeFLEX
Recent form
4
4
8
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.7 a game
This week's matchup
@TENGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 6.5
Game total
39.5
TEN vs RBs
3% more points
Last game snaps
37%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.4 points, #31 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Averaging 7.3 carries and 2.7 targets a game.
- Played 37% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 5.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
32Braelon AllenRB · NYJvsCLEFLEXMore work with Breece Hall out5.2
3–8 rangeFLEX
Recent form
4
8
2
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 2.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsCLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYJ favored by 1.5
Game total
40.5
CLE vs RBs
8% fewer points
Last game snaps
52%
Why we say flex
- Projected 5.2 points, #32 among RBs this week: a flex-range play (straight starts run through #20).
- Breece Hall out: more work to go around (about +1.9 points).
- Moves up to No. 1 RB on the depth chart with a teammate above him out.
- Averaging 6.3 carries and 1.7 targets a game.
- Played 52% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.2 · High confidence · Full player page →
33Kenny Gainwell▼RB · TB@DALBENCHScored 1 last game, typical 7.85.0
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
2
2
1
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 7.8 a game
This week's matchup
@DALGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
TB underdogs by 9.5
Game total
47.5
DAL vs RBs
16% more points
Last game snaps
46%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.0 points, #33 among RBs this week, 0.2 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Scored 1 points last game against a typical 7.8 (trending down).
- TB's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: DAL's defense has allowed 16% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 3.3 carries and 3.3 targets a game.
Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
34Chris Rodriguez Jr.RB · JAXvsPHIBENCHProjected 5.0 · 0.2 behind #325.0
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
2
1
10
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
vsPHIGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
JAX favored by 3
Game total
44.5
PHI vs RBs
2% more points
Last game snaps
21%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.0 points, #34 among RBs this week, 0.2 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Averaging 6.7 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 21% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 5.0 · High confidence · Full player page →
35Alvin KamaraRB · NOvsMINBENCHMIN allow 18% fewer points to RBs5.0
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
2
4
W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 5.2 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NO underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
MIN vs RBs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
32%
Why we say bench
- Projected 5.0 points, #35 among RBs this week, 0.2 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- MIN's defense has allowed 18% fewer points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 9 carries and 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 32% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 5.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
36Ollie Gordon II▲RB · MIAvsCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot4.9
2–8 rangeBENCH
Recent form
1
12
W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 2.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsCINGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 8.5
Game total
46.5
CIN vs RBs
19% more points
Last game snaps
84%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.9 points, #36 among RBs this week, 0.3 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: Scored 11.5 points last game against a typical 2.5 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 carries and 1.5 targets a game.
- Played 84% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.9 · High confidence · Full player page →
37Brian Robinson▲RB · ATLvsBALBENCHProjected 4.4 · 0.8 behind #324.4
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
3
7
11
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 2.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 6
Game total
49.5
BAL vs RBs
1% fewer points
Last game snaps
27%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.4 points, #37 among RBs this week, 0.8 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- Upside: Scored 11 points last game against a typical 2.9 (trending up).
- Averaging 10 carries and 0.7 targets a game.
- Played 27% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 4.4 · High confidence · Full player page →
38Jaylen WrightRB · MIAvsCINBENCHMIA expected to score only ~19, a tough spot4.0
2–7 rangeBENCH
Recent form
-0
1
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 3.9 a game
This week's matchup
vsCINGame page →
Expected team score
~19 pts
Vegas line
MIA underdogs by 8.5
Game total
46.5
CIN vs RBs
19% more points
Last game snaps
5%
Why we say bench
- Projected 4.0 points, #38 among RBs this week, 1.2 points behind #32, the last one we'd start.
- MIA's offense is expected to score only about 19 points, a tough scoring spot.
- Upside: CIN's defense has allowed 19% more points to RBs than the league average.
- Averaging 1.5 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 5% of the offense's snaps last game.
Projection 4.0 · Medium confidence · Full player page →
–Trey SermonIRRB · ATLvsBALOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 0.0 a game.
This week's matchup
vsBALGame page →
Expected team score
~22 pts
Vegas line
ATL underdogs by 6
Game total
49.5
BAL vs RBs
1% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 0 carries and 0 targets a game.
- No. 3 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Jordan MasonIR▲RB · MIN@NOOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
12
W1
Dashed line: the usual 6.4 a game
This week's matchup
@NOGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
MIN favored by 2.5
Game total
44.5
NO vs RBs
8% more points
Last game snaps
45%
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaging 15 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 45% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 4 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–British BrooksIRRB · HOU@TENOUTOn injured reserve — hamstring injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
0
W2
Dashed line: the usual 0.8 a game
This week's matchup
@TENGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
HOU favored by 6.5
Game total
39.5
TEN vs RBs
3% more points
Last game snaps
0%
Why we say out
- On injured reserve — hamstring injury.
- Averaging 0 carries and 0 targets a game.
- Played 0% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 4 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Myles MontgomeryIRRB · NEvsLVOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.7 a game.
This week's matchup
vsLVGame page →
Expected team score
~24 pts
Vegas line
NE favored by 3.5
Game total
44.5
LV vs RBs
2% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Ronnie RiversIRRB · LAvsBUFOUTOn injured reserve — calf injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
2
W1
Dashed line: the usual 0.6 a game
This week's matchup
vsBUFGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
LA favored by 2.5
Game total
52.5
BUF vs RBs
19% more points
Last game snaps
13%
Why we say out
- On injured reserve — calf injury.
- Averaging 5 carries and 1 targets a game.
- Played 13% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 4 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Adam RandallIRRB · BAL@ATLOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.7 a game.
This week's matchup
@ATLGame page →
Expected team score
~28 pts
Vegas line
BAL favored by 6
Game total
49.5
ATL vs RBs
14% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Travis EtienneIR▼RB · NOvsMINOUTOn injured reserve — hamstring injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
8
5
7
W1W2W3
Dashed line: the usual 11.5 a game
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NO underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
MIN vs RBs
18% fewer points
Last game snaps
38%
Why we say out
- On injured reserve — hamstring injury.
- Averaging 10 carries and 4.3 targets a game.
- Played 38% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 4 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Malik DavisIRRB · DALvsTBOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 3.2 a game.
This week's matchup
vsTBGame page →
Expected team score
~29 pts
Vegas line
DAL favored by 9.5
Game total
47.5
TB vs RBs
9% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 5.2 carries and 0.5 targets a game.
- No. 4 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Rico DowdleOUT▼RB · PITvsINDOUTOut — toe injury0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
2
4
W1W2
Dashed line: the usual 9.3 a game
This week's matchup
vsINDGame page →
Expected team score
~23 pts
Vegas line
PIT favored by 1.5
Game total
44.5
IND vs RBs
4% more points
Last game snaps
26%
Why we say out
- Out — toe injury.
- Averaging 7.5 carries and 3.5 targets a game.
- Played 26% of the offense's snaps last game.
- No. 2 RB on the depth chart.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Chip TrayanumIRRB · NYJvsCLEOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.7 a game.
This week's matchup
vsCLEGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NYJ favored by 1.5
Game total
40.5
CLE vs RBs
8% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- No. 4 RB on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Ty ChandlerIRRB · NOvsMINOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 1.2 a game.
This week's matchup
vsMINGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
NO underdogs by 2.5
Game total
44.5
MIN vs RBs
18% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
- Averaged last season 5.7 carries and 1.3 targets a game.
- No. 4 RB on the depth chart, with a teammate above him out.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →
–Scott MatlockIRRB · LACvsDENOUTOn injured reserve0.0
0–0 rangeOUT
Recent form
No games yet this season, so this projection rests on last season's 4.7 a game.
This week's matchup
vsDENGame page →
Expected team score
~21 pts
Vegas line
LAC underdogs by 2.5
Game total
43.5
DEN vs RBs
4% fewer points
Why we say out
- On injured reserve.
Projection 0.0 · Low confidence · Full player page →

How we rank

Each player starts from how he scored per game last season, then we shift toward this season's games as they pile up (a few games in, this season counts as much as last). That gives a base rate for the format you picked.

We then adjust for this week's game: how many points the opponent has allowed to that position compared with the league average, how many points Vegas expects the team to score, wind for passing games, and the injury report. Players ruled out are marked Out. Doubtful and questionable players are discounted, and their confidence drops.

The verdict comes from where he ranks at his position. "Must start" and "Start" are the players you should be starting in a typical 12-team league, "Flex" is a fair depth play, and "Bench" means look elsewhere. The range is the middle half of likely outcomes, so about half of his scores should land inside it. Running backs, receivers and tight ends swing more than quarterbacks. Our scorecard checks all of this against what really happened.

Projections are estimates, not guarantees. Player stats from nflverse (CC-BY 4.0), betting lines from the NFL schedule data, injuries from ESPN's public injury report. Kicker and defense stats come from the same source and scoring is the common default.